Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Stock Idea: Repro India

Repro India Ltd (Rs 113)
(BSE Code- 532687 NSE Code- REPRO)
(P/E- 7, Promoters’ stake-68.78%, Market Cap - Rs117 cr)
Repro India Limited is one of the few integrated print solution provider and a manufacturer and exporter of books in the highly fragmented printing industry. Its solutions include content management, configuration to content delivery and the entire supply chain for publishers. The Indian Printing industry has managed to grow at a CAGR of 14% over the last 25 years. to touch Rs 1100 cr.. That is almost twice the GDP growth rate. Repro has successfully evolved from a printing press to an end-to-end print solutions provider. The company provides value-added printing and prints related solutions to major publishing houses, corporates and software companies. The clients of the company include publishing houses such as Alligator Books, Macmillan, Orient Longman, Oxford University Press ; software companies Microsoft , Oracle, IBM; and Indian corporates including Tata Steel, Infosys, Wipro etc. RIL had come with an IPO in November 2005 at Rs 165 per share and raised Rs 43.2 cr.. RIL’s equity stands at 10.47 cr. out of which promoters hold 68.78% while the public holding is 15.19%.
Through content process outsourcing, Repro offers content, creativity and designing. It provides desktop publishing, ideation, content creation, designing, illustration and copywriting. Content Process outsourcing is another large opportunity for India and holds great potential as we have a low cost talent pool, design and creative capabilities and knowledge of English language. Countries like USA and the UK, which are considered among the largest markets for printing industry, are increasingly looking at outsourcing to low cost countries such as India. Repro offers print solutions for educational and children’s books for the publishing industry and annual reports and other corporate print solutions for corporates. Digital printing is utilised for IT industry and print on demand (POD). It also services the insurance industry through POD. Repro is also into contractual publishing—magazine printing and others like replication of CDs and stock management activities
For the half year ended Sept. 2009, Repro posted Adjusted net profit of Rs 8.8 cr.(down 23%) on net sales of Rs 103.5 cr. (down 4%). EBIDTA fell 12% to Rs 16.8 cr. and net profit fell 45% to Rs 5.13 cr.. The major reason for fall in sales was that the impact of the global meltdown which led to delay in execution of large no. of export orders on account of Repro waiting for the client to tie up for the money or open the LC’s.. The situation has changed now and the growth prospects look optimistic in the coming quarters. Repro has an order book position of about Rs 130 cr.(of which Rs 35 cr. is domestic and rest is exports) to be executed in the next six months.
Repro had posted a healthy 57% growth in topline to Rs. 241 cr, for FY09 while net profit grew just 6.5% at Rs 16.55 cr..(up 6.5%) due to forex losses of 16.5 cr.. On a equity of 10.47 cr., the EPS stood at Rs 15.75 and the dividend declared was 25%. Almost 35% of the company’s turnover comes from exports. Its exports business holds significant revenue upsides as it shifts focus from straight printing to content process outsourcing(CPO). As the company would be focusing on CPO for its foreign clients it expects margins to grow in future. The expansion at Surat SEZ and Vashi units will also bring benefits this year. As the company scales up its business and sets up infrastructure to support its expansion in the exports market, it expects higher realizations in the years to come. The Repro stock appears attractive as it is valued at about 7.5 times expected FY10E(Rs 15) and at 5.6 times FY11E earnings(Rs 20). On account of increasing contribution from higher margin businesses and attractive valuations, the stock holds good potential for appreciation in the medium-long term. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-45% over the next 6-8 months.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Sanjay Chhabria)

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