Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Investment Idea: Chemfab Alkalies

Buy Chemfab Alkalies at current levels, says Ashish Chugh, Investment Analyst & Author of Hidden Gems.
Chugh told CNBC-TV18, "Chemfab Alkalies manufactures caustic soda. Incidentally this was the first company in the country to have introduced the membrane cell technology which they did way back in 1985. Now there was a small incidence of gas leak in this company in the month of January. Though this was a small incidence but it was probably blown out of proportion and the plant remained closed for more than 3 months. Only after they filed litigation in the high court the plant got reopened in the month of May."
He further added, "Now the effect of closure of plant was reflected in both the March quarter and June quarter numbers wherein it reported a loss of about Rs 1.3 crore in the March quarter and about Rs 2 crore in the June quarter. Now looking at a full year number this company in spite of a loss of Rs 1.3 crore in the March quarter, ended the year with a profit after tax of close to Rs 9.7 crore as against Rs 7.2 crore in FY10."

"In Q2 also this company has reported sales of about Rs 24.25 crore which was up by about 4% and the profit before tax was up by 40% but profit after tax was down by 30% on account of an additional tax provision of Rs 2.5 crore pertaining to the previous years. Now if that provision had not been made, the quarter profit would have been more than Rs 4 crore."

"This company had a debt of about Rs 25 crore 5 years back. The company has been purling its debt and today it's a debt free company. Now looking at the valuations of the company currently the stock trades at about Rs 40 and the market cap is about Rs 37 crore. This is a totally debt free company and as on 31st March 2011 this company had cash and cash equivalents of close to Rs 23 crore which means that you have this business which is available at a business valuation of about Rs 14 crore."
"If you see the numbers of FY11 closely, the cash profit alone was about Rs 17 crore. In a normal year this company is able to make a profit after tax of about Rs 12-13 crore and a cash profit of close to Rs 20 crore. Gross block is about Rs 150 crore. So given all these things of course the numbers for first 3 quarters – the 3 quarters have not been very good but these are because of certain reasons which are not recurring in nature."
"Going forward we can see this company report good profit for the coming quarters and I think at a business valuation of Rs 14 crore, debt free, this company paid a dividend of about 50% for the last two years. Before that some years it had also paid about 100% dividend. It is a Rs 5 paid up stock and dividend yield at the current price comes to about 6.5%. So given all these factors I think this stock looks to be a value buy at the current price and I think it has got minimum downside from these levels."
Source: Internet (By Ashish Chugh)

Investment Idea: EON Electric

Ashish Chugh, Investment Analyst & Author of Hidden Gems shares his view Eon Electric . Chugh told CNBC-TV18, "In this kind of a market you have companies which are trading well below their cash values and Eon Electrics is one of them. This company had the 3 business divisions. This company sold the switchgear division to Legrand of France about a year back and realized an amount of Rs 400 crore from that sale." He further added, "Now after the deal was announced the stock price has fallen by about 75% from about Rs 150 which it touched after the deal got announced and currently trades at close to Rs 38-40. This is primarily on account of the fact that even though this company got realization of more than Rs 200 net of tax per share, the shareholders got just about Rs 10 as dividend." "Now you have one set of companies where there has been a massive increase in shareholders valuation, company like Andhra Paper where the promoters have chosen to sell the company as against selling a business and all the minority shareholders have been benefited by way of the open offer made by the acquirer. On the other hand you have another set of companies where the promoters have chosen to sell a part of their business even though that business was contributing 85-90% of the revenues. Companies like Zicom, GC Venture, Laffans Petro, Smartlink, where the shareholders value has been badly eroded primarily on account of the fact that there is a concern whether the money which has come from the sale will actually flow to the benefit of the shareholders. Eon Electric is no exception." "Eon Electric has got cash and cash equivalents of roughly Rs 300 crore. Company is totally debt free and after the sale of switchgear division, this company is left with cable and lighting business. The gross block is about Rs 58 crore where the market cap of this company is just about Rs 70 crore at the current price and leave aside the residual businesses and the assets which are left, this company has got cash – the market cap is just about less than 25% of the cash it is holding." "I think with these kinds of valuations the investors have probably got reconciled to the fact that this cash, which has come in, may not really flow towards a benefit of the minority shareholders. There is definitely a concern that this cash may not be put to good use but I think at the current market price those concerns have probably got fully factored in on the price." "Any steps now by the management which changes a perception and gives a feeling to the minority shareholders that this money may actually be utilized for value creation and for benefit of all shareholders and not just the promoter, shareholder group or may be if the promoters decide to give more dividend to the shareholders, I think those things may lead to a rerating in the stock price. Whether that happens or not I think only time will tell and that is anybody’s guess at that point of time. I believe the negatives are probably priced in at the current market price of the stock."
Source: Internet (By Ashish Chugh)

Trading Ideas For 30th November

BUY EROS MEDIA @ RS. 216/- TARGET RS. 226-230/- STOP LOSS RS. 214/-


BUY JET AIRWAYS @ RS. 266/- TARGET RS. 276-282/- STOP LOSS RS. 263/-

BUY ABAN OFFSHORE @ RS. 355/- TARGET RS. 375-382/- STOP LOSS RS. 350/-



The information in this publication is provided by is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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