Thursday, November 1, 2007

IPO Talk: Empee Distilleries

Empee Distilleries is entering the capital market on 1st November, 2007 with a public issue of 48 lakh equity shares of Rs.10 each, in the band of Rs.350 to Rs.400 per share.

The company is presently engaged into manufacturing of various IMFL products with its distillery located at Kanchipuram, Tamil Nadu with an installed capacity of 30.24 lakh cases per annum and another distillery at Kerala with an installed capacity of 30 lakh cases per annum.

For 9 months ending 30-06-07, the total income of the company was at Rs.546 crores with EBITDA of Rs.32.73 crores, PBT of Rs.21.78 crores and PAT of Rs.16.42 crores, on equity of Rs.14.20 crores, which results in an annualized EPS of Rs.15.40. Presently, purchase and marketing of IMFL in the state of Tamil Nadu and Kerala are with the state government and hence no distilleries operating in those states can sell its products to any other buyers, except the state governments and also can’t produce beyond its rated capacity, which is based on monthly rated capacity. If any distillery reaches its levels, say on 25th of any month, it can’t operate for remaining 5 days of the month. Hence, capacity utilization is already capped and only improvement in the working can be made by change in product mix. Since, marketing is state subject, even distilleries can’t advertise and to push its brands of IMFL, they need to motivate to state distribution shops by offering them incentives in other forms, to enable them to push the company products, by which higher allocation of better brand is received by the distilleries, for better margin.

Realising this, company is expanding its Tamil Nadu distillery capacity as also setting up grain based distillery in Andhra Pradesh and relocating a distillery in Karnataka. Due to surplus land, held by the company, the same is also developed by the company at Shriperumber an I.T. hub, of about 2 lakh sq. ft. The total fund requirement is estimated at Rs.182 crores, which is financed by term loan of Rs.22 crores, internal accruals of Rs.9.50 crores and proposed IPO of Rs.192 crores, considering at the upper band of Rs.400 per share.

Considering an estimated EPS of Rs.16, for FY 07 and considering upper band of Rs.400, the share is being issued at a PE multiple of 25, which is in line with the valuation of existing IMFL manufacturers like Radico Khaitan, Jagatjit Industries etc. United Spirits and United Breweries are discounted dearly due to leadership and national presence.

Hence, considering present level of activity, share may seem fully priced at Rs.400 per share. However, capacity expansion in Tamil Nadu would add quickly to the financials while Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka would add to the financials from next year. The realty stock would also add good cash flow, in the next three years, to the financials. All this leaves scope for further appreciation in the share price. Due to 25% dilution to the public, low floating stock would also keep share price at respectable levels.

If you have no reservations for a wine stock, this could definitely give you decent returns, even if subscribed at the upper band of Rs.400.
Source:sptulsian.com
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Markets Today

The markets were seen consolidating at the higher levels and ended the day in red amid an extremely volatile session. The markets opened strong slipped in red, bounced back again but ended in red.

It opened today on strong note today and the Nifty breached the psychological level of 6,000 reacting to 25 bps cut by US Fed. But have failed to sustain at the higher levels. Sensex was 500 points down from the day's high and Nifty was down 150 points.

GSM operators in the telecom were the worst hit in todayĺs red on news of spectrum allocation to be made more stringent. Auto, FMCG and pharma
stocks also dragged the markets.
Broader markets underperformed the benchmark indices and and ended in red. This gave markets weak breadth.
Top losers on the indices were Relaince, HUL, ITC, Bharti Airtel, MTNL, VSNL Nalco, HCL Tech .
L&T, HDFC Bank, ONGC, Sterlite Ind, Reliance Petroleum, Infosys were among the top gainers on the indices.
Sensex was down 113.64 points or 0.57% at 19724.35, and the Nifty down 34.20 points or 0.58% at 5866.45.
About 1089
shares have advanced, 1900 shares declined, and 71 shares are unchanged.
The BSE Midcap Index ended at 7,966.54 down 2%.
The BSE Smallcap Index ended at 9,646.61 down 1.5%.
The BSE Bankex was up 2% at 10,851.69.
Bank of India, Oriental Bank, BOB, SBI, IOB, ICICI Bank, Bank of India moved upwards.
The BSE Capital Goods Index was up 2% at 20,141.19. L&T, Jyoti Structures, ABB, BHEL closed higher.
The BSE Auto Index closed at 5,391.37 down 2%. Bharat Forge, Maruti, Escorts, MRF, Cummins, Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto closed lower.
The BSE Metal Index closed at 17,582.54 down 2%. Hindalco, Shree Precoated, NALCO, Hind Zinc, Mah Seamless closed lower.
The BSE FMCG Index closed at 2,038.20 down 4%. HUL, ITC, United Spirits, Tata Tea, United Brewerie, Colgate, HUL closed lower
BSE Oil and Gas Index closed at 11,539.84 down 1%. Essar Oil, Reliance, HPCL, GAIL ended in red.
The BSE IT Index was flat at 4,615.44. Mphasis, Patni Computer, Tech Mahindra, I-Flex Solution, TCS closed lower.
The NSE cash turnover was at Rs 28448.79 crore and the NSE F&O turnover was at Rs 99734.01 crore. The BSE cash turnover was Rs 11436.95 crore. Total market wide turnover was at Rs 139619.75 crore.

Source:moneycontrol.com

Intraday Calls for 01st November

Market is likely to open with gap up but remain volatile and I think that market will remain rangebound this month and can consolidate near 20000 for some time.
Buy for intraday:
Keep an eye on Oil Exploration Stocks as crude oil is trading higher around $96 and heading for $ 100. Shiv-vani oil, ONGC, Selan Exploration, Hind Oil, Dolphin Offshore, Aban Offshore etc.
My favt. stock is Selan Exploration (157) Short term target 250+
RCOM (772) Target 800 SL 766
Reliance Industries (2782) Target 2875 SL 2770
Mercator Line (120) Target 125-128 SL 118
Videocon Industries (370) Target 395 SL 365
GMR Infra (177) Target 185 SL 175
Prithvi Information (299) Target 315-325 SL 295
Sterlite Optical (314) Target 325 SL 310
NTPC Ltd. (240) Target 250 SL 235
Others: Petronet LNG, Nagarjuna Fet, Ispat Industries, IDEA, IDBI, CIPLA, Engineers India, Philips Carban Black.
Good Luck

Disclaimer

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