Thursday, March 27, 2008

Tata Motors - JLR Deal

Next time you go to USA or Europe and see someone driving a swanky Jaguar or a Land Rover (JLR), surely you can walk a little taller with the collar raised up, after all it is an Indian company, which now owns these luxury cars! Indeed, we have come a long, long way from the taboo that the “Made in India” tags had! Ex-Prime Minister of UK, Tony Blair owns a Jaguar and it is one of the few trademarks to hold Royal Warrants of Appointment from both Queen Elizabeth and Prince Charles. The Queen of England loves to ride in her Land Rover when in Scotland. India buying the most loved British brands, surely a moment of celebration!

Tata Motors clinching the deal for Jaguar and Land Rover for a whopping $2.3 billion would have surely made the world sit up and take notice. If the world had missed out looking at what India is all about when Tata Steel bought Corus, surely now, Tata Motors would have got the attention of one and all.

After the entire halo over the pride of being an Indian clears, comes the moot question – how will this affect the balance sheet of Tata Motors? The shareholders of Tata Motors are a worried lot today as they do not know whether they should cry in joy over the acquisition or shed tears of impending doom.

Tata Motors has acquired Jaguar and Land Rover (JLR) for $2.3 billion, which is actually a bargain considering that Ford had acquired these two brands for $5.23 billion in the early 2000s. Tata Motors Ltd, has signed a deal to receive a $3 billion (Rs12,180 crore) one-year bridge loan from Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase and Co. Of this $3 billion, the JLR acquisition will take away $2.3 billion and the rest is to be used to meet working capital needs and few other expenses, like maybe the cost of getting the Nano on the Indian roads.

A consortium of eight banks — State Bank of India, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, BNP Paribas, ING, Mizuho and Standard Chartered, is underwriting the bridge loan. The bridge loan has been structured in the form of step-up financing: for the first six months, the interest charge would be Libor (London Inter-Bank Offered Rate) plus 70 basis points and for the next six months, it would be 140 basis point over the benchmark rate. A special purpose vehicle is raising the bridge loan, which is 100% owned by Tata Motors.

A year later, the short-term borrowings are to be refinanced through a combination of long-term debt and equity. The company is looking at a debt equity ratio of 1:1. So this means that of the Rs.12,180 crore being raised, Rs.6090 crore is to come via debt and another Rs.6090 crore via liquidation of investments and issue of fresh shares.

First the debt part. On the Rs.6090 crore, assuming an interest rate of 6%, we are looking at an interest burden of Rs.365 crore per annum. So we now have to realize that about over Rs.400 crore of the bottomline will be additionally eaten away by the interest burden.

Now for the equity part. The company is also contemplating selling a slice of its holdings in its group companies to raise the amount. A look at the balance sheet of Tata Motors was a real eye opener. Instead of finding a string of investments, the company has only two major investments to talk about which on liquidation will give it money. One is the holding in Tata Steel. It holds 2.58 crore shares of Tata Steel. Currently quoted at Rs.655, if Tata Motors decides to sell off its entire holding in Tata Steel, it will be able to raise Rs.1690 crore, as of today. In unquoted, the company has 66.67 lakh shares of Tata Industries, which promotes the Group's entry into new and high-tech areas. If Tata Motors decides to sell its stake in this company which has face value of Rs.100 per share, at Rs.1000 per share, then it will be able to raise Rs.660 crore. So these two companies together, will be able to raise around Rs.2500 crore, which is over 40% of the total money to be raised via equity route. For the rest, the company will be able to raise another Rs.1500 crore via preferential allotment to Tata Sons and for the balance, it might come out with a rights issue. Now these are the plausible methods of raising the equity and might also prove to be the best.

It may be recalled that Tata Steel had sold 85 lakh shares in TCS at an average rate of Rs.1,082 per share, managing to raise Rs.920 crore to refinance a part of the Corus deal.

There is no doubt that Tata Motors has a huge responsibility now. It has taken over two of the biggest luxury brands of the world but both of them have had dwindling sales and a red balance sheet. It is now upto Tata Motors to turn it around. The balance sheet of Tata Motors of next fiscal will reflect the consolidated figures of JLR and their losses if they keep mounting, might be meager in the developed country parlance but would be enough to drown the company in a quagmire of losses.

Tata Motors also has the responsibility of ensuring that it is able to show profits on its Nano project and this too will require some more amount of investment.

Till now the shareholders of Tata Motors had to worry only about the Nano but now, they have to worry about the performance of Jaguar and Land Rover. It should not happen that this current moment of pride turns into a sore wound. The next two years will undoubtedly be painful, years of integration. Till then, the shareholders can take pride of being owners of the company, which owns JLR, so what if they don’t actually drive a Jaguar to home!

By Ruma Dubey
Source: sptulsian.com

Investment Idea: Welspun Gujarat

Promoted by the Welspun group, one of the largest SAW pipe manufacturers of India, the company has posted good Q3 results.

On a y-on-y basis, the financial performance of the company for the third quarter ended 31st December 2007 has been phenomenal. It clocked a 136% jump in net profit and its topline grew 39%. The biggest contributor to the sales was exports which accounted for over 68% of overall sales.

Compared on a q-on-q basis, the increase in the performance has been more or less as expected. Net sales was up 11.73% at Rs.1036.40 crore, EBIDTA was up 13.38% at Rs.176.30 crore, PBT was up 17.44% at Rs.147.50 crore and PAT was up 18.06% at Rs.97.40 crore. Its OPM improved from 16.76% to 17.01% and NPM improved from 8.89% to 9.40%.

The company provides complete solutions for all line pipe requirements. It manufactures pipes in varying sizes and diameters, ranging from as small as ½ inch to as large as 100 inches of higher grades, up to X 80. It also offers complete coating, as well as bending solution. Welspun has supplied pipes to the deep offshore gas pipeline project in the Gulf of Mexico, the United States. The company’s customers include TOTAL, Shell, Saudi Aramco, Chevron, Clough Engineering, PGN, MITCO, Exxon Mobil and Enterprise

The company recently bagged a prestigious pipeline order worth Rs.1075 crore for the supply of spiral pipes in Northern Africa. The new order has taken Welspun’s order book position to above Rs.5900 crore.

The stock is currently quoted at Rs.364. Stay invested.

Market Whispers

KLG Systel qualifies a good buy at Rs.535 for short to medium term as share price has potential to cross Rs.600 mark soon.

Kernex Micro seems to have settled at Rs.140 levels and one could buy it with 6 months view, where share has potential to cross Rs.200 mark.
SAIL is viewed a good short to medium term bet at Rs.204 in view of good Q4 results expected from the company.

Essar Shipping have corrected sharply and now ruling at Rs.140 is viewed a good buy in view of merger of closely held companies of the group. On NAV basis, share value works out to Rs.400 by analysts. Good for medium term.

Axis Bank is recommended a good short term buy at Rs.800 for a Rs.50 gain.
Adani Enterprises is likely to witness informed buying and share may show a rise of about Rs.40 from its present levels of Rs.530.

Profit booking is advised in Pantaloon Retail and one may exit from the stock at Rs.425 levels as Q4 working is likely to be below market expectations, which may pull down price below Rs.400.

HUL is a good buy at the current rate of Rs.239 for short to medium term. One can accumulate this stock at every decline.

A well known broking house is recommending NTPC to its client at the current rate of Rs.197.

With Morgan Stanley predicting that the Indian rupee could reach a decade high of Rs.38.61 per dollar by June 30th 08'; FIIs are expected to pump in more money to take advantage of the currency arbitrage.

Intraday Calls for 27th March

Market may open nagetive but it can recover from lower levels and remains in range of 1-2% +/-. Small cap and Midcap may continue moving up but at higher levels some profit booking expected.

Today's Intraday Picks:

Praj Industries
Jindal Stainless
Bajaj Hindustan
Renuka Sugar
KPIT
For levels and Targets download the file by CLICK HERE
Keep an eye on Tata Motors and Tata group companies.
Good Luck

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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