Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Stock Idea: Tulsyan NEC

This Company is listed on BSE as well as NSE. It got its listing permission from NSE a couple of months back. This is a company, which is in two lines of business: Steel and woven sacks. The company manufactures TMT bars, MS alloys and billets in the steel division. They also manufacture HTP and PP woven sacks. Tulsyan NEC is not ideally one of those steel companies which you would want it to be in terms of backward linkages. The company as of now doesn’t have any backward linkages. It buys steel scrap/sponge iron for manufacture of steel and it also buys power from the grid. It doesn’t have its own captive power source.
But if you look at the other positives of the company, this company is available at a market cap of just about Rs 33 crore. The company does sales revenue of about Rs 650-700 crore. This company has been a profit making company for the past 15 years. It has made profit not just at the operational level but also in the net level in the last 15 years. The company has got a track record of dividend for the last ten years which is uninterrupted – even during the worse phases of the steel cycle this company has paid dividend in the last 10 years.
The company made an operating profit of about Rs 46 crore last year and operating profit for the first nine-months is about Rs 31 crore. PAT for first nine months is about Rs 4.5 crore, which results in an annualized EPS of about Rs 12. At the current price of about Rs 65 this stock is trading at a PE multiple of about 5-6.
The other good thing happening here is that the company is now going in for backward linkages, about 2-3 months back this company has acquired a sponge iron plant called Chitrakoot Steel and Power Limited, which has got a 30,000 tonne per annum for sponge iron capacity, which they are increasing further to about 1 lakh tonne per annum. The company is also putting up a 35 megawatt power plant. They have already acquired about 75 acre of land. This will be operational in Q3 2011, which is FY12.
Considering all this, the company had been making good profits for the past 15 years without any backward linkages. Now the backward linkages are coming. The market cap of the company is just about Rs 33 crore – even assuming a 1% increase in net profit margins on a sales of Rs 700 crore results with an EPS increase of about Rs 14.
Of course, this is not an ideal steel company in terms of linkages but its available at a market cap just about Rs 33 crore on sales of Rs 700 crore. The downside from these levels looks extremely restricted but once the linkages are there, obviously, the profitability will go up. Also there is a potential for huge upscale increase in profits after the linkages are available.
So at the current price of Rs 60-65 I think it’s a stock to accumulate for the next maybe two years. Once the linkages are in place the profits can go up really sharply.
Source: Internet (moneycontrol.com by Ashish Chug)

Stock Idea: Orient Ceramics

Orient Ceramics is a Delhi-based company manufacturing ceramic tiles. This company has got its manufacturing plant located in Secunderabad in Uttar Pradesh. Off late the company has been doing lot of initiatives to increase the market share. The company has introduced new ranges of tiles. These new ranges have got good response from the market. The company is planning to open more retail stores and also have larger distribution network of distributors and retailers in various cities where they are currently not present. The third thing is that the company has also decided to start retailing of other construction related items, which makes it a one stop shop for all construction needs."
On the financial side:
For FY09 the company achieved sales of about Rs 225 crore and made Rs 6.4 crore in profit after tax (PAT), which results in an EPS of about Rs 6-6.5.For the first nine-months of the current financial year, sales are at Rs 175 crore. The PAT is up by 35% to about Rs 6 crore. For full year, expected sales are around Rs 250 crore with a PAT of Rs 8.5 crore, which results in an EPS of about Rs 8. At the current price of about Rs 45, the stock is trading at a price to earnings multiple of about Rs 5-6.
This is a full tax paying company. The company pays tax with no concessions. If you look at the market cap of the company this company has a market cap of about Rs 45 crore. Sales is Rs 250 crore and cash profit is Rs 20 crore, which means it is going at less than two-and-a-half year’s of its cash profit. This company has a dividend history of the past 20 years. Only during 1993 it skipped dividend. Otherwise from 1990 to 2009, the company has been regularly paying dividend. Considering all these factors at the market cap of about Rs 45 crore the stock qualifies as a value buy.
Source: moneycontrol.com by Ashish Chug

Stock Idea: Unitech Ltd.

This leading Delhi based realty company managed to sell a part of its stake of its telecom venture, Telenor and raised Rs.2022 crore through this sale. This is going to be used to discharge a part of the its gargantuan debt of Rs.6200 crore. That’s good news. But what the market is now concerned about is the slippage in its schedule of deliveries. It has missed the scheduled delivery of its past projects of 17 million (m) sq feet, which it now plans to complete by end- FY11.
Till 31st Dec 2009, the company launched 24.42 m sq feet and this was shockingly equal to launches it had during the boom time of 2007. Seemingly, the company got carried away by the ‘affordable housing’ bandwagon and was quick to launch huge projects. Of the 24.42 mln sq feet launched, almost half or 13 mln sq feet have been booked by customers. And this, over the next four years, is expected to bring in revenue of Rs.1375 per annum.
Though there was assurance that the company has managed to raise funds to reduce its debt, there is concern that if all the money is used to reduce debt, from where will the company get money to fund the projects under implementation?
For the 9MFY10, the net income of the company was down 28%. Interest costs have almost halved, yet net profit was down 44% at rs.511.64 crore. For FY09, the company had a net profit of Rs.1197.71 crore and it is unlikely that the company would be able to surpass that number for FY10.
The company will be able to stand back firmly on its feet only by FY11. The annualized EPS of Rs.2.87 discounts the current market price by around 25 times. Wait for the company to speed up its implementation schedules and then take a long term call.
Source: Internet (premiuminvestments.in by S P Tulsian)

Intraday Trading Calls for 03rd March

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and remains highly volatile for the day today. A flat Positive closing expected.
Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SASKEN COMM.

Buy Above

171.60

178.20

184.00

Sell Below

169.35

165.45

160.00

APTECH LTD.

Buy Above

175.70

182.55

188.00

Sell Below

173.05

167.25

162.00

GLENMARK PHARMA

Buy Above

258.55

266.45

274.00

Sell Below

252.45

245.35

238.00

CORE PROJECTS

Buy Above

227.60

232.70

238.00

Sell Below

224.70

220.10

215.00

WHIRLPOOL INDIA

Buy Above

145.25

150.35

155.00

Sell Below

143.10

140.20

136.00

ATLANTA

Buy Above

185.70

191.35

198.00

Sell Below

183.25

178.45

172.00

EXIDE INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

109.25

113.75

118.00

Sell Below

107.50

103.05

100.00

GOOD LUCK

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



free counter