Monday, December 28, 2009

Stock Idea: Gruh Finance Ltd.

Gruh Finance Ltd (Rs 205)
(BSE Code - 511288, NSE Code - GRUH)
(P/E - 12, Equity - Rs34.65 cr, HDFC’s stake - 61.5%, Market Cap - Rs710 cr)
Gruh Finance (GFL) was set up in 1986 by HDFC to replicate its ‘home financing’ business model in semi urban and rural areas. Presently, the parent’s ownership stands at 61.85% and it has three representatives in the board of Gruh Finance (out of the total board’s strength of eight). Gruh has maintained the standards of services, quality of assets and management of cost of funds comparable to its parent. HDFC is the largest shareholder in the company with a stake of 61.49%. Gruh Finance has been a major player in the non-metro markets of Gujarat and Maharashtra where semi-urban and rural areas are witnessing growing prosperity. With the exception of a few PSU and co-operative banks, none of the aggressive private sector entities cater to the latent demand in these regions. Gruh has entered this relatively under-banked market with a unique marketing strategy. GFL is primarily engaged in the business of providing long-term finance to individuals for construction, purchase, extension, repair and renovation of homes. Gruh has launched innovative products and flexible repayment options to suit consumers in various segments. Besides home loans, Gruh offers loans for purchase of non-residential properties like office premises and shops. One of the major strength of the company is its strong and visionary Parent & management. HDFC, the major stakeholder is the pioneer in the housing finance and strong credibility as well as investor confidence.
Gruh Finance presently operates out of 65 offices and majority of these offices are in locations where HDFC does not have a presence. Going forward, Gruh would like to be in places that would not be on the radar of large housing finance companies. The company’s strategy has been to establish its presence at the district headquarters and then gradually penetrate adjoining areas, after garnering adequate knowledge about the local markets. This model of expanding into contiguous geographies helps in minimizing risks associated with venturing into uncharted territories. Gruh has maintained quality of service comparable to its parent although it operates in different geographies. Hence, in distant future, if the parent decides to merge the operations of Gruh with itself, it would not be very difficult.
GFL’s financials are in sound shape. The capital adequacy ratio(CAR) of about 16% allows the company considerable flexibility in managing both business growth and dividend disbursals. The proportion of bad loans at less than 2% is also impressive. The profitability of the operations has improved considerably in recent years, with spreads rising above 2%. The asset quality is comparable to HDFC. The housing finance sector continues to be one of the fastest growing sector in the finance sector. As growth prospects are bright in the home loan business, there is a strong likelihood of GRUH Finance sustaining its healthy profitability levels.
For the half year ended Sept. 2009, GFL has posted a net profit of Rs 20.64 cr.(up 29%) on total income of 150 cr.(up 20%). For the year ended March 31, 2009 GFL had posted a net profit of Rs 50.28 cr.(up 19%) cr. on total income of Rs 295 cr.(up 46%). On a equity of 34.65 cr. the EPS stood at Rs 14.53 and the dividend declared was 48%. The Gross NPAs of the GFL stood at Rs 19.68 cr. (0.94% of the Loan Assets). The NPAs are fully provided for and as a result the Net NPAs of the Company are Nil. Going forward, the company plans to target interior areas of Maharashtra and expand its presence into the adjoining states of Rajasthan, Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh. The foray to new geographies should enable the company to maintain an average disbursement growth between 18-20%.
The stock trades at 11.7x FY10E earnings (Rs 17.5) and at 9.7 x FY11E earnings (Rs 21). Gruh Finance offers long-term investors an excellent exposure to rapid semi-urban and rural socio-economic development in India in the next few years in the area of home loans and personal finance. Its strong pedigree and balance sheet attributes, high quality of loan book, low rate of delinquencies and superior to peer group RoEs makes it a premium play inspite of its rather small size. Gruh Finance is like HDFC being available in small caps. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-45% over the next 6-8 months.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Sanjay Chhabria)

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