Friday, October 30, 2009

Stock Idea: Seamec

Investment Argument
SEAMEC - is a MNC outfit of Technip Group of France. Its leader in operating MSVs/DSV in India, with 4 out of 6 vessels belonging to it and balance 2 are with ONGC. There are just about 30-35 MSV’s operating in the world. They are specialized vessels used for undertaking any kind of underwater engg, maintenance and developmental works. The company has strategy of deploying vessels on long term charters as against in the spot market, therefore the cash flow for the future is better predictable.
All the ships are fully deployed right now and charter rates are also strong, due to strong demand for such vessels. In past due to focus on spot market and also due to some kind of accidents etc, the performance of company was quite erratic and thus valuations of stock suffered too much. Company’s balance sheet is quite robust with Zero debt, huge cash balances and it is also likely to generate almost Rs. 265 cr for year ending Dec.’09. With market Cap of just Rs 680 Crs, this stock with likely [for Dec’09] NAV of Rs 350 per share and EPS of Rs 70 appears dam cheap at Rs 200/-. We think by the time annual results for Dec’09 are announced, stock can easily reach 260-280. BUY.
Background
South East Asia Marine Engineering & Construction (SEAMEC), was promoted by Peerless General Finance & Investment Company, but latter on acquired by MNC giant Technip Group of France. The company operates in Multi support vessels (MSV) for diving and provides under water/sub sea engineering and construction, maintenance, inspection of under water structures construction, rescue operations and fire fighting and other support services for offshore oil/gas installations located in India or abroad.
The company started operating on a single DSV in Indian Offshore market, grown subsequently to own and operate 4 Vessels. Seamec-I with 1700DWT, Seamec-II with 2100DWT, Seamec-III with 2100DWT and SEAMEC Princess. All vessels are deployed on various contracts. As demand for such vessels is strong, during intermediate period of contract also, they can undertake short term charters. The oil and gas sector in India as well as abroad, is witnessing significant investment activity and potential still appears to be huge. With oil prices recovering from lows of $30 to current $80, the E&P activities in oil & Gas sector will remain robust. Plus most of the E&P activities are in deep sea, so need of such support vessels is growing much faster.
Risks and concerns
Fluctuating crude oil prices causing downturn in oil exploration and production activities can affect the revenue stream of the company. Dry docking of vessels at regular interval will have loss of working days and may put pressure on OPM in later years. Company usually adopts the policy of conserving cash for asset creation and don’t give dividends.
Recommendation
Looking to the attractive earnings of Rs. 70/- and cash generation of around Rs 265 Crs in this year and with a debt free status; the stock looks quite attractive. Mostly company uses cash generation to buy fresh vessels, with huge cash it can buy more vessels, which can shore up earnings in future. With promoters holding of 75%, chances of delisting can’t be ruled out, but in that case also, buy back price could be quite attractive [over 350/-].
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Anand Rathi)

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