Friday, July 25, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 25th July

Indian Stock Market may open with gap down but some recovery expected after that. But remains very volatile and nagetive closing expected.

Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock tips :

CHENNAI PETRO
SELMCL
CAIRN INDIA
SATYAM COMPUTER
PRAJ INDUSTRIES
VOLTAS

For Levels and Targets CLICK HERE.

Today Keep an eye on Infosys, Tech Mahindra, TCS, Mphasis, NIIT Tech, Sasken, HCL Tech etc.
Short-Med Term Delivery Buy Spanco Tele (94) Target 140+ (Long Term Target 200+).
Good Luck

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Stock Idea: Chennai Petroleum Corporation

Chennai Petroleum Corporation, as expected, has posted very good results for first quarter ended 30-06-08. Though the topline growth was good, profit growth was spectacular.
Its net sales rose 34% at Rs.11,253.20 crore. Its operating expenses rose 31%. EBIDTA showed a 82% jump at Rs.1,179 crore. Other expenditure included exchange fluctuation loss of Rs.198 crore million for the quarter. Its PBT consequently shot up by a whopping 104% at Rs.373.85 crore. Tax outgo was up 104%, yet it managed to show a spectacular 104% jump in PAT at Rs.703.27. crore.
Gross Refining Margin for the quarter was $ 15.89 / bbl as compared to $ 8.76 / bbl during the corresponding quarter of the previous year and $ 8.47 / bbl for the previous financial year.
The company posted its historically highest profit margins. OPM was at 10.48% and NPM at 6.25%.
The company, a subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), supplies its entire production to IOC at prices which it would pay to an international supplier. Hence, the biggest advantage which the company has is that its entire production is already booked but at existing international oil prices. It is not shackled under the Govt’s pricing. So it enjoys international rates, keeps its costs same and thus manages to reap a bounty.
The company is putting up another hydro diesel desulphurization unit at its Cauvery basin refinery. This would help the company overcome the problem of feedstock availability and expand its crude product line.
Currently quoted at Rs. 295, if you have the stock, hold on, it could prove to be a goldmine.
source: sptulsian.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 24th July

Indian Stock Market may open positively but it may face some profit booking at higher levels and remains flat for the day today.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips:
ROLTA INDIA
ESSAR OIL
VOLTAS
BPCL
NEYVELI LIGNITE
ZEE ENTERTAINMENT
For Levels and Targets CLICK HERE.
Today Keep an eye on Zee News, Hanung Toys, SEL Manufacturing.
Short-Med Term Delivery Buy VOLTAS (124) Target 150+ (Long Term Target 250+).
Good Luck

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Stock Idea: Voltas

Voltas has announced its first quarter results. The company's standalone net profit was up at Rs 85.1 crore versus Rs 52.2 crore (YoY).
Key takeaways from Voltas concall:
Income from Operations rose by 22% to Rs 1017 crores, as against Rs 834 crores in the same period last year.
Operating Profit (Profit before Tax and Exceptional Income /(Expenses)) increased by 32% to Rs 103 crores as against Rs 78 crores in the same period last year.
Profit after Tax increased by 63% to Rs 85 crores, as compared to Rs 52 crores in the same period last year.
EPS at Rs 2.57 on face value of Re 1 (not annualised).
Total order-book at Rs 5923 crores up by 165%.
International order book at Rs 4600 crore.
The Company’s Electro-mechanical Projects and Services segment’s revenues grew by 24%. The Order Book of this segment stands at Rs 5675 crores, registering a growth of 183%.
The Engineering Products and Services segment’s revenues grew by 23%, in the face of the continuing decline in demand for capital equipment.
Mining & Construction Equipment business achieved 39% growth in sales.
The Unitary Cooling Products for Comfort and Commercial Use segment’s revenues grew by 20% including 29% value growth in air conditioners.
The cash balance as on June 30, 2008 is Rs 370 crore.
Source: moneycontrol.com

Markets Today

Markets closed at day’s high after D day verdict as UPA government has won vote of confidence by 19 votes wherein 275 seats were in favour of them and 256 in against of them. It was biggest single intraday points gain for Sensex since March 25, 2008. In last five trading session the Sensex has recovered around 20% from its recent lows of 12576 (July 16, 2008).
All BSE sectoral indices were closed in green. Strong buying interest was seen in bank, realty, capital goods, power, metal and oil and gas sectors, which were up anywhere between 5% and 10%. The BSE midcap and small cap indices were also closed with good gains; they were up 5% and 4% respectively.
For quite some time markets were trading under pressure as political concern, rising crude price, inflation, rupee depreciation. Out of these, now political concern is out of the way after UPA government wins. There are sign of crude cooling off and which will auger well for rupee appreciation. So one can expect further rally in the coming days.
The Sensex was up 838.08 points or 5.94% at 14942.28, and the Nifty was up 236.70 points or 5.58% at 4476.80.
Market breadth was positve, about 2371 shares have advanced, 574 shares declined, and 205 shares are unchanged.
Top gainers on the bourses were Reliance Communications up 12.20%, ICICI Bank up 11.64%, HDFC up 10.92, SBI up 10.45% and Reliance Infra up 10.36%
However, top losers on the bourses were Cairn India at Rs 220.45 down 2.46% Cipla at Rs 232.50 down 2.21% and HUL at Rs 231.05 down 0.65%.
The BSE Bankex was up 9.99% or 662.52 points at 7291.Yes Bank, Karnataka Bank, Kotak Mahindra, Federal Bank, IDBI Bank and ICICI Bank spurted up.
The BSE capital goods index was up 8.18% or 933.47 points at 12,339.77. Punj Lloyd, Siemens, BHEL, Suzlon Energy, Crompton Greave, L&T and AIA Engineering gained.
The BSE realty index was up 8.08% or 388.78 points at 5,199.27. RNRL, Essar Oil, BPCL, IOC and Petronet LNG.
The BSE power index was 7.74% or 194.43 points at 2,707.11.
The BSE metal index was up 6.85% or 838.07 points at 13,070.52. Sesa Goa, Jindal Steel, Ispat Industries, SAIL and Jindal Saw ended green.
The BSE oil & gas index was up 5.14% or 482.28 points 9,864.59. RNRL, Essar Oil, BPCL, IOC and Petronet LNG ended up.
The BSE auto index closed up with 3.86% or 140.12 points at 3,768.18. Cummins, Escorts, MRF, Hind Motors, Exide Industries and Tata Motors moved up.
The BSE IT index was up 2.35% or 85.59 points 3,733.51. Financial Tech, Aptech, HCL Tech and Wipro closed positive.
The BSE health care index was up 1.26% or 52.11 points at 4,192.94. Wockhardt, Dishman Pharma, Piramal Health, Divis Labs and Matrix Lab surged.
The BSE FMCG index was up 1.13% or 23.90 points at 2,141.84. Marico, United Spirits, Bata India and Godrej Consumer. moved up.
Turnover traded by markets has improved, which stood at Rs 95860.28 crore . This includes Rs 20400.14 crore from NSE Cash segment, Rs 68010.68 crore from NSE F&O and the balance Rs 7449.46 crore from BSE Cash segment.
Source: moneycontrol.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 23rd July

Indian Stock Market will see a strong rally today as UPA wins Trust Votes and Crude oil goes down to $127 and also all global markets trading higher. So a good positive closing expected.
Todays' Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips:
ROLTA INDIA
SATYAM COMPUTER
VOLTAS
KSK ENERGY
IOC
RPL
For Levels and Targets CLICK HERE.
Today Keep an Eye on NTPC, GVK POWER, JP HYDRO, TATA POWER, Reliance Infra (REL), RPOWER.
Short-Med Term Delivery Buy VOLTAS (121) Target 150+.
Good Luck

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

What is Nuclear Deal

At the crux of this entire political conundrum, the core issue, which lays quite forlorn and forgotten is the nuclear issue. Today the politicians might have turned it into an opportunity to topple the UPA Govt but few remember that it all started with the nuclear deal.

Surely few of these politicians would have actually taken the effort to read the 82-page nuclear deal and tried to understand what it is all about. Somehow that does not come as a surprise at all! So without getting into the “political” angle of it, let us take a look at what exactly is this nuclear issue. What would India gain if UPA wins the vote and what we stand to lose if the deal gets cancelled?

What exactly is nuclear power?
Nuclear power is generated using Uranium, which is a metal mined in various parts of the world. It produces around 11% of the world's energy needs, and produces huge amounts of energy from small amounts of fuel, without the pollution that you'd get from burning fossil fuels.

Where does India currently stand on nuclear power?
In India, nuclear power is being produced under the Nuclear Power Corporation of India. Seventeen reactors are under operation and five reactors are under construction. These power projects are highly capital intensive and currently, takes care of 2.8% of the power needs of the country. Amongst the 30 countries in the world that use nuclear power, India’s rank at 27 is one of the lowest.

Why nuclear power?
To take India’s economic growth rate to greater heights, there is no doubt that power would be required as the main fuel for this growth. Though coal, thermal and hydro fuel would remain India’s dominant energy mix, it cannot continue to depend on coal alone. Global warming considerations and the immediate availability of clean coal technologies may constrain the coal route at least in the short term. Hydropower may also face constraints that arise from changes in the hydrological cycle triggered by long term climatic change. Hence having nuclear power in India’s energy portfolio is crucial for preserving India’s energy security

What does 123 agreement mean?
The 123 Agreement is the terms of engagement which operationalizes the treaty agreement between India and USA for transfer of civil nuclear technology. India’s right to test nuclear weapons, guarantees of lifetime fuel supply and India’s right to reprocess the spent fuel have all been covered in this agreement.

What is the Hyde Act?
The Henry J. Hyde United States-India Peaceful Atomic Energy Cooperation Act of 2006, it is known as the Hyde Act. It is the legal framework for this deal and provides the legal basis for the 123 Agreement with India.

What would the deal with USA mean for India?
The Govt has chalked out a roadmap wherein over the next 25 years, through the deal, it has set a target of generating 20,000 MWe (unit of nuclear power) as against the current 3,900 MWe.

The biggest advantage, which the UPA Govt is actually seeking is projecting to the world that it an ally of USA, which is a superpower in the world of today. The deal would provide India with access to American civilian nuclear technology. It would finally open up the door to US military technology, especially the fascinating US missile defense system.

Once the new reactors are set up, and they go critical without any time overrun, the nuclear power generation would take care of 8% of India’s total power requirement. More than 80% of the power generated in India comes from coal and thermal. And that will continue but just as oil has become critical today, coal will also one day reach such a stage. And unless we have backups ready, our entire country could get unplugged. Having nuclear power could help India, over the long run, offset the rising cost of coal.

Yes, price of uranium is also mounting. Between 2005 (when the India-US nuclear deal was first proposed) and 2007 (when the 123 Agreement was finalised), since then, the spot price of uranium has quadrupled. According to a June 2008 market assessment, a further 58 per cent increase is expected. But remember unlike oil, we are dealing with more mature economies here who will supply uranium and hopefully, they will prevent the present cartelization which we see in oil.

What is the cost of nuclear power?
At present, power from existing nuclear reactors costs, after huge subsidies, between Rs 2.70 and Rs 2.80 per kWh. The coal-fired Sasan mega power project in Madhya Pradesh will be supplying power at Rs 1.196 per unit. The real cost of power from existing nuclear reactors is around Rs 4 per unit; the cost of power produced by new reactors will be around Rs 5.50 per unit. But the economies of scale would soon start giving the advantages. Plus, these costs are today at the present levels of coal price, so when price of coal escalates further, cost would only go up.

What would the deal mean to Indian companies?
India has plans to set up 15 plants over the next 20 years. Business worth $100 billion is expected to be generated from this nuclear deal over the next 20 years. Apart from USA and France, which would benefit immensely, Indian companies too will get a part of this juicy pie. Over 400 Indian companies are expected to benefit, mainly for those involved in making equipment for nuclear power plants.

Why did the Left withdraw support?
The Left alleged that the deal would undermine the sovereignty of India's foreign policy. It has also stated that the Indian government was hiding certain clauses of the deal, which would harm India's indigenous nuclear program.

Source: sptulsian.com

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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