Saturday, May 31, 2008

Stock Idea: Rural Electrification

A pioneer in the area of rural electrification, this PSU has posted a consistent performance for year ended 31-03-08.
With a 27% rise in net income and 20% rise in operating expense, on the profitability front, the company has done well. Its consolidated net profit rose 30% at Rs.860.14 crore. On an equity of Rs.858.66 crores, it posted an EPS of Rs.10.94.
Its sanctions were up 85% and Rs.60,764 crore while disbursements rose 19% at Rs.16,303 crore. Infact, it disbursed a subsidy of Rs.3,350 crore and a loan of Rs.401 crore under Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana.
On 05-05-08, REC was granted the ‘Navratna’ status. This gives its financial and administrative autonomy. REC can now take decisions of investing up to Rs.1,000 crore or 15% of its net worth independently. It would be able to expand its electricity business in the rural areas.
REC had gone public in March 2008, in the wake of the turmoil in the IPO markets cuased by Reliance Power. Yet, it had managed to do well and to a large extent, was responsible for restoring some faith back into the primary markets.
It had issued shares at Rs.105 and had got listed at Rs.128. It is currently quoted at Rs.111. Unlike PSU banks, REC does not disburse loans to farmers or individuals, it finances public sector projects and mega power projects. It is in no way affected by the debt waivers announced. It’s risk is to the extent of recovering money from other PSU’s, a risk which all banks face.
REC is a good buy at CMP of Rs.107.

Stock Ideas: Rolta India

Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its buy rating on Rolta India with a target price of Rs 437 in its May 27, 2008 research report. "The company management has indicated there is a huge opportunity for it in terms of airport redevelopment, 3D city mapping and work related to power distribution companies (discoms). Rolta is already involved with 26 airport projects across the country. Mapping a single city would be a Rs 1.5-Rs 2.0 billion project. Rolta has hands on experience in this as it has done 3D city mapping for Dubai. We also understand that Rolta is working on nine projects for power distribution companies."
"We expect Rolta to report 46.30% and 35.2% revenue growth in FY09 and FY10 respectively. We expect its earnings to grow by 34.2% and 48.6% during the same period. We maintain BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 437 (14xFY10E earnings)," says Lilladher's research report.

Friday, May 30, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 30th May

There are so much annoucements will hit the market today like Inflation rate, GDP, Petrol price Hike etc. So Indian Stock Market may remains very volatile but I think there are some positive news also like Crude oils comes down to $126, Sebi eases registration norms for FIIs and sub accounts, FIIs can issue participatory notes to entities like hedge funds, Government allows infrastructure firms to borrow US$100mn abroad through ECBs for rupee expenditure under the approval route. So overall market may see a good and strong rally even today or from Monday.
Today's Intraday Stock Tips/ Trading Calls:
ELECON ENGINEERING
NEYVELI LIGNITE
PRAJ INDUSTRIES
INDIABULLS REALEST
ANSAL INFRA
INDIABULLS SECURITIES.
For Levels and Targets download the file by CLICK HERE.
Others: Bombay Dyeing & Pharma Sector.
Corporate News :
Reliance Industries and Standard Chartered Bank may co-bid for strategic stake in IFCI. (DNA)
Sun Pharma may take legal action against Israel’s Taro Pharma, for terminating merger. (BS)
L&T schedules first of three IPOs for 2009-10. (BL)
Jubilant completes acquisition of Canada's Draxis Speciality Pharma for US$253mn. (BS)
Exide plans investment worth Rs350mn to acquire lead smelter company. (BL)
SAT sets aside SEBI penalty on Holcim. (BS)
Tata group is setting up a BPO on its proposed steel plant site in Orissa. (BS)
Tata’s small car Nano is hit by rising input costs. (DNA)
Videocon is planning to set up a 1,000MW hydropower project in Uttaranchal. (DNA)
Piramal Life to invest Rs2bn p.a. for next 2-3 years on R&D. (DNA)
Gujarat Industries Power Co. (GIPCL) is expected to start work on the 500MW lignite based power plant soon. (DNA)
PTC plans to raise US$500mn. (BL)
Kavveri Telecom signs MoU with MS Ramaiah School of Advanced Studies to augment its R&D. (BL)
TCS to spend Rs19bn in the current fiscal year. (BL)
ABG Infralogistics is set to get deals for two Haldia dock terminal operations. (BL)
Havells India among 14 FDI plans cleared for issuing shares and warrants. (BL)
NMDC and Spice Minerals sign MoU for a JV to seek overseas acquisitions. (BL)
Linde Group, Germany plans to invest euro 1bn in its unit BOC India over 7-10 years. (FE)
ICICI Prudential ties-up with American Express Banking Corp.(FE)
Karuturi Global to raise US$250mn for agri project in Ethopia. (FE)
Dish TV to increase borrowing limits by Rs10bn. (FE)
Orchid Chemicals to convert business alliance with Ranbaxy into an agreement next month. (FE)
Hindustan Aeronautics to manufacture over 1,000 Honeywell TPE331 aircrafts engines for the US Company. (FE)
HPCL decides to put on hold Rs317.5bn worth of capital investment. (FE)
TDSAT directs BSNL to restore connection to Bharti Airtel in parts of Bangalore. (FE)
L&T proposes to set up 15-hector IT SEZ in Gujarat. (FE)
BoA to consider the in-principle approval to SEZ proposals of Gremach Infrastructure. (FE)
Maharashtra government delays land acquisition process, slows down Tata Power, Reliance Energy power project development. (FE)
Hanung Toys to acquire frontline US home furnishing marketing company. (ET)
Wipro wins an interim court ruling against bulb maker KK Lamps. (ET)
JB Group announces foray into food business by forming a new company JB N JEG Foods. (ET)
TTML in talks with Srei Group company Quippo Telecom to merge its tower arm. (ET)
Bombay Dyeing sold off its DMT plant to Gujarat Company. (ET)
Good Luck

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Stock Idea: BHEL

Emkay Research has maintained its buy rating on Bharat Heavy Electricals with a price target of Rs 2330 in its May 27, 2008 research report. "BHEL declared its Q4FY2008 results with net sales of Rs 72 billion and net profit at Rs 11.1 billion. However the same is below our expectation. The net sales growth of barely 4.1% clearly shows execution problems with the company. The order book position is at Rs 85.5 billion which was ahead of expectations."
"In order to factor in a lower earnings growth we are downgrading our price target to Rs 2330, which is based on 22.5X its FY2010 earnings. At CMP of Rs 1655, BHEL is trading at 16X its FY2010 earnings and 10.4X its FY2010 EBIDTA, which is near the lower range of its trading band. We believe that BHEL is taking steps in right direction to address issue of supercritical order, increasing pace of execution and expanding capacity. Key positive triggers are negotiated orders for 800MW supercritical units from NTPC, visibility on execution of projects in JVs like that with TNEB for supercritical projects and award of 800X2 MW supercritical units from Krishnapatnam project. Faster execution of delayed order shall also improve near-term earnings growth. Maintain BUY," says Emkay's research report.

Stock Idea: Idea Celluler

By monetising 20% of its holding in Indus Towers, Idea has reduced its leverage from 1.5x to 0.6x, and armed itself with enough cash and debt capacity to undertake both network growth in its existing circles and footprint expansion in new circles, including potentially inorganic growth. We revise our revenue estimates for existing operations upwards by 6% and 8% for FY09 and FY10 respectively, on the back of stronger-than-expected performance on the subscriber addition and ARPU front. Idea also has been allocated spectrum in Tamil Nadu and Orissa circles, and will likely begin operations this year. We include these two circles in our estimates, and this takes 12% off our FY10 earnings estimate. We retain BUY with a DCF-based target price of Rs156 (previously Rs148).
Funding problem solved for the present: By raising US$640m through compulsorily convertible preference shares (CCPS) as an investment into its subsidiary Aditya Birla Telecom Limited (ABTL), Idea has reduced its debt-equity ratio to 0.6x. Idea can raise its cash reserves to nearly Rs130bn within a debt–equity ratio of 2x. With this, network growth in its current 11 circles as well as rollout in new circles can be executed for the first year, especially since rollout in the new circles will be staggered. While Idea will need more funds to fund its longer-term capex for the remaining seven circles, the dilution of stake in Indus is a positive move, especially as no dilution of rights in Indus Towers is involved. Operations in existing circles strong, rollout to accelerate: By managing to raise usage minutes on its network by 9% sequentially in 4Q, Idea managed to increase its ARPU by nearly 3%, leading to a strong revenue growth of 15% QoQ.
With subscriber additions now averaging more than 1.1m per month, we raise our subscriber forecast for Idea (in its current circles plus Mumbai and Bihar), for FY09 by 5% to 36m and for FY10 by 4% to 46m. We continue to model declining ARPU as we believe that for the present, new subscriber addition will continue to be strong and drag ARPU down. Spectrum in three new circles obtained; expect service launch by December 2008: Spectrum in Tamil Nadu (including Chennai) and Orissa has already been obtained and the company expects to start service by December. We expect spectrum in the remaining seven circles, including the prominent Punjab and Karnataka circles, to come Idea’s way in the next 12 months. We are adding these two circles in our model.

By Indiainfoline

Markets Today

Markets closed in red after a good morning start. During the day’s trade, it was trading almost volatile and suddenly slipped before the last half hour, as trade wound up. The BSE auto index has underperformed the other sectoral indices; it closed down over 3%. Bank, oil & gas, power realty, consumer durable & FMCG indices were witnessing selling pressure.
However, capital goods index closed with good gains; this sectoral was led by Larsen & Toubro as it came out with good financial numbers.
The Sensex closed down 209.11 points or 1.27% at 16316.26, and the Nifty was down 83.05 points or 1.69% at 4835.30.
About 1230 shares have advanced, 1670 shares declined, and 210 shares are unchanged.
The BSE midcap index down 0.17% and smallcap index down 0.68%.
The BSE auto index tumbled 3.24% or 147.69% at 4414.34.Tata Motors, Mahidra and Mahindra, Hindustan Motors, Hero Honda, TVS Motors closed down.
The BSE bankex fell 2.79% or 221.14 at 7712.36. SBI, ICICI Bank, Allahabad Bank, Bank of India, Canara Bank ended in red.
The BSE oil & gas index plunged 1.91% or 206.27 at 10571.64. ONGC, Reliance, RNRL, Gail, Petronet LNG, Essar Oil closed negative.
The BSE realty index dropped 1.45% or 105.04 at 7125.38. Puavankara Projects, HDIL, Ansal Properties, Unitech, Peninsula Land, DLF slipped.
The BSE power slipped 1.35% or 41.81 at 3062.48. Suzlon, GMR Infra, NTPC, GVK Power ended down.
The BSE FMCG index cut down 0.99% or 24.21 points at 2419.47. Colgaste, HUL, ITC, Nestle fell.
However, the BSE capital goods index surged 2.03% or 255.12 points at 12827.03. Larsen, Alstom Projects, Bharat Elec, Carborundum, BEML, Jyoti Structure surged.
The BSE metal moved up 0.58% or 96 points at 16745.65. Jindal Steel, Jindal Saw, JSW Steel,Sesa Goa, JindalStainless flared.
The NSE cash turnover was at Rs 18136 crore and the NSE F&O turnover was at Rs 64758.96 crore. The BSE cash turnover was Rs 6206.67 crore. Total market wide turnover was at Rs 89101.63 crore.
Source: moneycontrol.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 29th May

Today Indian Stock Market may open positive and remains same for the day. Little bit volatility can be seen because of expiry day. Overall market may see good rally today with positive closing.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls/Stock Tips:
RENUKA SUGAR
NEYVELI LIGNITE
PRAJ INDUSTRIES
INDIABULLS REALEST
RELIANCE INFRA
UNION BANK
For Levels and Targets download the file by CLICK HERE.
Others: Sitashree Food, Mundra Port.
Corporate News
IOC to ration supplies in order to cut revenue losses. (BL)
Tata Motors plans 3 types of rights issue having differential voting rights as part of its plan to raise Rs72bn for the Jaguar-Land Rover acquisition. (BL)
ITC raises the prices of 3 of its cigarette brands by 10%. (BS)
Sun Pharmaceuticals’ US$454mn proposal to acquire Israeli drug-maker Taro has been called off. (BL)
Ranbaxy gets mixed verdict on Pfizer’s Lipitor in Australia. (BL)
Tata Steel-Corus raised prices for structural sections by £90 per ton from its Europe operations. (BL)
Unitech is in final stages of negotiation with Lehman for a US$500mn PE investment in its two commercial projects in Mumbai. (BL)
ONGC may reimburse part of service tax to shipping companies. (BL)
Tata Power to invest Rs5bn for wind power expansion. (BL)
GMR to set up ONGC’s proposed refinery in Kakinada. (BL)
HPCL-Mittal energy JV has approached the Petroleum Ministry to seek tax incentives.Infosys Technologies to implement Finacle Universal Banking Solutions at BVA. (BS)
RIL and HPCL bid for control of three state-run sugar factories in Bihar. (BS)
Orbit Corp to foray in beachfront projects through SPV. (BS)
Reliance Communication to start due diligence of MTN.(BS)
Parsvnath to buy 30% stake in Nano City. (BS)
Adani Energy has been slapped with legal proceedings claiming US$100mn in losses by Petronas for violating an agreement to buy and sell LNG. (Mint)
Cipla has filed pre-grant oppositions for over 50 drugs. (ET)
Good Luck

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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