Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Stock Idea: Visaka Industries Ltd. (VIL)

Visaka Industries Ltd. (VIL) (Code: 509055) (Rs.39.90) is a large player in cement products and synthetic yarn and is poised for a jump in profitability on the back of further expansion. VIL was originally incorporated as Visaka Asbestos Cement Products in June 1981 and acquired its present name in August 1990. The other group companies are Visaka Cement Industry, Venus Tobacco Company and VST Natural Products. In 1997-98, its asbestos unit at Paramathi Velur in Tamil Nadu commenced commercial production. Its present capacity of asbestos cement products is 5,44,000 TPA. Employing state-of-the-art Twin Air-jet technology from Murata, Japan, VIL's spinning mill strategically utilises German and Indian technology. VIL was promoted by Dr. G Vivekanand. By adhering to stringent quality control and adhering to quality systems, VIL won the ISO 9002 certificate in 1995 and Export House status in 2001. Its Asbestos Cement Division contributes 80% of the total revenue and reported an operating profit of Rs.41 cr. During H1FY09 as against Rs.13.5 cr. in H1FY08 and Rs.29 cr. for FY08. Its Synthetic Yarn Division contributes nearly 20% of sales. Despite the sustained stress in the industry, this division continues to do well. It reported an operating profit of Rs.7.2 cr. during H1FY09 as against Rs.8.1 cr. in H1FY08 and Rs.10.4 cr. in FY08.

VIL has already disposed off its loss making Garment Division and wrote off Rs.7.3 cr. in FY08. During FY08, Shakti Roofings Pvt. Ltd. was merged with VIL w.e.f. 1 April 2006. Accordingly, VIL allotted 20,07,995 shares to the shareholders of Shakti Roofings, as per the agreed swap ratio of 2.29:1 on 19 June 2007. During FY08, VIL's sales moved up by 3% to Rs.433 cr. but net profit declined by 67% to Rs.7.7 cr. over FY07. During Q2FY09, sales advanced by 27% to Rs.121 cr. while net profit jumped to Rs.7 cr. from net loss of Rs.2.7 cr. over Q2FY08. During H1FY09, VIL's sales rose by 31% to Rs.294 cr. and net profit by 558% to Rs.21.7 cr. In textiles, VIL has been a focused synthetic blended yarn player, supplying to customers in the UK, France, Germany, Spain, Italy and Turkey. Its exports in FY08 amounted to Rs.48 cr. VIL started the commercial production of reinforced building boards from its newly commissioned unit in Miryalaguda having a capacity of 48,000 TPA from May 2008.This unit was set up at a cost of Rs.36 cr. and for which the funds were partly raised through a QIP placement in January 2007. It is also setting up another 48,000 TPA a month Reinforced Building Board Sandwiched Panel Unit in Miryalguda, Andhra Pradesh. VIL had allotted 3 lakh equity shares and 9 lakh convertible equity share warrants in 2007 at Rs.135 per share to Sandadi Homes Pvt. Ltd., which were subscribed into an equivalent number of equity shares of Rs.10 each, for cash at Rs.136 per share. This was for funding its asbestos cement expansion. VIL's equity capital is Rs.15.9 cr. and with reserves of Rs.143 cr., the book value of its share works out to Rs.100. Its debt:equity ratio is 1.2 and the value of its gross block is Rs.307 cr. Promoters hold 36.7% in the equity capital, foreign holding is 3.7%, Andhra Pradesh government holds 4.1%, PCBs hold 25.4%, institutions hold 1.3% leaving 28.8% with the investing public. Sandwiched panels are in demand for use as partition material. The Reinforced Building Board Sandwiched Panels are made of two fibre-reinforced cement sheets enclosing a lightweight core. These panels are cheaper than masonary/wood partitions, easier to fix and take lesser time for installation.

VIL has entered into an agreement with an Australian company for technology transfer for, Reinforced Building Board Sandwiched Panels. The government's thrust on rural development is likely to heighten activity in the rural housing sector, which will lead to higher demand for asbestos-based roofing sheets. Its demand has been growing considerably and grew by 16.5% in FY08. Asbestos sheets are a cheaper alternative to galvanized steel sheets, which are also used in housing. Based on the current going and with user industries doing well, VIL is all set to post 33% higher sales of Rs.575 cr. In FY09. Net profit, too, will rise to Rs.35 cr., which would give an EPS of Rs.22. With major expansion in cement sheets and the commencement of its sandwiched panel unit, VIL is expected to post a

turnover of Rs.750 cr. by 2010 with net profit of Rs.45 cr., which would give an EPS of Rs.28. The shares of VIL are currently traded at Rs.40 discounting the estimated EPS of Rs.22 for FY09 by 1.9 times and projected FY10 EPS of Rs.28 by only 1.5 times. Applying a conservative P/E of 3 on its estimated FY09 EPS of Rs.22, the share is likely to cross the Rs.66 in the short-term and Rs.84 in the medium-to-long-term. The 52-week high/low of the share has been Rs.118/40.

Source: Internet (moneytimes)

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 20th January

Indian Stock Market may open Negative With gap down but recovery expected from lower levels at mid session.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

ROLTA INDIA

Buy Above

88.20

92.45

96.00

Sell Below

86.30

83.15

80.00

RCOM

Buy Above

187.10

192.55

198.00

Sell Below

183.40

179.25

175.00

RPOWER

Buy Above

102.80

106.20

110.00

Sell Below

99.80

96.50

93.00

DCHL

Buy Above

41.20

43.45

45.00

Sell Below

39.60

37.20

35.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

115.70

120.15

125.00

Sell Below

112.40

109.20

105.00

INDIA CEMENT

Buy Above

109.60

113.50

118.00

Sell Below

106.70

102.60

98.00

HDIL

Buy Above

111.80

116.45

122.00

Sell Below

109.20

105.35

101.00

Very Short Term Delivery Buy : Compact Disk (526141) CMP Rs. 38/- Target Rs. 50+

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Monday, January 19, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 19th January

Indian Stock Market may open positive With gap up but trade with high volatility throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

NEYVELI LIGNITE

Buy Above

76.20

78.75

82.00

Sell Below

74.15

71.70

69.00

RNRL

Buy Above

54.75

57.20

60.00

Sell Below

52.70

50.50

48.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

206.70

213.50

220.00

Sell Below

201.35

196.40

191.00

BANK OF BARODA

Buy Above

242.60

248.35

255.00

Sell Below

238.20

234.10

228.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

115.20

120.00

125.00

Sell Below

112.50

109.20

105.00

ACC

Buy Above

504.80

512.75

522.00

Sell Below

498.40

490.50

480.00

INDIABULLS REALST

Buy Above

114.20

118.75

124.00

Sell Below

111.40

108.15

104.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Friday, January 16, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 16th January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but trade with high volatility throughout the day today. A good positive closing expected today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

RCOM

Buy Above

176.20

181.15

186.00

Sell Below

173.40

169.35

165.00

HDIL

Buy Above

100.55

105.45

110.00

Sell Below

98.40

95.15

92.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

117.20

121.05

128.00

Sell Below

114.40

110.05

105.00

VOLTAS

Buy Above

48.20

50.60

53.00

Sell Below

46.50

45.05

43.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

112.70

117.10

122.00

Sell Below

110.05

106.15

102.00

HPCL

Buy Above

275.60

281.15

288.00

Sell Below

270.25

265.15

260.00

HCL TECH

Buy Above

110.60

115.05

120.00

Sell Below

107.60

104.15

100.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 14th January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but trade with high volatility throughout the day today. A good positive closing expected today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

RCOM

Buy Above

170.20

175.45

182.00

Sell Below

168.35

164.15

160.00

HDIL

Buy Above

102.20

107.15

112.00

Sell Below

99.40

96.15

92.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

116.65

121.05

128.00

Sell Below

113.20

110.05

105.00

TATA MOTORS

Buy Above

157.20

162.15

168.00

Sell Below

153.70

149.20

145.00

BRFL

Buy Above

101.70

106.45

112.00

Sell Below

99.20

96.15

92.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

204.60

210.15

215.00

Sell Below

200.15

195.70

191.00

MPHASIS BFL

Buy Above

150.80

154.20

158.00

Sell Below

148.20

145.15

141.00

Keep an eye on Sunderam Fastners (500403) CMP Rs. 18/-

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 13th January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but trade with high volatility throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

LIC HOUSING FINANCE

Buy Above

223.60

228.15

235.00

Sell Below

220.25

215.60

210.00

HDIL

Buy Above

101.80

106.15

112.00

Sell Below

99.40

96.15

92.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

119.20

123.40

128.00

Sell Below

116.05

112.60

109.00

HCL TECH

Buy Above

109.70

114.25

120.00

Sell Below

106.40

102.25

98.00

RENUKA SUGAR

Buy Above

65.25

67.65

70.00

Sell Below

63.50

61.20

58.00

ACC

Buy Above

500.05

508.55

520.00

Sell Below

492.40

485.20

478.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

116.20

121.25

127.00

Sell Below

114.20

111.10

107.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Monday, January 12, 2009

Stock Idea: GSPL

Gujarat State Petronet went public on 24th January 2006, with a public issue of 13.80 crore equity shares of Rs.10 each, at Rs.27 per share. Its 52 week high low were at Rs.114 and Rs.25 and is now ruling at Rs.41 levels.

The stock has been in the news for the last one month as huge delivery based buying has been seen in the stock. Share has risen by about 64% in the last one month, from Rs.25 on 10-12-08, which was also its 52 week low.

The company is the second largest natural gas transmission network in India and is the first and only pure natural gas transmission company in India, to transport natural gas on an “open access,” means, company making available its gas transmission capacity available to any shipper on non-discriminating basis.

The company presently has grid pipe network of 1,130 kms. which is being expanded to 2,200 kms. in the next 18 months. The company is presently transporting about 17 mmscmd of gas while in FY 08 transported 6,145 mmscm of gas. In first 6 months of FY 09, it transported 3,069 mmscm of gas. There is no overlapping pipeline network along the route of the company’s pipeline network.

The company has also signed a 15 year agreement with Reliance Industries Ltd., to transport 11 mmscmd (expandable to 14 mmscmd) of gas from Bharuch to Jamnagar and also with Torrent Power, of 20 years, to transport 4.5 mmscmd of gas. Both these contracts would be operational in the next 3 – 4 months, with commencement of gas production, by RIL, from its K G Basin. Hence, the company would be able to double its topline and bottomline.

For FY 08 the total income of company was at Rs.447 crores with net profit of Rs.100 crores and cash profit of Rs.265 crores on equity of Rs.562 crores. EPS for FY 08 was placed at Re.1.81 while cash EPS was at Rs.4.70. For first six months of FY 09, total income of the company was at R.252 crores with profit after tax of Rs.61 crores with cash profit of Rs.145 crores.

The company has been able to source gas upto points of Mundra Port and Pipavav Port and are connected to supply to Surat, Bharuch, Vadodara, Ahmedabad, Anand, Gandhinagar, Surendranagar, Sabarkantha, Kalol, Mehasana, Morbi, Vapi and Valsad.

The share capital of the company is at Rs.562 crores, of which, 37.77% is held by its promoters, Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Ltd., while 35.91% is held by Banks, Mutual Funds, FIIs and state government companies. 26.32% stake is held by the public.

It is strange to see that Gujarat Maritime Board is holding 6.60%, Gujarat Urja 2.02%, GNFC 1.42% and GIDC 1.42% (totaling 11.46%( but the same has not been shown as promoters holding). So, in reality, Gujarat Govt is having a direct – indirect stake of close to 50%.

The controversy in respect to sharing 30% profit before tax of the company, for charity is also likely to be given re-thinking by the Gujarat Govt., as the similar proposal has been defeated by the shareholders of Guj. Alkalies and GNFC, where government stake is less than 50%,. So, if this company also drops this proposal, stock would get further re-rating.

Due to bright prospects of gas transportation sector, in Gujarat, the stock holds good growth potential as the company would be able to double its topline and bottomline in the next 6 months with its existing infrastructure and network.
Those who are holding the stock are advised to remain invested as stock has good medium term potential.
Source: sptulsian.com

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



free counter