Friday, October 31, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 31st October
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Idea: GMR INFRASTRUCTURE
For Q2FY09, on a YoY, net sales was up 114.21% from Rs. 395.31 crore to Rs. 846.81 crore. EBITDA rose 58.72% from Rs. 155.71 crore to Rs. 247.14 crore. PAT (before notional forex losses) increased by 135.53% from Rs. 44.80 crore to Rs. 105.52 crore while PAT (after notional forex losses) declined by 6.05% from Rs. 49.58 crore to Rs. 46.58 crore.
The MTM forex loss was to the tune of Rs. 58.94 crore for the quarter, accounted mostly by two of the company’s subsidiaries - Vemagiri Power Generation Limited (VPGL) and GMR Hyderabad International Airport Limited (GHIAL), on the foreign currency project loans borrowed by them. The company has assured that these losses are notional and should the situation arise, these two subsidiaries have adequate dollar revenues to provide natural hedge for the currency fluctuations that may arise with respect to interest and principal payments/repayments. But for this forex loss, which is not an isolated phenomenon with GMR, the company had a very good growth story, a rise of over 100% in PAT despite the circumstances is commendable.
The company used the current global crisis in its favour and managed to renegotiate its acquisition cost of Intergen NV, thus reducing the cost by US$162 million. The Hyderabad Airport has started collecting User Development Fee (UDF) from domestic passengers from last week of August ’08 after getting the necessary approvals from Ministry of Civil Aviation. With this, Hyderabad Airport has also started realising all its revenue streams. The company soft launched its 308 room hotel at Hyderabad Airport. GMR also commissioned the cargo terminal at the Sabiha Gokcen International Airport (SGIA), Turkey, which it is re-building and will have a new passenger terminal by October 2009.
GMR continues to remain a very strong company. It is facing a selling pressure on the bourses, which is in concurrence with the ongoing slaughter by investors on realty and infra companies. At the current rates, GMR is an excellent long term buy. Stay invested, there is no need to panic, it’s long term growth story remains intact.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 29th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
RANBAXY (191)
Buy Above 193.60 Target 197.80, 205.00
Sell Below 189.50 Target 185.10, 180.00
INDIABULLS REALEST (119)
Buy Above 121.20 Target 125.10, 130.00
Sell Below 117.40 Target 113.20, 108.00
SATYAM COMPUTER (300)
Buy Above 302.70 Target 308.40, 315.00
Sell Below 297.20 Target 293.05, 288.00
CAIRN INDIA (109)
Buy Above 110.60 Target 115.05, 120.00
Sell Below 107.45 Target 103.50, 98.00
HDIL (142)
Buy Above 143.80 Target 148.35, 154.00
Sell Below 140.05 Target 136.15, 132.00
PUNJ LLOYD (173)
Buy Above 174.80 Target 179.55, 185.00
Sell Below 171.25 Target 167.10, 162.00
Others: GTC, Andhra Petro, Videocon Industries.
GOOD LUCK & A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR.
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stock Ideas for 28th October (DIWALI)
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (228)
YES BANK (60)
GODREJ INDUSTRIES (72)
HDIL (136)
SATYAM COMPUTER (287)
MED TO LONG TERM DELIVERY BUY:
Buy Videocon Industries (511389) CMP Rs. 100/- for Med to Long term for 100% gain.
Buy Andhra Petro (500012) CMP Rs. 10/- For Med to Long Term Target Rs. 35+.
Buy Ansal Buildwell (523007) CMP Rs. 16/- For Med to Long Term Target Rs. 60+.
Buy Golden Tobacco Ltd (500151) CMP Rs. 50/- For Med to Long Term Target Rs. 150-200.
Good Luck
Monday, October 27, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 27th October
Indian Stock Market may open Flat to positive and remains the same with high volatility throughout the day today.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (245)
Buy Above 247.60 Target 254.50, 265.00
Sell Below 242.40 Target 238.15, 232.00
WIPRO (235)
Buy Above 237.80 Target 243.15, 250.00
Sell Below 233.05 Target 229.10, 225.00
SATYAM COMPUTER (287)
Buy Above 289.20 Target 295.40, 305.00
Sell Below 284.40 Target 280.05, 275.00
TECH MAHINDRA (336)
Buy Above 338.60 Target 345.35, 355.00
Sell Below 333.20 Target 328.40, 320.00
HDIL (137)
Buy Above 138.55 Target 142.35, 148.00
Sell Below 135.20 Target 131.15, 124.00
RCOM (193)
Buy Above 195.65 Target 201.55, 210.00
Sell Below 191.45 Target 187.10, 182.00
Buy Videocon Industries (511389) CMP Rs. 115/- for Med to Long term for 100% gain.
Good Luck
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Stock Idea: Sunil Hitech Ltd.
Sunil Hitech Ltd. (Code: 532711) (Rs.65.45) is engaged in the niche segment of fabrication, erection & testing and commissioning of bunkers, ESPs, boilers, TG sets in the power plants both in the private & public sectors. With a client list spanning BHEL, NTPC, Reliance Energy, Jindal Steel and Power, the SEBs of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, Sunil Hitech is also engaged in the overhaul and maintenance of plants to ensure proper functioning. The company also undertakes projects in the transmission and distribution segments. As of today, it has an all time high order book position of more than Rs.1300 cr., which is 4 times its FY08 turnover. Incidentally, the company has an under leveraged balance sheet with a low debt:equity ratio of 0.6 and can raise more debt comfortably. Despite the higher interest cost, it may end FY09 with a topline of Rs.500 cr. with PAT of Rs.20 cr. on a conservative basis. This translates into an EPS of Rs.16 on its current equity of Rs.12.30 cr. Secondly, it has huge reserves of Rs.145 cr. on its small equity leading to a healthy book value of Rs.128. Against the net current assets of Rs.120 cr., the stock is available at a market cap of less than Rs.100 cr., making it a steal.
Source: Moneytimes (internet)
Stock Idea: Aban Offshore Ltd.
Stock Idea: Navin Fluorine Ltd.
BSE Code: 532504/NSE
Last Close: Rs.133
Navin Fluorine is the largest integrated fluorochemicals complex in India since 1967. The company has an equity of just Rs.10.10 cr. but has huge reserves of over Rs.215 cr. The promoters hold 37.16%, corporate bodies hold 15.53%, government financial institutions hold 7.05% and the public holds 38.69% stake in the company. The company has posted excellent Q2FY09 results. Net sales jumped 73.57% while net profit was Rs.17.87 cr. against a loss of Rs.1.81 cr. in Q2FY08. In H1FY09, the company’s sales zoomed 75.45% to Rs.222.82 cr. while net profit was Rs.36.83 cr. against a loss of Rs.1.89 cr. in H1FY08. The company has recorded an EPS of Rs.17.69 in Q2FY09 while the H1FY09 EPS was Rs.36.47. After posting marvellous numbers, the company has declared 50% interim dividend as against FY08 full yaer dividend of 40% and the record date for dividend is 7th November 2008. Its 52-week high/low rate is Rs.455/Rs.130. At the current level, the stock is available at P/E ratio of just 2.9. Investors can buy this stock every decline. On the upper side, it can go up to Rs.175-201 levels in coming days.
Friday, October 24, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 24th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (275)
TECH MAHINDRA (376)
GOOD LUCK
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Low Inflation – Liberal ECB
Looking to the steep fall in global commodity prices like crude, steel, non-ferrous metals as also due to food prices coming under control on the domestic front, due to ensuing kharif crop and liquidation of foodgrain stocks by the traders, we are expected to see inflation softening in single digit by end of November 08 itself. This was earlier expected or likely to happen by end of December or in the first week of January. With Indian crude basket now ruling at close to $ 61 per barrel, we may see reduction in oil prices by the government, which may also help us in seeing lower inflation. Also oil marketing companies, announce the price of non-administered oil products every 1st and 15th of the month, the data of next week’s inflation may be quite low, as effect of falling crude price is not reflected in these datas as they pertain for week ending 10th October 08.
Due to lower inflation figures, which are market friendly, the government has again started releasing them during market hours at 12 noon. When they were on rise, government have been releasing them in the evening, as rising figures were spoiling the market sentiments.
Inspite of a drop in inflation, stock market has not responded too well to these. Maybe, the present problem for the market is not of inflation but of liquidity. And as stated by us in our previous stories, RBI has been pro-active and have gone for CRR cut of 250 bps and Repo rate cut of 100 bps, to inject the liquidity in the system and to make borrowings bit cheaper.
One more step in this direction was taken by the government and RBI by easing the ECB norms, which will help Indian companies to borrow from overseas market to fund its projects.
The revised rules permit ECBs upto $ 500 million per borrower per financial year, for rupee or foreign currency expenditure for permissible end uses under the automatic route. The norm of a minimum average maturity period of seven years for ECB of more than $ 100 million for rupee capital expenditure by borrowers in the infrastructure sector has been dispensed with. Definition of infrastructure sector has also been widened to include mining and refining, henceforth.
Revised rules provide for companies to pay a higher interest of upto 500 bps over the six month LIBOR on ECBs. Borrowers can bring in the proceeds immediately and can also use dollar borrowings for rupee expenditure. Presently, ECB proceeds are required to be parked overseas until actual expenditure takes place. Telecom companies would also be allowed to use ECB for payment of licence/permit for 3G Spectrum. However, this will not be allowed for realty and inter-corporate loans.
This is with a view to ease liquidity in the domestic system as also to stop rupee weakening further, which is ruling close to 50 levels.
India would see short term debt redemption of $ 89 billion between July 08 to July 09 and this could put further pressure on the rupee. This redemption is equal to about 40% of country’s total external debt of $ 220 billion as on date.
So unless, we have huge forex inflow in the next 6 – 12 months, we may see huge imbalance and could see rupee falling to 53 – 54 levels..
The relaxation in ECB norms may not result in an immediate inflow of funds due to widening, spreads over LIBOR and huge credit crunch faced by global markets with huge financial turmoil in US and Europe. But, for the established Indian companies with good track record and good projects, would be able to source funding, as some lenders would also be forthcoming to lend, to keep its business running.
Though market is not responding to both these positive news, as they are driven by global sentiments, which are quite negative but would help in the medium to long term for the Indian economy.
Intraday Trading Calls for 23rd October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
HPCL (209)
Buy Above 210.65 Target 215.35, 222.00
Sell Below 207.40 Target 202.55, 196.00
BPCL (323)
Buy Above 324.60 Target 331.45, 340.00
Sell Below 320.10 Target 314.30, 308.00
TATA SPONGE (157)
Buy Above 158.80 Target 164.25, 170.00
Sell Below 155.10 Target 152.15, 148.00
Buy Above 184.50 Target 187.15, 190.00
Sell Below 181.40 Target 178.25, 175.00
RANBAXY (256)
Buy Above 258.75 Target 263.45, 270.00
Sell Below 254.60 Target 248.20, 240.00
RCOM (235)
Buy Above 236.85 Target 242.60, 250.00
Sell Below 233.20 Target 228.40, 222.00
IDEA CELL (47.55) Buy at Decline around 44-45 for short term target of Rs. 65+.
GOOD LUCK
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Ranbaxy – Indian to overseas MNC
The present stake of Daiichi in Ranbaxy is now placed at 52.50%, which would rise to 64%, post acquisition of shares in second tranche from the promoters.
Now the question in the minds of investors in Ranbaxy is whether to treat the company as an overseas MNC and if yes, none of pharma companies with overseas promoters are well received by the market and are poorly discounted on the bourses. Some of them are Abbott India, Glaxo, Novartis, Pfizer and Wyeth.
However, one can’t go by the same yardstick while investing in Ranbaxy or taking a valuation call on the stock.
Ranbaxy on a consolidated basis, as at 31-12-07 had a total debt of Rs.3, 700 crores, net off cash. Now with infusion of Rs.3, 585 crores by Daiichi, by subscribing 4.63 crore shares and 2.38 crore warrants, the company has become totally debt free.
Now let’s have an analysis from Daiichi investment angle, who have invested R.3, 585 crore by preferential allotment paid Rs.6, 817 crores to public shareholders as also shall be paying Rs.9, 575 crores to the Indian promoters. An additional Rs.1, 580 crores shall be paid by Daiichi to the company, on conversion of 2.78 crores warrants, into equal number of shares at Rs.737 per share, within the next 6 – 18 months. So aggregate investment by Daiichi in Ranbaxy is to the extent of Rs.21, 557 crores, which is about U S $ 4.50 billion.
When Daiichi has made this kind of investment, definitely they have growth plans for the company, which will yield its results over a longer term. Ranbaxy stock is now ruling at Rs.260 per share, which translates into a market capitalization of about Rs.12, 000 crores, post warrant conversion. This kind of valuation definitely is very low when compared with its annual consolidated topline of Rs.7, 500 crores and debt free status. Ranbaxy had a profit after tax of Rs.787 crores for year ending 31-12-07. The company is aiming to a have a global sales of US $ 5 billion, by 2012 and to be among the top 5 global generic companies. This dream would not have been achieved by the Indian promoters due to various global litigations but now would be possible with Daiichi at the helm of affairs of the company.
Daiichi is an established R&D player and now with Ranbaxy coming in its fold, it becomes an end to end complete pharma company. With many patents going off-patent in the next 3 – 5 years, Ranbaxy, with the backing of Daiichi would be able exploit the potential of global markets.
We have been getting lot of queries from our viewers whether it would be prudent to remain invested in Ranbaxy stock or to buy it at Rs.260 levels. Going by the investments having made by Daiichi in the company and looking to scale and size of Ranbaxy, share at Rs.260 hold lot of long term potential with virtually minimal risk.
Intraday Trading Calls for 22nd October
SATYAM COMPUTER (317)
IT & Tech sector looks good and may perform well in coming months so Buy IT & TECH Stock for Short to Med Term at every decline.
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 21st October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (312)
Buy Above 314.75 Target 320.25, 328.00
Sell Below 309.20 Target 303.35, 295.00
SAIL (108)
Buy Above 109.20Target 113.40, 118.00
Sell Below 107.10 Target 104.15, 100.00
TATA STEEL (252)
Sell Below 249.40 Target 243.05, 235.00
CAIRN INDIA (162)
Buy Above 163.50 Target 167.40, 172.00
Sell Below 160.10 Target 156.15, 152.00
VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES (132)
Buy Above 133.60 Target 138.25, 145.00
Sell Below 130.00 Target 126.10, 122.00
NTPC (152)
Buy Above 153.45 Target 157.55, 162.00
Sell Below 150.50 Target 146.40, 142.00
GOOD LUCK
Monday, October 20, 2008
European telco set to buy 43% in Unitech's arm
A leading European telecom giant is set to acquire a little over 43 per cent stake in Unitech's telecom venture for $1.4 billion. According to highly-placed sources close to the deal, the legal documentation is likely to be completed shortly and an announcement to this effect is expected by the weekend, or early next week.
Unitech was in talks with three major telecommunication giants, including Italy's Telecom Italia and Norway-based Telenor. Telecom Italia, it is learnt, is no longer in the race due to differences over valuation and the management structure of the company.
Besides the Continent, the European company is a strong player in some of the emerging markets in Asia. With its entry into India, the company will be one of the leading foreign players in South-East Aisa.
Sources said the European company would eventually increase its holding to a majority level at a fair market price. According to the initial understanding, both the partners will have an equal representation on the board with an independent chief executive officer.
"The chief financial officer will be appointed by the foreign partner, while the executive chairman will be nominated by Unitech," sources said. UBS Investment Bank is advising Unitech.
A high-level management of the European company is expected to visit the country early this week to conclude the deal and make a formal announcement, sources said.
Sources said investment by the foreign company would peg the equity value of the telecom joint venture at $3.2 billion, equivalent to Rs 15,840 crore, as against Unitech's market capitalisation of Rs 12,900 crore last Friday.
Unitech's holding in the joint venture would be valued at around Rs 9,000 crore. Under the deal, Unitech, which has advanced a debt of Rs 2,000 crore in the telecom venture, would convert the debt into equity shares worth Rs 450 crore, while retaining the balance of Rs 1,550 crore as debt. The debt would be returned by the joint venture to Unitech over the next few quarters, sources added.
The current paid-up capital of the joint venture is Rs 138 crore, which is owned by Unitech. Post-transaction, the JV's paid-up capital would be close to Rs 750 crore and its networth would be of Rs 7,500 crore, they said.
The proceeds from a private placement of the joint venture would be used for laying down the network, rolling out operations as well as bidding for the 3G spectrum.
Infosys Technologies Order
INFOSYS Technologies has bagged an order from the Union Bank of California, US, for its core banking solution (CBS) Finacle, beating its rival Tata Consultancy Services (TCS). According to sources, Infosys and TCS were the only two shortlisted vendors for this project. What is surprising is that only these two India-based vendors were invited for the project when there are established banking products companies in the US such as Temenos, Fiserve, Metavante among others. When contacted, a spokesperson for Finacle said, "We are not able to comment on this matter." However, sources said that it was a close contest between these IT services majors who have a strong focus on providing software solutions for the financial services market. TCS' banking solution portfolio is called BaNCS. Though, there is no exact estimates on the value of this deal, it most likely could be in the range of $10-15 million. Based on assets, Union Bank of California is among the 25 largest banks in the United States. The bank has 330 branch offices in California, Washington and Oregon, two international offices and facilities in other states. The commercial bank is headquartered in San Francisco having more than 10,000 employees. It registered a revenue of $2.6 billion for 2007 and is majority owned by The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ. Industry observers believe that this is a significant order not just for Infosys but also the Indian banking solutions companies as it gives a strong foothold in the US financial market. India is already home to some of the leading banking products companies like Oracle Financial Services (the erstwhile iflex), Finacle of Infosys, BaNCS of TCS, Nucleus Software, 3I Infotech and Infrasoft. These India-headquartered banking solutions companies were largely focused on the India, APAC, Africa, Middle East and European markets.
Stock Idea: Peninsula Land
Peninsula Land has posted flat results for quarter ending September 08, with PBT placed at Rs.60.82 crores for the quarter against Rs.60.28 crores of the corresponding quarter in the previous year. Even total income for the quarter, though marginally down, could be termed as flat, which is at Rs.110.54 crores for the quarter against Rs.117.37 crore of Q2 FY 08.
The company is developing two major projects in Mumbai viz. Ashoka Towers at Parel and Ashoka Garden at Sewree. The first project is owned by the company, which has been more than 50% complete with over 95% project having been sold by the company. So, inspite of a sharp rise in realty prices in Parel, the company has not gained much as entire project has been sold, below Rs.10,000 per sq. feet against Rs.20,000 per sq. feet ruling now, which at one time had crossed Rs.26,000 per sq. ft. However, with progress in the project, the company is booking part of its revenue and profits. Also, this project has started giving transfer fees to the company, as buyers of flats in the project have started re-selling flats.
In case of Ashoka Garden project at Sewree, the company is entitled to receive 22% of sale proceeds, as its share of profit, as it is being developed for Swan Mill. Another property of Swan Mills at Kurla, in which the company is entitled for same 22% revenue sharing, is almost complete.
So not much improvement in the business activities of the company are visible or expected and hence the same kind of results are expected for the next two quarters as well.
PAT for the quarter rose to Rs.54.60 crores (Rs.33.69 crores) due to lower tax burden of Rs.2.78 crores (Rs.22.94 crores), which has resulted in higher EPS of Rs.2.08 against Rs.1.58 of Q2 FY 08.
FY 09 is likely to have an EPS of Rs.7 and share is presently ruling at Rs.25. Present market capitalisation of Rs.700 crores factors in the expected profit from the undergoing projects.
Due to steep corrections having seen in other realty stocks, this has also corrected but further downside looks minimal.
Source: sptulsian.com
Intraday Trading Calls for 20th October
GOOD LUCK
Friday, October 17, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 17th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (316)
Buy Above 318.65 Target 325.15, 332.00
Sell Below 314.20 Target 308.35, 302.00
VOLTAS (67)
Buy Above 68.45 Target 71.55, 75.00
Sell Below 65.70 Target 63.15, 60.00
INDIABULLS REALEST (116)
Buy Above 117.75 Target 112.80, 120.00
Sell Below 114.40 Target 110.05, 104.00
HDIL (129)
Buy Above 131.20 Target 136.40, 142.00
Sell Below 127.40 Target 122.15, 116.00
HPCL (228)
Buy Above 230.40 Target 237.25, 245.00
Sell Below 225.40 Target 220.10, 214.00
AXIS BANK (622)
Buy Above 626.20 Target 635.15, 650.00
Sell Below 618.40 Target 610.10, 595.00
Stock Idea: Electrosteel Castings
Due to this, cash profit of the company for the quarter is at Rs.73.03 crores against Rs.38.77 crores for the corresponding quarter in previous year and Rs.77.18 crores for FY 08. This is without doing any adjustment for forex and derivative MTM provisions.
EPS for the quarter is placed at Rs.1.50 while cash EPS is at Rs.2.60.
The Board of the company proposes to issue 4.24 crores equity shares of Re.1 each, to two non-promoters overseas companies, at Rs.38 per share. Even promoters of the company have recently converted 6.25 lakh warrants into equity at Rs.43.80 per share, against the current price of share ruling at Rs.19. This is in the backdrop of the fact that promoters of Hindalco and Rajashree Sugars have not opted to convert or subscribe warrants due to fall in market price.
As on 30-09-08, the company had MTM loss of Rs.32.14 crores, arising out of foreign exchange contracts for hedging future exports against currency risks. Outstanding derivative contracts had MTM loss of Rs.19.81 crores as at 30-09-08. Though concern on these losses remains, but if the company has provided for it, and still has been able to post good growth in its bottomline, one should not take them with too much concerns.
Share having a book value of Rs.42 is now ruling at Rs.19 and FY 09 EPS is expected to be close to Rs.10 from its normal operations. Maybe, forex and derivative loses should get over by end of FY 09 and the company thereafter, should be able to post its normal operations.
Due to the concerns of forex and derivative losses, even good results have gone unnoticed. At Rs.19 share holds long term potential.
Thursday, October 16, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 16th October
Indian Stock Market may open Nagetive with gap down But buying can be seen at lower levels so a bouce back expected from lower levels.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
Buy at Lower Levels (about 4-5% down) from previous close.
ELECTROSTEEL CASTINGS (19)
LG BALABROS (12.40)
TTK PRESTIGE (137)
CHENNAI PETRO (158)
HPCL (220)
BPCL (350)
Others: Sanwaria Agro Oil, Gokul Refoils, KS Oils.
GOOD LUCK.
Stock Idea: Mastek Ltd.
Mastek Ltd. has posted good results for first quarter ending September 08 with topline at Rs.261.65 crores against Rs.211.50 crores of the corresponding quarter of previous year, while PAT is at Rs.41.18 crores (against Rs.25.12 crores) translating into an EPS of Rs.15.27 against Rs.8.84 crores for the quarter.
On annualized basis, the same results should yield an EPS of over Rs.60, while stock is now ruling at Rs.230, resulting in a PE of less htan 4. Even book value per share, post this results, are at Rs.120 while the company had paid 200% dividend for FY 08.
Share price on 10-10-08 fell to its 52 week low at Rs.192 before the company announced its results. It may be noted that there is lot of apprehensions on the growth of the I.T. companies, especially after crisis being seen in BFSI sector in U.S. and Europe. But considering the growth having posted by the company, coupled with its financial position, share at Rs.225 qualifies a safe bet if someone has a view of 6 months on the stock.
Source: sptulsian.com
Stock Idea: RS Software
RS Software a tiny software company is trying to make its presence felt by posting better results for the quarter ended September 08, wherein PAT of the company of Rs.178 lakhs for the quarter, far exceeds PAT of FY 08, which was at Rs.117 lakhs.
There seems to be no correlation between the profitability over the quarters, as also in regard to EPS stated by the company, for various periods. For FY 08, on equity base of Rs.744 lakhs, with PAT of R.117 lakhs, EPS is stated at 16 paise, while for September 08 quarter, on PAT of Rs.178 lakhs, EPS on equity of Rs.744 lakhs is stated at Rs.2.18.
The sole aim of the company is to create sensation by publishing its quarterly results with blocks of “Net Profit up 100 times” etc. The sole aim of the promoters of the company are to have market operations and to trap the investors at the higher levels. Share now ruling at Rs.18 had its 52 week high low of Rs.52 and Rs.15 and when established mid cap I.T. companies are available at a PE multiple of 3 to 4 times, who would be interested in these manipulative stocks.
Time seems to have come where management must refrain themselves from indulging in these gimmicks as also for the investors to take a fundamental view on the tock.
Source: sptulsian.com
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 15th October
PRAJ INDUSTRIES (84)
Buy Above 85.65 Target 89.55, 95.00
Sell Below 82.20 Target 78.35, 73.00
DCB (30)
Buy Above 30.55 Target 32.70, 36.00
Sell Below 28.70 Target 27.15, 25.00
TATA STEEL (305)
Buy Above 307.25 Target 314.55, 324.00
Sell Below 301.40 Target 295.25, 286.00
HCL TECH (161)
Buy Above 162.80 Target 168.40, 175.00
Sell Below 159.40 Target 155.15, 150.00
SAIL (107)
Buy Above 108.40 Target 111.25, 115.00
Sell Below 105.40 Target 102.30, 98.00
NALCO (346)
Buy Above 348.60 Target 354.75, 365.00
Sell Below 343.40 Target 337.10, 330.00
Others For Intraday: Bank of Baroda, South Indian Bank (Multibagger), Union bank, Canara Bank.
GOOD LUCK.
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 14th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
INDIABULLS (86)
Buy Above 87.80 Target 92.55, 100.0
Sell Below 84.50 Target 81.35, 76.00
UNITECH (91)
Buy Above 92.75 Target 98.45, 105.00
Sell Below 89.60 Target 85.15, 81.00
ORBIT CORP. (100)
Buy Above 101.60 Target 106.75, 114.00
Sell Below 98.40 Target 94.25, 90.00
HCL TECH (170)
Buy Above 171.80 Target 177.40, 184.00
Sell Below 168.20 Target 164.15, 160.00
ZEE ENTERTAINMENT (155)
Buy Above 157.20 Target 162.05, 170.00
Sell Below 153.40 Target 148.30, 143.00
YES BANK (79)
Buy Above 80.60 Target 86.45, 92.00
Sell Below 77.40 Target 73.10, 68.00
Others For Intraday: VOLTAS, IBREALEST, DLF, JAIPRAKASH ASSOCIATES.
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, October 13, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 13th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
SINTEX INDUSTRIES (195)
Buy Above 197.80 Target 204.25, 210.00
Sell Below 193.20 Target 189.35, 184.00
NTPC (165)
Buy Above 166.75 Target 170.35, 175.00
Sell Below 163.50 Target 160.15, 156.00
ROLTA INDIA (146)
Buy Above 148.50 Target 153.15, 158.00
Sell Below 144.20 Target 140.25, 136.00
HDIL (93)
Buy Above 94.80 Target 100.10, 110.00
Sell Below 92.20 Target 89.35, 85.00
KSK ENERGY (187)
Buy Above 189.10 Target 195.05, 205.00
Sell Below 185.40 Target 181.30, 175.00
BANK OF BARODA (278)
Buy Above 280.60 Target 286.45, 292.00
Sell Below 276.20 Target 271.10, 265.00
GOOD LUCK
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Value Stock: Supreme Infra
of Rs 13.50 cr on a very conservative basis. This translates into EPS of Rs 10 on current equity. Investors are advised to buy at current levels as scrip can double within 12~15 months.
Bulls Eye
Stock for this week
Ranbaxy lab : -Buy at current levels with a upper target of 310 it has important support is at 275 below this level next support is at 262 if it break the level of 262 then we see some fall in Ranbaxy lab take stoploss of 275 .
Esse dee alumin: This stock are looking good for coming week there is upside potentional till around at 248 and down side strong support 212 keep a tight stoploss of 215 on weekly basis take a target of 245.
Ranbaxy lab fut : - Buy at 292 with a target of 310 with a tight stoploss 272 BELOW 272 expected some bearish trend in Ranbaxy.
Aban off fut : - Buy at current levels considering 1111 with a upper target of 1150 with a stoploss of 1080.
Stock Ideas: Voltas, Idea, Canara bank
Canara Bank.(173) Buy at decline for objective of 186/195 area. Now break above 185 than should lead the stock towards 201/211 area. Keep stop below 166 area. Very positive bias for this stock.
IDEA(64) buy at CMP for objective of 70 area. Now break above 70 than should lead the stock towards 76 area. Keep stop below 59 area. Very positive bias for this stock.
Sobha Dev. (121) Intimate buy position in Oct. future on any dips to 115 area. For an objective of 129. A break above 129 will stock indicate strength in the upmove. stoploos below 107.
Mercatorlines (37) Buy October future with stoploss below 34.50 for an objective for 42/45 area. intimate 5 days position..
Voltas (64) Buy future at rate nr. 60 with stoploss below 57 area for an objective for 73/79 intimate 7 days position.
Sintex (195) Intimate buy position in October future on any dips to 185 area. For an objective of 220/235. A break above 235 will stock indicate strength in the upmove. stoploos below 174.
Stock Idea: R S Software (India) Ltd, Paramount Communications
R S Software (India) Ltd. is a Kolkata based software company engaged with the world’s largest payment card association/network since last 16 years. The company has an equity of just Rs.7.44 cr. For the September 2008 quarter, it has posted marvellous results. While net sales jumped by 43.30% to Rs.36.57 cr., net profit zoomed 8800% to Rs.1.78 cr. For the first six months, net sales zoomed 37.58% to Rs.67.11 cr. while net profit was Rs.2.61 cr. against a loss of Rs.68 lakh in previous corresponding period. The company has recorded an EPS of Rs.2.39 against Rs.0.03 in September 2007 quarter. At current levels, the stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 4.3. Its 52-week high/low is Rs.52/15. This means that the stock is available at its 52-week low and appears to be a risk-free investment bet. Buy at every decline with stop loss of Rs.11.50. On the upper side, the stock will go up to Rs.22.50-25 level in the next 3-4 months.
Paramount Communications (Rs.9.21) has completed Phase II of its expansion project, which commenced commercial production in February 2008 and the installed capacity for power cables increased to 58500 KMs per annum. This includes all types of electric cables viz. LT/HT Power Cables, Control Cables, Instrumentation Cables, Thermocouple Cables, Railway Signalling Cables etc. The company's export business has increased from Rs.8.27 cr. to Rs.43.17 cr. during the year recording excellent growth. The company can now target further growth in export business catering to several export markets through its whollyowned subsidiary, AEI Cables Ltd., UK, which is one of the oldest cable manufacturers in the world with an excellent global track record. The company targets 100% growth in exports in the next financial year. The stock has fallen from its high of Rs.63 to current level while its book value is Rs.23. It is likely to report strong consolidated results in the current year with falling raw material prices of copper, aluminium, PVC that will help the company to improve margins from Q4 of the current year. Risk factor is its high debts. Investors can accumulate this stock for investment at current levels. Face value of the stock is Rs.2.
Thursday, October 9, 2008
Stock Idea: Praj Industries
The financial performance of the company for the first quarter ended 30th June 2008 has not been as good as expected. Infact its bottomlines took a hit. YoY, its topline showed a 12% growth at Rs.154.76 crore. Though it has managed to contain its operating expenses, OPM slipped from 28.27% to 20.57% and NPM from 20.47% to 15.99%. Ethanol distillery projects contributed over 85% to the topline, whereas the brewery projects made up for the rest. But forex losses during the quarter dented its earnings.
The ability of the company to drive down cost as a result of value engineering exercises undertaken as well as the product mix has helped boost contain the margins at these levels. Praj’s current order-book is pegged at about Rs 950 crore of which 48% is from exports and the rest domestic. Being a net exporter, the current depreciation of rupee would go in favour of the company.
The stock price has taken a beating as there looms the likelihood of the Govt postponing the October deadline for making it mandatory for another 10% ethanol blending. The fortunes of this company are closely linked with the increasing acceptance of ethanol-blended petrol and bio-fuels.
With fuel bills touching the sky, biofuels is the way into the future and Praj is ready to capitalize on this. It is setting up its first plant in Louisiana, based on sugarcane juice and if this biofuel gets accepted, Praj would have the whole of North America as a market. In EU, it has a JV - BioCnergy Europa B. V., with Aker Solutions. It has also got orders from European sugar majors such as British Sugar, Suedzucker and Danisco. Its JV in Brazil is expected to help tap opportunities there too but this may take a longer while as not much progress has been made on this JV.
Currently quoted at Rs.129, Praj Industries is a safe bet in this market of turmoil.
Wednesday, October 8, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 8th October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
BANK OF BARODA (289)
Sell Below 247.40 Target 244.15, 240.00
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
Multibagger: South Indian Bank
Stock Idea: Aegis logistic
Autogas’. From the present 38 retail outlets across five states, company intends to open 100~150 more such stations in next couple of years. Recently company took over Hindustan Aegis LPG and became the owner of 20,000 MT fully refrigerated LPG terminal. For FY09 it may clock a turnover of Rs 475 cr and profit of Rs 35 cr i.e. EPS of Rs 18 on equity of Rs 19.90 cr. A solid bet.
Technicals: DCHL, NTPC, KSK, HUL
NTPC CMP: 171.85 The stock had been consolidating in the recent past after it held to its Longterm support zone of 150 levels. The confusion over the nuclear deal kept the stock within a broad range in the recent past. However, the nuclear deal crossing the final lap is expected to induce some long-term buying into the stock. The NTPC stock is trading close to its moving averages, which are hovering between 175 and 185 levels, serving as a stiff zone to breach. The 14-day RSI, a leading indicator, is hovering around the oversold territory and could stage a sharp upmove. The stock may not surpass the 185 and 205 levels in a hurry as there is high probability that it may face some amount of pro. t-booking at those levels. Investors may buy the stock around the current levels and partial booking is advised around the 185 levels, above which it could test the 205 levels in the medium term. All long positions in the stock should be protected with a stop loss placed below 155 levels on a closing basis.
Intraday Trading Calls for 7th October
Stock Market India may open positive as Sebi remove ban on P-notes, RBI cuts CRR and Crude oil below $88. A good bounce back expected as market is looking highly oversold. A Good Positive closing expected today.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips: (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for Each Trade)
INDIABULLS
MERCATOR LINES
DISH TV
STC INDIA
GSS AMERICA INFO
ROLTA INDIA
GMR INFRA
GOOD LUCK
Monday, October 6, 2008
Intraday Trading Calls for 06th October
HPCL (241)
MERCATOR LINES (56)
DISH TV (26)
STC INDIA (206)
HCC (70)
ROLTA INDIA (230)
GMR INFRA (83)
GOOD LUCK
Friday, October 3, 2008
Stock Idea: Corporation Bank
Starting as a ‘Karnataka’ bank, Corporation Bank has come a long way and has spread its tentacles all across India. The Bank is now in the process of raising its Tier I Bond / perpetual Bonds to the extent of Rs 600 crore and upper Tier-II Bond to the extent of Rs 1000 crore. These are in addition to raising of Lower Tier-II Bond to the tune of Rs 1200 crore. This is being done to mainly fund business growth this fiscal.
For the first quarter ended 30th June 2008, the total business of the Bank stood at Rs.93,694 crore, a growth of 27.33 % on a YoY. Total deposits grew 26.62% at Rs.54,742 crore. The bank added 9.27 lakhs new accounts under deposits as at the end of June 2008. Advances grew 28.34% at Rs.38,952 crore.
The Total Income of the Bank for the 3 months ended 30th June 2008 increased to Rs.1,446.28 crore registering a growth of 16.75% on a YoY.
The Net Profit of the Bank for the 3 months ended 30th June 2008 registered a growth rate of 4.06% at Rs.184.30 crore. But for the heavy depreciation on investment portfolio, the Q1 Net Profit growth would have been about 40% higher. For the period under review, the bank had provided Rs 63 crore as depreciation in securities portfolio.
The Return on Equity works out to 16.71% for the quarter ended June 2008 as against 17.97% in June 2007. The Return on Average Assets of the Bank was at 1.19%. The net worth of the Bank stood at Rs.4,413 crore compared to Rs.3,519 crore as on 30th June 2007.
The Gross NPA has come down to 1.46% compared to 2.07% as on 30th June 2007 and Net NPA to 0.36% as at 30th June 2008 compared to 0.46% on 30th June 2007.
The Capital Adequacy Ratio was at 12.43%. The Tier I ratio was at 10.13%. The total number of branches at end of Q1FY09 stood at 999. It recently opened its first representative office in Dubai.
Corporation Bank is currently quoted closer to its 52 week low of Rs.230. Stay invested.
Source: sptulsian.com
Intraday Trading Calls for 3rd October
Buy Above 214.65 Target 220.75, 228.00
Sell Below 209.20 Target 202.45, 195.00
RPL (140)
Buy Above 141.85 Target 144.60, 148.00
Sell Below 138.60 Target 135.15, 132.00
WELSPUN GUJARAT (250)
Buy Above 252.80 Target 258.50, 265.00
Sell Below 247.45 Target 241.25, 234.00
SATYAM COMPUTER (318)
Buy Above 320.80 Target 327.40, 335.00
Sell Below 315.70 Target 309.35, 302.00
KSK ENERGY (222)
Buy Above 223.60 Target 230.05, 238.00
Sell Below 219.15 Target 214.30, 208.00
HCC (72)
Buy Above 72.95 Target 76.20, 80.00
Sell Below 71.10 Target 68.15, 65.00
Others for Intraday: DISH TV, MERCATOR LINES, RPOWER, NTPC, ROLTA INDIA.
GOOD LUCK
Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Stock Idea: Crompton Greaves
What is very positive is that there has been no effect of the slowdown on the company. Infact its order book remains robust at over Rs.6,200 crore (of which Rs 3,580 crore is from international markets), executable over the next 15 months. This is positive because this indicates that when it comes to the power sector, irrespective of the rising costs and inflation and the overall lethargy in the economy, there has been no let up in power production. Good for the country and good the company! Infact the company has gone on record stating that it has seen neither any reduction in sales invoicing nor is it deferring any projects.
The company has chalked out a Rs.220 crore capex plan in the current fiscal for expanding capacities, around 10-12%, across all three of its segments. Every fiscal, the company adds around 10% to the capacity and this fiscal too it keeps up the tradition.
What is reassuring is that the company is zero debt so for Crompton, rising interest rates is not really an issue. But what is an issue is the rising cost of raw materials. Though most of the companies have a cost escalation clause built in, the suppliers for the company do not enter into a long term price contract, maximum period is three months. Earlier supply was also a constraint but that has eased now. For prices to ease there is a long wait ahead.
The company is expected to have a good fiscal and revenue is expected to grow over 20% and net profits by around 22-23%. At the current levels, Crompton is a good long term buy.
Intraday Trading Calls for 01st October
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
GSS AMERICA INFO (204)
Buy Above 207.65 Target 212.55, 220.00
Sell Below 201.20 Target 195.15, 188.00
RPL (143)
Buy Above 143.85 Target 147.40, 152.00
Sell Below 141.40 Target 138.15, 135.00
INDIABULLS (154)
Buy Above 156.55 Target 161.35, 168.00
Sell Below 152.45 Target 148.25, 143.00
CORE PROJECTS (260)
Buy Above 262.60 Target 268.40, 275.00
Sell Below 257.35 Target 252.45, 245.00
ADLABS FILMS (340)
Buy Above 342.85 Target 350.05, 360.00
Sell Below 337.15 Target 330.50, 322.00
YES BANK (120)
Buy Above 121.75 Target 125.20, 130.00
Sell Below 118.40 Target 115.15, 112.00
Others for Intraday: Bank of Baroda, Bank of India, Rel Infra, GMDC.
GOOD LUCK
Disclaimer
The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.