Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Stock Idea: Tulsyan NEC

This Company is listed on BSE as well as NSE. It got its listing permission from NSE a couple of months back. This is a company, which is in two lines of business: Steel and woven sacks. The company manufactures TMT bars, MS alloys and billets in the steel division. They also manufacture HTP and PP woven sacks. Tulsyan NEC is not ideally one of those steel companies which you would want it to be in terms of backward linkages. The company as of now doesn’t have any backward linkages. It buys steel scrap/sponge iron for manufacture of steel and it also buys power from the grid. It doesn’t have its own captive power source.
But if you look at the other positives of the company, this company is available at a market cap of just about Rs 33 crore. The company does sales revenue of about Rs 650-700 crore. This company has been a profit making company for the past 15 years. It has made profit not just at the operational level but also in the net level in the last 15 years. The company has got a track record of dividend for the last ten years which is uninterrupted – even during the worse phases of the steel cycle this company has paid dividend in the last 10 years.
The company made an operating profit of about Rs 46 crore last year and operating profit for the first nine-months is about Rs 31 crore. PAT for first nine months is about Rs 4.5 crore, which results in an annualized EPS of about Rs 12. At the current price of about Rs 65 this stock is trading at a PE multiple of about 5-6.
The other good thing happening here is that the company is now going in for backward linkages, about 2-3 months back this company has acquired a sponge iron plant called Chitrakoot Steel and Power Limited, which has got a 30,000 tonne per annum for sponge iron capacity, which they are increasing further to about 1 lakh tonne per annum. The company is also putting up a 35 megawatt power plant. They have already acquired about 75 acre of land. This will be operational in Q3 2011, which is FY12.
Considering all this, the company had been making good profits for the past 15 years without any backward linkages. Now the backward linkages are coming. The market cap of the company is just about Rs 33 crore – even assuming a 1% increase in net profit margins on a sales of Rs 700 crore results with an EPS increase of about Rs 14.
Of course, this is not an ideal steel company in terms of linkages but its available at a market cap just about Rs 33 crore on sales of Rs 700 crore. The downside from these levels looks extremely restricted but once the linkages are there, obviously, the profitability will go up. Also there is a potential for huge upscale increase in profits after the linkages are available.
So at the current price of Rs 60-65 I think it’s a stock to accumulate for the next maybe two years. Once the linkages are in place the profits can go up really sharply.
Source: Internet (moneycontrol.com by Ashish Chug)

Stock Idea: Orient Ceramics

Orient Ceramics is a Delhi-based company manufacturing ceramic tiles. This company has got its manufacturing plant located in Secunderabad in Uttar Pradesh. Off late the company has been doing lot of initiatives to increase the market share. The company has introduced new ranges of tiles. These new ranges have got good response from the market. The company is planning to open more retail stores and also have larger distribution network of distributors and retailers in various cities where they are currently not present. The third thing is that the company has also decided to start retailing of other construction related items, which makes it a one stop shop for all construction needs."
On the financial side:
For FY09 the company achieved sales of about Rs 225 crore and made Rs 6.4 crore in profit after tax (PAT), which results in an EPS of about Rs 6-6.5.For the first nine-months of the current financial year, sales are at Rs 175 crore. The PAT is up by 35% to about Rs 6 crore. For full year, expected sales are around Rs 250 crore with a PAT of Rs 8.5 crore, which results in an EPS of about Rs 8. At the current price of about Rs 45, the stock is trading at a price to earnings multiple of about Rs 5-6.
This is a full tax paying company. The company pays tax with no concessions. If you look at the market cap of the company this company has a market cap of about Rs 45 crore. Sales is Rs 250 crore and cash profit is Rs 20 crore, which means it is going at less than two-and-a-half year’s of its cash profit. This company has a dividend history of the past 20 years. Only during 1993 it skipped dividend. Otherwise from 1990 to 2009, the company has been regularly paying dividend. Considering all these factors at the market cap of about Rs 45 crore the stock qualifies as a value buy.
Source: moneycontrol.com by Ashish Chug

Stock Idea: Unitech Ltd.

This leading Delhi based realty company managed to sell a part of its stake of its telecom venture, Telenor and raised Rs.2022 crore through this sale. This is going to be used to discharge a part of the its gargantuan debt of Rs.6200 crore. That’s good news. But what the market is now concerned about is the slippage in its schedule of deliveries. It has missed the scheduled delivery of its past projects of 17 million (m) sq feet, which it now plans to complete by end- FY11.
Till 31st Dec 2009, the company launched 24.42 m sq feet and this was shockingly equal to launches it had during the boom time of 2007. Seemingly, the company got carried away by the ‘affordable housing’ bandwagon and was quick to launch huge projects. Of the 24.42 mln sq feet launched, almost half or 13 mln sq feet have been booked by customers. And this, over the next four years, is expected to bring in revenue of Rs.1375 per annum.
Though there was assurance that the company has managed to raise funds to reduce its debt, there is concern that if all the money is used to reduce debt, from where will the company get money to fund the projects under implementation?
For the 9MFY10, the net income of the company was down 28%. Interest costs have almost halved, yet net profit was down 44% at rs.511.64 crore. For FY09, the company had a net profit of Rs.1197.71 crore and it is unlikely that the company would be able to surpass that number for FY10.
The company will be able to stand back firmly on its feet only by FY11. The annualized EPS of Rs.2.87 discounts the current market price by around 25 times. Wait for the company to speed up its implementation schedules and then take a long term call.
Source: Internet (premiuminvestments.in by S P Tulsian)

Intraday Trading Calls for 03rd March

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and remains highly volatile for the day today. A flat Positive closing expected.
Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SASKEN COMM.

Buy Above

171.60

178.20

184.00

Sell Below

169.35

165.45

160.00

APTECH LTD.

Buy Above

175.70

182.55

188.00

Sell Below

173.05

167.25

162.00

GLENMARK PHARMA

Buy Above

258.55

266.45

274.00

Sell Below

252.45

245.35

238.00

CORE PROJECTS

Buy Above

227.60

232.70

238.00

Sell Below

224.70

220.10

215.00

WHIRLPOOL INDIA

Buy Above

145.25

150.35

155.00

Sell Below

143.10

140.20

136.00

ATLANTA

Buy Above

185.70

191.35

198.00

Sell Below

183.25

178.45

172.00

EXIDE INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

109.25

113.75

118.00

Sell Below

107.50

103.05

100.00

GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Intraday Trading Calls for 02nd March

Indian Stock Market may open positive and remains highly volatile for the day today. A good positive .
Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

IDFC

Buy Above

160.00

164.70

170.00

Sell Below

158.45

155.45

152.00

APTECH LTD.

Buy Above

165.05

170.55

176.00

Sell Below

162.15

158.10

154.00

CEAT LTD.

Buy Above

136.60

141.75

146.00

Sell Below

134.05

130.55

126.00

VOLTAS LTD.

Buy Above

156.25

160.30

164.00

Sell Below

154.35

151.40

148.00

WHIRLPOOL INDIA

Buy Above

142.55

147.70

154.00

Sell Below

140.35

135.60

131.00

ASHOK LEYLAND

Buy Above

50.05

52.55

55.00

Sell Below

49.25

47.40

45.00

ESCORTS LTD.

Buy Above

130.20

135.60

141.00

Sell Below

128.40

124.15

120.00

GOOD LUCK

Monday, March 1, 2010

Stock Idea: MIC Electronics

Firstcall Research has maintained buy rating on MIC Electronics in its report dated February 24, 2010
"At the current market price of the stock Rs.42.90, the stock trades at a P/E of 5.51 x and 4.74 x for FY10E and FY11E respectively. The EPS of the stock is expected to be at Rs.7.79 and Rs.9.05 for the earnings of FY10E and FY11E respectively. On the basis of EV/EBDITA, the stock trades at 4.93x and 4.91x for FY10E and FY11E respectively.
Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 1.16x for FY09E and 0.93x for FY10E. MIC Electronics Ltd bagged a 3 year long contract to supply video screen with Parramatta Eels National Ruby Club through their alliance with Sequity Pty Ltd. MIC electronics recently introduces three new products that would introduce soon in India. These products have been designed around semiconductor devices form Texas Instruments(TI) including OMAP, MSP 430 and 16 channel LED Driver.
MIC in joint venture with Hyperion Green Energy India Pvt Ltd has secured the Rajahmundry Energy saving project for municipal street lighting. The company is looking opportunities in other segments like sports, billboards and information display. The company which is executing some works for railways currently is expecting the biggest ever LED contacts shortly from Indian Railways.
The company launches solar LEDs for rural areas which are yet to be connected to the power grids. These LEDs are cost effective and high performance oriented. MIC received purchase orders worth Rs.14.15 Crores. We recommend a “BUY” on the stock with a target price of Rs.53.00 for medium to long term, “says Firstcall Research report.
Source: www.moneycontrol.com

Friday, February 26, 2010

UNION BUDGET 2010-11

FM HAS EXERCISED MODERATION IN ROLLBACK OF STIMULUS
FY'11 DIVESTMENT TARGET AT RS.40,000 CRORE
PLAN OUTLAY FOR ENERGY SECTOR IN FY'11 ESTIMATED AT RS.1.46 LAKH CRORE
FY'11 CUSTOMS REVENUES ESTIMATED AT RS.1.15 LK CRORE
TO SPEND RS.1.16 LK CRORE IN FY'11 ON SUBSIDIES
FY'11 CORPORATE TAX REVENUE ESTIMATED AT RS.3.01 LK CRORE
FY'11 INCOME TAX REVENUE ESTIMATED AT RS.1.21 LK CRORE
FY'11 EXCISE REVENUE ESTIMATED AT RS.1.32 LK CRORE
FY'11 PETROLEUM SUBSIDIES ESTIMATED AT RS.3100 CR
TO SPEND RS.49980 CR ON FERTILISER SUBSIDY IN FY'11
FY'11 DIVESTMENT TARGET AT RS.40,000 CRORE
FY'11 DIVESTMENT TARGET AT RS.40,000 CR
NET REVENUE GAIN FROM TAX PROPOSALS AT RS.20500 CRORE
NET GAIN FROM INDIRECT TAX PROPOSALS SEEN AT RS.46,500 CRORE
DIRECT TAX PROPOSALS TO RESULT IN REVENUE LOSS OF RS.26000 CRORE
NEWS AGENCIES TO BE EXEMPT FROM SERVICE TAX
TO BRING SEVERAL SERVICES WITHIN THE PURVIEW OF SERVICE TAX
JEWELLERY STOCKS RISE AS GOVT RAISES DUTY ON GOLD, SILVER IMPORTS
GOVT TO KEEP SERVICE TAX UNCHANGED AT 10%
CUSTOMS DUTY ON KEY INPUTS FOR MICROWAVES CUT TO 5% VS 10%
EXCISE ON LOCALLY REFINED GOLD AT RS.280/GM
BASIC CUSTOMS DUTY ON GOLD ORE REDUCED
CUSTOMS DUTY ON SILVER AT RS.1500/KG
TO RAISE DUTY ON GOLD IMPORTS TO RS.300/10 GRAMS
TO RAISE DUTY ON GOLD AND SILVER IMPORTS
4% EXCISE DUTY IMPOSED ON ELECTRIC CARS AND VEHICLES
CUSTOMS DUTY RATIONALISED ON MUSIC, GAMING AND SOFTWARE
UNIFORM, CONCESSIONAL 5% DUTY ON ALL MEDICAL APPLIANCES
COMPOSTABLE POLYMER IMPORTS EXEMPT FROM BASIC CUSTOMS DUTY
TO GRANT PROJECT IMPORT STATUS FOR MONORAILS
CONCESSIONAL 5% CUSTOMS DUTY ON SET UP OF SOLAR POWER UNIT
EXCISE DUTY ON CFL HALVED TO 4%
IMPOSED 4% EXCISE DUTY ON ELECTRIC CARS AND VEHICLES
TO WAIVE EXCISE DUTY ON PHOTOVOLTAIC AND SOLAR PANELS
PARTS OF WIND ENERGY ROTORS EXEMPTED FROM CENTRAL EXCISE DUTY
TO LEVY CLEAN ENERGY CESS OF RS.50/TONNE ON COAL
WIND ROTORS EXEMPTED FROM CENTRAL EXCISE DUTY
SVC TAX EXEMPTION ON TRANSPORTATION OF PULSES AND CEREALS BY ROAD
EXCISE ON LARGE CARS, SUV AND MUV RAISED TO 22%
ROLLBACK IN EXCISE DUTY TO 10% VS 8%
CONCESSIONAL CUSTOMS DUTY OF 5% ON AGRI MACHINES
SERVICE TAX EXEMPTED ON TRANSPORTATION BY ROAD
OPPOSITION MEMBERS WALK OUT FROM THE PARLIAMENT
5% SERVICE TAX EXEMPTION FOR COLD STORAGE UNITS
TO PARTIALLY ROLL BACK CENTRAL EXCISE DUTY ON PETROL PDTS TO 10%
EXCISE DUTY ON ALL CIGARS AND CIGARETTES TO GO UP
CENTRAL EXCISE DUTY ON PETROL AND DIESEL RAISED BY RS.1/LITRE
RAISED EXCISE DUTY ON ALL NON SMOKING TOBACCO
TO RESTORE 7.5% DUTY ON PETROL AND DIESEL
TO RESTORE 5% DUTY ON CRUDE PETROLEUM
CENTRAL EXCISE DUTY ON PETROL AND DIESEL RAISED TO RS.1/LITRE
GOVT ANNOUNCES PARTIAL ROLLBACK IN EXCISE DUTY
EXCISE ON LARGE CARS, SUV AND MUV RAISED TO 22%
ROLLBACK IN EXCISE DUTY TO 10% VS 8%
MAT TO BE RAISED TO 18% VS 15%
PRESUMPTIVE TAX LIMIT RAISED TO RS.60 LAKH
NO TAX ON INCOME UPTO RS.1.6 LAKH
INVESTMENT LINKED DEDUCTION BENEFIT FOR 2 STAR HOTELS
TO REDUCE CURRENT SURCHARGE ON COMPANIES TO 7.5% FROM 10%
WEIGHTED DEDUCTION ON R&D RAISED TO 200% VS 150%
TO REDUCE CURRENT SURCHARGE ON COMPANIES TO 7.5%
30% TAX SLAB ON INCOME OF RS.8 LAKH AND ABOVE
MAT TO BE RAISED TO 18% VS 15%
10% TAX SLAB ON INCOME BETWEEN RS.1.6 - RS.5 LAKH
TAX SLAB OF 20% FOR INCOME BETWEEN RS.5-8 LAKH
DEDUCTION OF RS.20K TOWARDS INVESTMENT IN INFRA BONDS
NO TAX ON INCOME UPTO RS.1.6 LAKH
10% TAX SLAB ON INCOME BETWEEN RS.1.6 - RS.5 LAKH
TO BROADEN CURRENT TAX SLABS
IT DEPT TO NOTIFY SARAL 2 FORM FOR INDIVIDUALS
BORROWING PLAN TO BE DECIDED IN CONSULTATION WITH RBI
GOVT TO BRING SUBSIDY RELATED LIABILITY INTO FISCAL ACCOUNTING
FY'11 NET MARKET BORROWING PEGGED AT RS.3.45 LAKH CRORE
FY'11 BUDGET DEFICIT SEEN AT 5.5% OF GDP: PRANAB MUKHERJEE
BUDGET DEFICIT IN FY'10 ESTIMATED AT 6.9% OF GDP
GOVT TO EXTEND CASH SUBSIDY AND NOT ISSUE OIL BONDS
FY'12 FISCAL DEFICIT SEEN AT 4.8%; FY'13 FISCAL DEFICIT TARGET AT 4.1%
FISCAL DEFICIT TARGET AT 5.5% FOR FY'11
EXPENDITURE (PLAN AND NON-PLANNED) FOR FY'11 AT RS.11.9 LKH CR
GROSS TAX RECEIPTS SEEN AT RS.7.46 LAKH CRORE IN FY'11
DEFENCE CAPEX RAISED TO RS.60,000 CRORE IN FY'11
ALLOCATION FOR DEFENSE RAISED TO RS.1.47 LAKH CRORE
ALLOCATION OF RS.1900 CRORE FOR UID PROJECT IN FY'11
UID AUTHORITY TO ROLL OUT 1ST SET OF ID CARDS BY END OF THIS YEAR
HOME LOANS UPTO RS.10 LAKH TO GET 1% INTEREST SUBVENTION UPTO MAR'11
UNORGANISED WORKERS INCLUDE WEAVERS, RICKSHAW PULLERS
GOVT TO SET UP SOCIAL SECURITY FUND FOR UNORGANISED WORKERS
SOCIAL SECURITY FUND TO HAVE A CORPUS OF OVER RS.1000 CRORE
GOVT TO SET UP SOCIAL SECURITY FUND FOR UNORGANISED WORKERS
HOME LOANS UPTO RS.20 LAKH TO GET 1% INTEREST SUBVENTION UPTO MAR'11
ALLOCATION FOR RAJIV AWAAS YOJANA RAISED TO RS.1270 CRORE IN FY'11
TO ALLOCATE RS.10000 CRORE FOR THE INDIRA AWAS YOJANA
ALLOCATION TO NREGA RAISED TO RS.41000 CR IN FY'11
TO ALLOCATE RS.48000 CRORE FOR BHARAT NIRMAN IN FY'11
TO INCREASE PLAN ALLOCATION FOR SCHOOL EDUCATION TO RS.31600 CRORE
SOCIAL SECTOR SPENDING IN FY'11 SEEN AT RS.1.38 LAKH CRORE
GOVT TO ROLLOUT GST AND DIRECT TAX CODE BY APRIL 1, 2011
TO PROVIDE RS.1.73 LAKH CRORE (46% OF PLAN ALLOCATION) FOR INFRA
TO EXTEND INTEREST SUBVENTION FOR HOUSING LOANS UPTO RS. 20 LAKH
GOVT TO ROLLOUT GST AND DIRECT TAX CODE BY APRIL 1, 2011
HAVE PROVIDED RS.1200 CR ASSISTANCE FOR DROUGHT IN BUNDELKHAND
TO ALLOCATE RS.48000 CRORE FOR BHARAT NIRMAN IN FY'11
SOCIAL SECTOR SPENDING IN FY'11 SEEN AT RS.1.38 LAKH CRORE
ALLOCATION TO NREGA RAISED TO RS.41000 CR IN FY'11
GOVT TO PROVIDE RS.66100 CRORE FOR RURAL DEVELOPMENT IN FY'11
TO ALLOCATE RS.22300 CRORE TO HEALTH MINISTRY IN FY'11
TO INCREASE PLAN ALLOCATION FOR SCHOOL EDUCATION TO RS.31600 CRORE
SOCIAL SECTOR SPENDING IN FY'11 SEEN AT RS.1.38 LAKH CRORE
25% OF PLAN ALLOCATION TO BE GIVEN FOR DEVELOPMENT OF RURAL INFRA
GOVT READY WITH THE DRAFT FOOD SECURITY BILL
TO PROVIDE 1 TIME GRANT TO TAMIL NADU GOVT FOR TIRUPUR EXPORTS
TO ESTABLISH NATIONAL CLEAN ENERGY FUND FOR INNOVATIVE PROJECTS
PLAN OUTLAY FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY RAISED TO RS.1000 CR VS RS.600 CR
COAL REGULATORY AUTHORITY TO CREATE LEVEL PLAYING FIELD IN COAL SECTOR
IIFCL DISBURSEMENTS AT RS.9000 CRORE BY MARCH 2010
IIFCL DISBURSEMENTS SEEN AT RS.20000 CRORE BY MARCH 2011
TO INTRODUCE COMPETITIVE BIDDING FOR COAL BLOCKS FOR CAPTIVE MINING
ALLOCATION TO POWER SECTOR AT RS.5130 CRORE IN FY'11
IIFCL TO DOUBLE REFINANCING TO BANKS FOR INFRA SECTOR IN FY'11
IIFCL DISBURSEMENTS SEEN AT RS.20000 CRORE BY MARCH 2011
ALLOCATION TO ROAD INFRA RAISED TO RS.19894 CRORE
IIFCL DISBURSEMENTS AT RS.9000 CRORE BY MARCH 2010
ALLOCATION TO ROAD INFRA RAISED TO RS. 19894 CRORE
TO PROVIDE RS.1.73 LAKH CRORE (46% OF PLAN ALLOCATION) FOR INFRA
CROP LOAN INTEREST SUBVENTION FOR TIMELY REPAYMENT RAISED TO 2%
FARM LOAN REPAYMENT PERIOD EXTENDED TO JUNE 30, 2010
EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE FOR TIMELY PAYMENT NOW AT 5% FOR FARMERS
PERIOD OF REPAYMENT TO BE EXTENDED TO JUNE 30, 2010 FOR AGRI LOAN WAIVER
PERIOD OF REPAYMENT TO BE EXTENDED TO JUNE 30, 2010 FOR AGRI WAIVER
FARM CREDIT TARGET RAISED TO RS.3.75 LAKH CRORE FOR FY'11
GOVT TO GIVE RS.300 CRORE FOR RASHTRIYA KRISHI VIKAS YOJANA
GOVT TO TAKE A FIRM VIEW ON OPENING UP RETAIL TRADE
GOVT TO GIVE RS.200 CRORE TO LAUNCH CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRI INITIATIVES
FOUR PRONGED STRATEGY TO ENSURE GROWTH IN FARM SECTOR
TO PROVIDE RS.400 CRORE TO BOOST FARM OUTPUT IN EASTERN INDIA
ADDITIONAL SUM OF RS.16500 CRORE FOR FY'11 FOR BANK RECAPITALISATION
GOVT TO EXTEND INT SUBVENTION OF 2% ON PRE AND POST SHIPMENT CREDIT
GOVT TO PROVIDE FURTHER CAPITAL TO STRENGTHEN RURAL BANKS
ADDITIONAL SUM OF RS.16500 CRORE FOR FY'11 FOR BANK RECAPITALISATION
GOVT TO ROLLOUT GST AND DIRECT TAX CODE BY APRIL 1, 2011
ADDITIONAL SUM OF RS.16500 CRORE FOR FY'11 FOR BANK RECAPITALISTION
RBI CONSIDERING ADDITION BANKING LICENSES TO PRIVATE PLAYERS
COUNCIL FOR MACRO SUPERVISION OF LARGE CONGLOMERATES AND ECONOMY
GOVT TO CONSOLIDATE FDI GUIDELINES INTO A SINGLE DOCUMENT
GOVT INTENDS TO MAKE FDI MORE USER FRIENDLY
OWNERSHIP AND CONTROL BEING RECOGNISED A CENTRAL TO FDI POLICY
APRIL-DEC FDI INFLOWS AT $20.9 BILLION
FDI FLOWS DURING FY'10 HAVE BEEN STEADY
OIL MIN TO TAKE DECISION ON KIRIT PARIKH REPORT IN DUE COURSE
NUTRIENT BASED FERTILISER PRICES FOR FY'11 TO BE AROUND CURRENT MRP
DIVESTMENT PROCEEDS BUDGETED HIGHER IN FY'11 VS FY'10
NMDC, SVJN STAKE SALE TO FETCH RS.25000 CRORE IN FY'10
NEED TO REVIEW THE STIMULUS AND MOVE TOWARDS FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
GOVT TO ROLLOUT GST AND DIRECT TAX CODE BY APRIL 1, 2011
DIRECT TAX CODE LIKELY TO BE IN PLACE FROM APRIL 2011
Source: www.bseindia.com

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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