Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 14th January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but trade with high volatility throughout the day today. A good positive closing expected today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

RCOM

Buy Above

170.20

175.45

182.00

Sell Below

168.35

164.15

160.00

HDIL

Buy Above

102.20

107.15

112.00

Sell Below

99.40

96.15

92.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

116.65

121.05

128.00

Sell Below

113.20

110.05

105.00

TATA MOTORS

Buy Above

157.20

162.15

168.00

Sell Below

153.70

149.20

145.00

BRFL

Buy Above

101.70

106.45

112.00

Sell Below

99.20

96.15

92.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

204.60

210.15

215.00

Sell Below

200.15

195.70

191.00

MPHASIS BFL

Buy Above

150.80

154.20

158.00

Sell Below

148.20

145.15

141.00

Keep an eye on Sunderam Fastners (500403) CMP Rs. 18/-

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 13th January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but trade with high volatility throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

LIC HOUSING FINANCE

Buy Above

223.60

228.15

235.00

Sell Below

220.25

215.60

210.00

HDIL

Buy Above

101.80

106.15

112.00

Sell Below

99.40

96.15

92.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

119.20

123.40

128.00

Sell Below

116.05

112.60

109.00

HCL TECH

Buy Above

109.70

114.25

120.00

Sell Below

106.40

102.25

98.00

RENUKA SUGAR

Buy Above

65.25

67.65

70.00

Sell Below

63.50

61.20

58.00

ACC

Buy Above

500.05

508.55

520.00

Sell Below

492.40

485.20

478.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

116.20

121.25

127.00

Sell Below

114.20

111.10

107.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline: Prism Cement (500338) CMP Rs. 18/- Target Rs. 25-28/-.

GOOD LUCK

Monday, January 12, 2009

Stock Idea: GSPL

Gujarat State Petronet went public on 24th January 2006, with a public issue of 13.80 crore equity shares of Rs.10 each, at Rs.27 per share. Its 52 week high low were at Rs.114 and Rs.25 and is now ruling at Rs.41 levels.

The stock has been in the news for the last one month as huge delivery based buying has been seen in the stock. Share has risen by about 64% in the last one month, from Rs.25 on 10-12-08, which was also its 52 week low.

The company is the second largest natural gas transmission network in India and is the first and only pure natural gas transmission company in India, to transport natural gas on an “open access,” means, company making available its gas transmission capacity available to any shipper on non-discriminating basis.

The company presently has grid pipe network of 1,130 kms. which is being expanded to 2,200 kms. in the next 18 months. The company is presently transporting about 17 mmscmd of gas while in FY 08 transported 6,145 mmscm of gas. In first 6 months of FY 09, it transported 3,069 mmscm of gas. There is no overlapping pipeline network along the route of the company’s pipeline network.

The company has also signed a 15 year agreement with Reliance Industries Ltd., to transport 11 mmscmd (expandable to 14 mmscmd) of gas from Bharuch to Jamnagar and also with Torrent Power, of 20 years, to transport 4.5 mmscmd of gas. Both these contracts would be operational in the next 3 – 4 months, with commencement of gas production, by RIL, from its K G Basin. Hence, the company would be able to double its topline and bottomline.

For FY 08 the total income of company was at Rs.447 crores with net profit of Rs.100 crores and cash profit of Rs.265 crores on equity of Rs.562 crores. EPS for FY 08 was placed at Re.1.81 while cash EPS was at Rs.4.70. For first six months of FY 09, total income of the company was at R.252 crores with profit after tax of Rs.61 crores with cash profit of Rs.145 crores.

The company has been able to source gas upto points of Mundra Port and Pipavav Port and are connected to supply to Surat, Bharuch, Vadodara, Ahmedabad, Anand, Gandhinagar, Surendranagar, Sabarkantha, Kalol, Mehasana, Morbi, Vapi and Valsad.

The share capital of the company is at Rs.562 crores, of which, 37.77% is held by its promoters, Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Ltd., while 35.91% is held by Banks, Mutual Funds, FIIs and state government companies. 26.32% stake is held by the public.

It is strange to see that Gujarat Maritime Board is holding 6.60%, Gujarat Urja 2.02%, GNFC 1.42% and GIDC 1.42% (totaling 11.46%( but the same has not been shown as promoters holding). So, in reality, Gujarat Govt is having a direct – indirect stake of close to 50%.

The controversy in respect to sharing 30% profit before tax of the company, for charity is also likely to be given re-thinking by the Gujarat Govt., as the similar proposal has been defeated by the shareholders of Guj. Alkalies and GNFC, where government stake is less than 50%,. So, if this company also drops this proposal, stock would get further re-rating.

Due to bright prospects of gas transportation sector, in Gujarat, the stock holds good growth potential as the company would be able to double its topline and bottomline in the next 6 months with its existing infrastructure and network.
Those who are holding the stock are advised to remain invested as stock has good medium term potential.
Source: sptulsian.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 12th January

Indian Stock Market may open Negative but some recovery expected in mid session with high volatility.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

STERLITE INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

275.60

282.15

290.00

Sell Below

271.40

266.45

260.00

HPCL

Buy Above

268.80

273.15

278.00

Sell Below

265.10

261.15

257.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

121.70

126.10

130.00

Sell Below

119.20

116.05

112.00

INDIABULLS REALEST

Buy Above

115.70

120.10

124.00

Sell Below

113.50

110.05

106.00

ITC

Buy Above

170.80

174.20

178.00

Sell Below

167.60

164.15

160.00

SUN TV

Buy Above

171.70

176.15

181.00

Sell Below

168.70

164.20

160.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

116.20

121.25

127.00

Sell Below

114.20

111.10

107.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Risky Traders may Buy at CMP and at decline: Satyam Computers (500376) CMP Rs. 23/- Target Rs. 40-50/-.

GOOD LUCK

Friday, January 9, 2009

Satyam Computers-

B. Ramalinga Raju, Chairman of Satyam Computers, after having made a confession, by his letter dated 07-01-09, leaves one question, still unanswered, inspite of the company’s press conference, as also after an initial probe by Registrar of Companies and SEBI, whether Rs.5,000 crore exist in the company’s books or not?
On one hand, we have audited balance sheet of the company, as at 31-03-08, which states that the company had a cash and bank balances of Rs.4,502.42 crores as also accrued interest on fixed deposits, of Rs.272.50 crores. Details of Rs.201.19 crores held by the company, with non-scheduled banks, have been given in the balance sheet, which runs in 58 branches of various foreign banks, spread across the globe, Details of balances held with various scheduled banks, are not required to be given. However, Rs.965.70 crores were lying in current account and Rs.3,325.24 crores in Deposit accounts of various scheduled banks, as at 31-03-08. Incidentally, these scheduled banks had a balance of Rs.424.29 crores in current account and Rs.3,371.26 crores in deposit account, as at 31-03-07. Scheduled Bankers of the company were only three banks, which are Bank of Baroda, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank.
It may be noted that the balance sheet of the company, as at 31-03-08 and as at 31-03-07 have been audited by the Price Waterhouse (PWC) and signed by Srinivas Talluri, Partner of PWC bearing membership number 29864.
As a part of audit process, it is an elementary and mandatory work, to check the cash and bank balances, as also to see bank reconciliation statements, having prepared by the client, by the Auditors. In this case, list of 54 banks have been given, for balances, held by the company, with non-scheduled banks. Similarly, a list must have been prepared, (which must be in possession of he Auditors and Accounts Department of Satyam) of the balances, held in all accounts, by the company, with scheduled banks.
We doubt that an auditor, like standing of PWC, must not have asked or verified or collated the bank balance details? If really they have not, they have no right to exist and partner of PWC, Srinivas Talluri should be held more guilty than Ramalinga Raju.
But if we presume, the bank balances of Rs.4,502 crores, were existing on 31-03-08 (Rs.3,991 crores on 31-03-07), which is most likely, than it has been siphoned off, embezzled by Raju between 01-04-08 to 07-01-09.
However, Raju, by his letter dated 07-01-09 had stated that cash and bank balances are inflated by Rs.5.040 crores. Even the acting CEO of Satyam, Ram Mynampati (Earlier President & Whole Time Director) could not confirm whether this balance exists or not, as at 31-03-08 and as of date.
However, we all are trying to believe the statement of Raju, that no cash and bank balance exists, How can we believe Raju, who has proved to be a fraud and why don’t we verify its authenticity, with the bankers of the company?
It is very essential to know or track, upto which point of time, these bank balances were existing. This can be verified by taking these steps:--
1) Call for audit working papers from PWC and ask for break-up of deposits held with scheduled banks, as at 31-03-08 and as at 31-03-07. This will be a limited enquiry, which can very well be initiated by an authority and would not be held as breach of client confidentiality agreement of PWC.
2) Call for similar details from accounts department of Satyam. Even a junior accountant would be able to give this or same must be existing in working paper files, in soft and hard formats, with Satyam.
3) On getting these details, go and check with those banks, whether balances as stated therein, were existing at any point of time?
If these balances were never existing at any point of time, PWC is more responsible then even Raju and held them responsible. If these balances were existing at some point of time, track them till they got embezzled, siphoned off or wiped off.
It may be possible, that after 31-03-08, Raju may have pledged Deposit receipts with respective scheduled banks to draw overdraft against those deposit receipts for the benefit of his personal accounts or for his associate companies. If it has happened, such scheduled banks should be held responsible along with Raju and not PWC.
If we are able to track the point, where, Rs.5,000 crores of company’s bank balances have been embezzled, it would be easy and possible to track the operating performance, profitability ratios etc. of Satyam, very easily.
It may also be noted that as per Raju’s confession, he has stated that liabilities are understated to the extent of Rs.1,230 crores. This means, either expenses of Satyam were not booked in the books of the company or they were paid and discharged by Raju from his personal sources, so as to keep profit of Satyam inflated.
Also, overstated debtors, by Rs.490 crores, as per confession of Raju, largely represents, overbilling of Q2, to the extent of Rs.588 crores. This can easily get checked, as scrutinisation of one quarter billing is possible.
Similarly, accrued interest of Rs.376 crores, is non-existent, as alleged by Raju, could happen only if Deposits were not existing with the scheduled banks as at 31-03-08 and 31-03-07. In that situation, if deposits were not existing on those dates, PWC should be held responsible with Raju.
Hence, to ascertain the truth of the alleged overstatement of profits of Satyam, by Raju, it is necessary to track this short route of bank balance transactions, by which truth will come out on surface.
So why it is taking so long, by all the investigation agencies to do so? Why no statement is being given by anyone on the existence of bank balances? Whether they were existing as at 31-03-08 and as of date?
The total networth of Satyam is estimated to be Rs.8,000 crores, of which about 60% is represented by cash & bank balances. So if these bank balances were void ab initio or were non-existent, from day one, it is a great lapse of audit procedures as also lapses on part of board members, audit committee members and executives of the company.
Alternatively, if it vanished after 31-03-08, story will be totally different, and bankers of Satyam would be responsible and then, Satyam can also be held to be having great value.
Source: sptulsian.com (By S P Tulsian)

Intraday Trading Calls for 09th January

Indian Stock Market may open Negative but some recovery expected in mid session with high volatility.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SHIV-VANI OIL

(522175)

Buy Above

125.05

130.10

135.00

Sell Below

121.70

118.15

114.00

HPCL

Buy Above

266.20

270.45

275.00

Sell Below

262.40

258.15

254.00

HDIL

Buy Above

111.80

115.20

120.00

Sell Below

108.40

104.15

100.00

JP Associates

Buy Above

72.60

75.15

78.00

Sell Below

69.80

66.50

62.00

HUL

Buy Above

252.50

256.10

259.00

Sell Below

250.10

247.25

244.00

IDFC

Buy Above

63.20

65.10

68.00

Sell Below

61.40

59.05

56.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

140.10

145.15

150.00

Sell Below

136.45

132.10

128.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline also: Rajesh
Exports (531500) CMP Rs. 23/- Target Rs. 38-45/-.

GOOD LUCK

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 07th January

Indian Stock Market may open positive but remains very volatile throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SHIV-VANI OIL

(522175)

Buy Above

140.05

145.40

150.00

Sell Below

137.40

134.20

130.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

180.80

185.45

190.00

Sell Below

177.90

174.25

170.00

BARTRONICS

(532694)

Buy Above

98.20

102.15

107.00

Sell Below

95.50

92.15

88.00

ZYLOG SYSTEMS

Buy Above

101.70

106.45

112.00

Sell Below

99.20

96.05

92.00

ROLTA

Buy Above

133.80

138.15

142.00

Sell Below

131.20

127.35

122.00

BANK OF BARODA

Buy Above

290.70

298.15

305.00

Sell Below

287.40

282.65

275.00

PUNJ LLOYD

Buy Above

162.60

166.80

172.00

Sell Below

159.50

156.20

151.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy:

Buy at CMP and at decline also: Rajesh
Exports (531500) CMP Rs. 26/- Target Rs. 38-45/-.

GOOD LUCK

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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