Friday, February 29, 2008

UNION BUDGET

Revenue deficit at 1.4% against budget estimate of 1.5%; To eliminate revenue deficit in FY10;

Fiscal deficit at 3.1% against budget estimate of 3.3%;

Total agricultural output 219.32 million tonne. Agriculture growth rate at 2.6% in 2007-08

Increased defence allocation from Rs.96,000 crore to Rs.1,05,600 crore, a rise of 10%

The income tax slab has been hiked from Rs.1,10,000 to Rs.1,50,000

10% tax on income from Rs.1,50,000 to Rs.3,00,000

20% tax on income from Rs.3,00,000 to Rs.5,00,000

30% tax on income over Rs.5,00,000

Tax exemption limit for women hiked from Rs.1,45,000 to Rs.1,80,000

Exemption limit for senior citizens raised from Rs.1,95,000 to Rs.2,25,000

Short term capital gains tax raised from 10% to 15%.

No change in DDT and STT

Waiver of loans to small and marginal farmers to the tune of Rs.60,000 crore.

No change in peak customs duty rate

CENVAT rates reduced on all goods from 16% to 14%

Exchange-traded currencies; interest rate derivatives to be introduced;

Allocated Rs.31,280 crore towards Bharat Nirman Progarm

Banking cash transaction tax to be removed

Service tax limited hiked to Rs 10 lakh.

Duties on iron ore exports increased to Rs 3,000/tn

Small cars to become cheaper

No change in corporate tax and surcharge

Three new IIT’s to be started in Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan and Bihar

Urged to open bidding for five more UMPPs.

PAN requirement extended to all financial markets.

Textile Upgradation Fund to be raised from Rs.911 crore to Rs.1090 crore

30 integrated textile parks approved.

Increased outlay and spending on education

Increased outlay for irrigation

Customs duty reduced on steel scrap, few bulk drugs, cattle and poultry feed raw material, dairy industry, crude and refined sulphur used by fertiliser sector

Excise duty reduced on pharma goods, buses/chassis, cars, hybrid cars, two wheelers, paper and paper products, refrigeration equipments above two tonnes, bulk cement, cement clinker.

Special purpose tea fund to get Rs.400 crore and crop insurance scheme for tea plantations.

Intraday Calls for 29th Feb

Markets today totally depends on BUDGET. So be very carefull in today's trading.

Buy for Intraday: (Buy at lower levels as market may open weak as all global markets trading lower)

SAIL (253)
Tata Steel (824)
Nagarjuna Fert. (56)
Chambal Fert. (64.5)
Oswal Chemical (50)
Ansal Infra (215)
GMR Infra (176)
Power Grid (111)
RPOWER (442)

Good Luck

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Intraday Calls for 28th Feb

Markets may open flat to nagetive but it will recovers and it may see yesterday's due gains.

Buy for Intraday:

REL (1635) Target 1675-1700 SL 1615
Punj Lloyd (394) Target 400-410 SL 388
KS Oils (95) Target 100+ SL 91
JB Chemical (59) Target 62-65 SL 57
Shasun Chemical (62) Target 68 SL 59
IFCI (63.8) Target 68-70 SL 62
Dish TV (60.75) Target 65+ SL 58
BAG Films (52.80) Target 55-58 SL 51
Roto Pumps (82) Target 88-90 SL 80

Others: All Infra Stocks like GMR Infra, Lanco Infra, Ansal Infra, IRB may rally & Power Grid.

Good Luck

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Intraday Calls for 27th Feb

A Smart and Strong Rally Expected today in Indian Stock Market. Sensex may see about 400-500 points and Nifty can see about 100-150 points rally.

Buy for Intraday:

Indiabulls Realest (642) Target 655-660 SL 630
GMR Infra (183.5) Target 188-190 SL 180
Cairn India (224) Target 235-240 SL 218
Hind Oil Exploration (113) Target 118-120 SL 110
Jindal Stainless (160) Target 168-172 SL 155
SAIL (245) Target 255+ SL 240
Nitin Fire (482) Target 500+ SL 476
GDL (116) Target 122-125 SL 112
ACC (830) Target 850 SL 820

Others: All Reliance Stocks, JKIL, IRB, Lanco Infra, Prism Cement.

Good Luck

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Intraday Calls for 26th Feb

Market may open with gap up and remain positive for the day.

Buy for Intraday:

Watch the Rail Budget impact on Cement and Metal Sector.

ACC (818) Target 835-850 SL 810
Prism Cement (49) Target 52-55 SL 47
Tata Steel (809) Target 825-835 SL 800
SAIL (240) Target 251-255 SL 235
GMR Infra (176) Target 182-184 SL 172
REL (1622) Target 1635-1650 SL 1600
RPOWER (450) Target 460-475 SL 442
Reliance Industries (2550) Target 2600 SL 2525
Essar OIL (232) Target 245+ SL 226
Mphasis BFL (233) Target 240-245 SL 228

Good Luck

Monday, February 25, 2008

Intraday Calls for 25th Feb

Market may see a gap up opening and a strong rally.

Buy for Intraday:

GMR Infra (176) Target 182-185 SL 173
Bank of Rajasthan (172) Target 178-180 SL 168
Jaiprakash Associates (246) Target 260+ SL 240
Info Edge (Naukri) (962) Target 1000+ SL 950
OnMobile (534) Target 550-560 SL 530
ENIL (478) Target 495+ SL 470
Mudra Lifestyle (52) Target 58-60 SL 50
GTC industries (475) Target 490-500 SL 470
Keep an eye on REL & RPOWER. Both counter can see smart gain today with gap up opening.

Good Luck

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Reliance Power Bonus Ratio

Ratio of 1:1
If the company proposes to issue bonus in ratio of 1 : 1, and as stated above, share price may go upto Rs.500 per share. On ex-bonus basis, share price would correct to Rs.250 per share. This would increase the company’s equity capital from 226 crore shares to 248.80 crore shares, resulting into a market capitalization of Rs.62,000 crore, on post bonus, at Rs.250 per share. The present market capitalization of the company is Rs.92,600 crore at Rs.410 per share while it was at Rs.87,000 crore, at Rs.385 per share, at which it closed before bonus announcement. So, management would not be too keen to go for this ratio.

Ratio of 1:3
If ratio proposed is 1 bonus share for every 3, this would be definitely below market expectation, and can see share price sliding below Rs.400, which would defeat the basic purpose and objective of the management, for which management may not take risk and chance. Even if it is presumed that it is accepted by the market and share price remains at this level, shareholders would not get compensated. Prospects of share price crossing Rs.450, is remote with this ratio.

Ratio of 1:2
If ratio of 1 bonus share for every 2 share is proposed, share price has chances of moving to Rs.450, which would result in share price ruling at Rs.300, on ex-bonus basis. In this situation, the objective of bonus issue shall get achieved and market capitalization of the company would also be at Rs.71,000 crore as post bonus equity of the company, would rise to 237.40 crore equity shares.

Those shareholders, holding shares of RPL on record date, would be the only one’s eligible to receive bonus share and record date is not likely to be on or before 31st March, 2008. So, original investors of IPO, having sold and booked losses, will not be able to make good their losses or stand to gain from the proposed bonus issue.
Also we wish that no legal hurdles comes in the way of this bonus, as it is issued only to non-promoter category, inspite of the entire share capital of RPL being pari – passu. Since, Reliance Energy (REL), a listed company of the group is also a promoter, presently holding about 45% stake, any shareholder of REL can challenge this move of excluding promoters from bonus entitlement, inspite of all shares being pari – passu.
Under any situation, share price would not cross Rs.500 and may not fall below Rs.400, per share, on cum-bonus basis.
Source: sptulsian.com

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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