Saturday, November 14, 2009

Stock Idea: Ashok Leyland Ltd.

Ashok Leyland Ltd— BUY—52—INR
Sector — Automobiles
Regd.Off.— Gateway Building, Apollo Bunder, Mumbai, M.H., 400001
Listed — NSE, BSE.
Company Overview—
Company was incorporated on 7th September 1948 at Chennai. In 1948, company was set up for the assembly of Austin Cars. British Leyland and Ashok Leyland commenced manufacture of commercial vehicles in 1955. In 1987, the overseas holding by Land Rover Leyland International Holdings Limited (LRLIH) was taken over by a joint venture between the Hinduja Group, the Non-Resident Indian transnational group and IVECO. (Since July 2006, the Hinduja Group is 100% holder of LRLIH). In the journey towards global standards of quality, Ashok Leyland reached a major milestone in 1993 when it became the first in India's automobile history to win the ISO 9002 certification. The more comprehensive ISO 9001 certification came in 1994, QS 9000 in 1998 and ISO 14001 certification for all vehicle manufacturing units in 2002. It has also become the first Indian auto company to receive the latest ISO/TS 16949 Corporate Certification (in July 2006) which is specific to the auto industry. In collaboration with Leyland Vehicles, Ltd., the Company embarked on a program of manufacture of integral buses. A technical collaboration agreement was entered into for the manufacture of synchromesh transmissions to the designs of Azhnradfabrik Friedrichschafen AG of West Germany. Company entered into an agreement for a joint venture in Sri Lanka for the assembly and progressive manufacture of Ashok-Leyland vehicles. In 1998, company introduced "The Panther", a low floor bus, which has been indigenously designed to cater to the needs of the common masses and is based on the parameters set by the Central Institute of Road Transport and the Association of State Road Transport Undertakings. The ministry of defense’s vehicle factory in Jabalpur has manufacturing agreements with Ashok Leyland. Company supplied buses to Afghanistan as a part of Indian Government's Assistance to the war-ravaged Afghanistan. In 2003 it got $46 million truck supply contract from the United Nations also. Company has collaboration agreement with ZF of Germany for local manufacturing of ZF's 9-speed synchromesh gearbox. Company has BS7799 certification for information security management system. Company has a joint venture (JV) with the US-based agriculture equipment maker John Deere for manufacturing and marketing construction equipment. The joint venture will initially manufacture backhoes and wheel loaders and will market these in India and abroad. The range will subsequently be expanded to include a full line of construction equipments.
Products & Services—
Company is working from last 6 decades as an Indian transport solution company. Company’s product portfolio includes buses, trucks, special application vehicles and engines. In buses, company has different brands like Viking BS-I, Viking BS-II, 12 M bus, Cheetah BS- I, Panther Luxury, Cheetah BS- II, Stag BS-II, Vestibule Bus, Airport Tarmac Coach, 222 CNG Bus, Lynx, Double Decker etc. In Trucks, it has 4 X 2 Haulage models, 4 X 2 multixled Tippers, Multiaxle Vehicles, Tractors and Ecomet etc and some other loading models for construction and mining sector. Except this, Company is the reputed supplier of defense vehicles for Indian army. Company has long been in the manufacture of defense and specialty vehicles. In special vehicles it has Rapid Intervention vehicle 4 X 4, Hippo Tractor, Beaver Tractor, Beaver Haulage, Hippo Haulage, Stallion MK III Tipper, Hippo Tipper etc.
From 18 to 82 sit double-decker buses, from 7.5 tonne to 49 tonne in haulage vehicles, from numerous special application vehicles to diesel engines for industrial, marine and genset applications, Ashok Leyland offers a wide range of products. Ashok Leyland vehicles have built a reputation for reliability and ruggedness. The 5,00,000 vehicles company have put on the roads have considerably eased the additional pressure placed on road transportation in independent India. In the populous Indian metros, four out of the five State Transport Undertaking (STU) buses come from Ashok Leyland. Some of them like the double-decker and vestibule buses are unique models from Ashok Leyland, tailor-made for high-density routes.
Valuation—
At current market price, stock is trading at 12.5 P/E multiple of its FY2010 Estimated earnings. We recommend investors to buy “Ashok Leyland” with long term investment horizon.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Abhishek Jain)

Friday, November 13, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 13th November

Indian Stock Market may open flat to negative and remains volatile but a flat to positive closing exptected.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

BRFL

Buy Above

196.60

202.45

208.00

Sell Below

194.15

190.35

185.00

MARG LTD.

Buy Above

206.75

211.55

216.00

Sell Below

203.50

198.65

192.00

BAJAJ HIND

Buy Above

221.10

226.45

232.00

Sell Below

218.40

214.35

208.00

TEMPTATION FOOD

Buy Above

41.75

44.30

47.00

Sell Below

40.65

38.25

36.00

BALRAMPUR CHINI

Buy Above

146.15

150.25

154.00

Sell Below

144.35

141.15

138.00

ABG SHIPYARD

Buy Above

200.65

206.70

212.00

Sell Below

197.55

192.75

188.00

ASTRA MICRO

Buy Above

71.25

74.55

78.00

Sell Below

69.70

67.35

64.00

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 12th November

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and remains very volatile but some profit booking expected today at higher levels.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

BRFL

Buy Above

198.70

205.10

212.00

Sell Below

195.40

191.20

186.00

THINKSOFT

Buy Above

255.60

261.35

268.00

Sell Below

252.15

246.55

240.00

BAJAJ HIND

Buy Above

222.20

227.05

232.00

Sell Below

219.45

214.35

208.00

ADSL

Buy Above

248.25

254.15

260.00

Sell Below

245.35

240.30

235.00

VOLTAS

Buy Above

169.10

173.25

177.00

Sell Below

167.15

164.20

160.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

283.65

288.45

294.00

Sell Below

279.70

275.40

270.00

SHIPPING CORP (SCI)

Buy Above

150.55

154.75

160.00

Sell Below

148.35

144.15

140.00

GOOD LUCK

Monday, November 9, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 09th November

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and remains very volatile but again a positive closing exptected.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

BATA INDIA

Buy Above

178.25

183.65

188.00

Sell Below

175.10

171.25

166.00

GMDC

Buy Above

107.15

111.75

117.00

Sell Below

105.35

101.55

98.00

BAJAJ HIND

Buy Above

214.50

219.20

224.00

Sell Below

211.35

207.30

202.00

IRB INFRA

Buy Above

246.70

252.45

258.00

Sell Below

243.50

238.15

232.00

SELAN EXPLO

Buy Above

335.60

342.55

350.00

Sell Below

331.05

325.20

320.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

273.20

277.55

281.00

Sell Below

271.15

268.05

265.00

STC INDIA

Buy Above

356.50

363.75

372.00

Sell Below

351.35

344.25

335.00

GOOD LUCK

Stock Idea: Ballarpur Industries Ltd

Ballarpur Industries Ltd— BUY—21—INR
Sector — Paper
Regd.Off.— Dist. Chandrapur, Ballarpur, Maharashtra - 442701
Listed — NSE, BSE.
Company overiew—
Ballarpur Industries (BILT), Thapar Group Company is India’s largest manufacturer and exporter of paper and paper products. The company was incorporated in 1945 as Ballarpur Paper and Straw Board Mills and changed its name to Ballarpur Industries Limited in 1975. Gautam Thapar is the chairman and R.R. Vederah is the managing director of the company. It is the largest manufacturer of writing and printing paper with a leading 45% market share in the coated paper segment. BILT enjoys a 25% market share for maplitho, 50% for common bonds. Company has technical agreements with a South Korean and Japanese company for the manufacture of coated and lightweight-coated paper. BILT has decided to exit all non-core businesses and focus on core areas of paper and chemicals. Consequently, BILT is divided into two companies BILT Paper and BILT Chemicals. BILT Chemicals comprises of three units Karwar, Khavda and Singach and five mills with a total capacity of over 242780 tpa.
Products & services—
The company operates in the business segments of coated wood free paper, uncoated hi-bright paper (maplitho), business stationery, copy paper and specialty and fine paper. Its products include writing and printing paper, industrial paper, specialty paper, coated and uncoated wood free paper, uncoated hi-bright paper, business stationery, tissue paper, packaging paper, and copy paper. Complementing this is a diversified production infrastructure with six manufacturing units spread across the country. Manufacturing units are located at Shreegopal (Yamunanagar), Ballarshah (Maharashtra), Sewa (Orissa), Bhigwan (Pune) and Kamalapuram (Andhra Pradesh). With the acquisition of Sinar Mas’ Indian operations, BILT has acquired world class coated paper capacities that find widespread application in the high end of the Indian usage market as well as developed overseas markets. The company is backward integrated with its caustic soda/chlorine manufacturing facility, which is a vital raw material in the production process of paper. Strategically implemented enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, real-time logistics and just-in-time (JIT) inventory solutions enable highly effective and efficient distribution of localized BILT products across urban, semi-urban and rural consumption centers nationwide with a network of 126 dealers.
BILT has 10 year contract with the government of Maharashtra for the supply of Bamboo that ensures cheap and regular supply of raw material. The company has also initiated farm forestry for cheaper raw materials and has cornered Indonesia and Malaysia for this activity due to its strategic geographic location. Company has an agreement with its calcium carbonate supplier, Emirys (France) to manufacture the chemical requirement for its coating paper.
Recent development—
Ballarpur Industries planning to invest USD 1 billion in overseas acquisitions and enhancing plant capacity in five years. India’s biggest paper maker will double its production capacity to 2 million tons by the year 2013. The expansion will be financed by loans and share sales.
Valuation—
At the current market price stock is trading at 5.67 P/E multiple of its FY2010 Estimated EPS. We recommend investors to “buy” “Ballarpur Industries Limited” with a medium to long-term investment prospective.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Abhishek Jain)

Stock Idea: Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Ltd

Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Ltd (Rs139)
(BSE Code - 524480)
(P/E - 9, FY’09 Sales - Rs534 cr, Mkt Cap - Rs157 cr)
Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Ltd (RSGB) is the largest manufacturer of various types of starch, liquid glucose, dextrose monohydrate and other derivatives, high maltose corn syrup and byproducts like corn gluten meal and enriched fibre, which are used in various applications such as chocolates, processed foods, glass and medicines, paper, glucose and textiles. RSGB controls about 17% of the total starch market. About 60-65% of its turnover comes from industry majors such as Nestle, Hindustan Unilever, Ranbaxy, Ballarpur, ITC, Grasim, Indian Rayon and Godrej. Catering to a sizeable market in India, RSGB has continuously tried to increase capacities and feed the growing industry demand, which is about 12-15% at present. Per capita consumption of corn starch in India is estimated to be about 1 kg as compared with 64 kg in US and the world average of 6 kg, which leaves room for a sustainable growth in the years to come. In 2006, RSGB, the largest corn wet milling company in the Indian subcontinent having the highest crushing capacity, had joined hands with France’s Roquette Freres, a leading player in this industry with a consolidated turnover exceeding $4.5 billion, to improve the yield parameters and develop new products.
RSGB’s new capacities are already in place and for technical expertise; it has found a partner in Roquette Freres, France, which is the world’s fifth largest starch company. Roquette also has a 14.93% stake in RSGB. Roquette, which sells about 1,000 products, will help RSGB increase its current product offering of 40 to add more value added products in its portfolio by way of providing technology and know-how. These new value added products will be for nutrition, biotech and health and dextrose for sugar free goods. These value added products will also help RSGB in acquiring a larger pie of the existing market and enter new industries. Considering these developments, RSGB is targeting a market share of 25% in two years as compared with 17% now. RSGB currently generates about 65 per cent of its revenues from value added products. It is planning to increase this to 80% over the next two years. RSGB is also working closely with brand-enhancing food companies like Nestle, Heinz, Cadbury, Hindustan Unilever and Britannia and pharmaceutical companies like Ranbaxy, Wockhardt, Sun Pharma and Nicholas Piramal with repeat business and sustainable revenues.
Net profit of RSGB rose 816.00% to Rs 9.16 cr. in the Q2 ended September 2009. Sales rose 30.49% to Rs 164.44 cr.. For the half year ended Sept. 2009, the co’s net profit stood at Rs 14.3 cr.(up 55%) on net sales of Rs 320.76 cr.(up 29%). For the year ended March 2009, RSGB had posted net sales of Rs 533.9 cr.(up 60%) and net profit of Rs 13.98 cr.(down 30%). The net profit was down mainly due to higher interest burden, forex losses and higher depreciation. On a equity of 11.13 cr.(Promoters’stake-43%), the EPS stood at Rs 12.5 and the dividend declared was 20%.
With global economy showing signs of recovery, consumers’ willingness to spend more and demand picking up, demand for products like starch & glucose is also likely to pick up. Also, FMCG companies have continued to grow by volume and there by would in turn increase the demand for raw materials/inputs used in bakery & confectionery products. At the current market price of Rs 139, the stock is trading at a P/E multiple of 11 times its FY09 earnings and 8.4 times FY10E earnings (Rs 16-Rs 17). RSGB’ market cap stands at Rs 157 cr, against expected net sales of Rs 650 cr. for FY10. Considering that the company is the largest player in its sector, investors can expect good returns over the medium-long term. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-50% over the next 6-8 months.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Sanjay Chhabria)

Stock Idea: Federal-Mogul Goetze India Ltd

Federal-Mogul Goetze India Ltd (Rs120)
(BSE Code - 505744 NSE Code - FMGOETZE)
(P/E - 9.6, Market Cap - Rs667 cr, Promoters’ stake - 74.98%)
Goetze (India) Limited was established in 1954 as a joint venture with Goetze-Werke of Germany. Goetze-Werke of Germany is now owned by Federal-Mogul Corporation, a $6.3 billion global company and one of the leading manufacturers of automotive components in the world. In 2006, US-based Federal-Mogul acquired the Indian promoters’ stake, raising its holding to 50.11%, to take control of the company after which the name of the company changed to "Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited"(FMG). Federal Mogul, one of the promoters of Goetze (India) and a US auto-parts major acquired 62,30,000 equity shares of the company at Rs 222.50 per share, constituting 24.64% of the equity share capital. There was rights issue in 2008 at Rs.56 per share, which did not get adequate response from the investors and promoters subscribed to the Shares and increased their holding to 74.98%. FMG has a paid-up equity capital Rs 55.63 cr. of which promoters hold 74.98%., FII/MF’s hold 12.42%, Bodies corporate hold 1.84% and Public holds 10.76%
FMG is the largest manufacturer of pistons and piston rings in India. The parent Federal-Mogul is a leading auto-ancillary company with a very strong presence in the diesel vehicles segment. FMG is involved in the manufacture of auto components like pistons, piston rings, sintered parts and cylinder liners covering a wide range of applications including two/three-wheelers, cars, SUVs, tractors, light commercial vehicles, heavy commercial vehicles, stationary engines and high output locomotive diesel engines. FMG has 4 manufacturing facilities at Bengaluru (Karnataka), Parwanoo (Himachal), Bhiwadi (Haryana) and Patiala (Punjab) and 22 pan India marketing offices. It makes the widest range of piston rings and pistons varying from 30mm to 300mm diameter. It also manufacturers sintered parts light metal castings and cylinder liners covering a wide range of applications including two/three-wheelers, cars, SUVs, tractors, light commercial vehicles, heavy commercial vehicles, stationary engines and high output locomotive diesel engines. It is market leaders both in OEM and aftermarket. Besides, about 10% of its business is from exports. Within the original equipment manufacturing (OEM) segment, FMG’s revenues are spread across all auto players including Tata Motors, M&M, Bajaj Auto and TVS. There are also expectations that the US based auto parts major parent may use FMG as an outsourcing hub.
FMG reported net profit of Rs 23.68 cr. in the Q3 ended September 2009 as against net loss of Rs 2.86 cr. during the previous quarter ended September 2008. Sales rose 16.52% to Rs 204.42 cr. in the Q3 ended September 2009. For the half year ended June 2009, FMG has posted net sales of Rs 354.58 cr. and net profit of Rs 25.66 cr.. For the year ended December 2008, FMG had posted net sales of Rs 706.6 cr. and net loss of Rs 6.89 cr. The Indian automobile industry is on fast revival after tough period. 2-Wheelers and passenger cars sales are already in “Topgear”. With confidence returning in economy, CV and Capital goods sales are likely to see upward trend after almost 2 years of slow down. Increased focus on rural economy can boost tractors sales in a big way. Going forward, FMG is expanding its capacity, by installing a new plant at Chennai, which is likely to begin operations next year.
In CY09, it is witnessing good performance and based on nine months results, FMG is likely to post an EPS of Rs.12-13 against loss in CY08. At CMP of Rs 120, it trades at forward PE of 9.6, which is attractive for a company that is the biggest player in its line of business. From Rs 449 on 5 January 2007, the FMG scrip tumbled to Rs 28 by 9 March 2009. In view of the improved results, strong parent and good medium term prospects, Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-50% over the next 6-8 months.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Sanjay Chhabria)

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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