Monday, September 21, 2009

Stock Idea: J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd.

J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd as the name suggests is a pure infrastructure player. The company originated in 1980 with a modest beginning and in 29 years has become a force to recon with. Today it competes with all the leading infraproject companies. In the last three years the topline and the bottomline of the company have grown at 18.44% and 35.71% respectively. In FY10 and 11 I expect the company to clock a topline and bottomline growth of 28%. Infrastructure has become the backbone of the economy and the Govt. realizing this has initiated time-bound creation of world-class infrastructure that maximizes the role of public-private partnerships (PPPs). Thanks to these initiatives the order book of the company is 1400 crores (3.46 times FY09 revenues). This assumes great importance because the company has an impeccable track record in timely execution of projects. Hence there is great amount of revenue visibility for the company, which should also reflect on the bottomline.
According to the chairman Mr.Jagdish Kumar Gupta "At J.Kumar our core values-ambition, integrity, foresight, discipline, dedication to excellence and teamwork - have guided us over a quarter of a century".
The present backlog of the company remains completely hedged against commodity price fluctuations. This is a great positive for the company going forward. At a CMP of Rs 158.35 (NSE) the company trades at a P/E of just 7.85 and 6.13 times FY10 and FY11 respectively. The stock can be bought at a price level of 158-159 with a 15-month price Target of 345Rs.

Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Manu Jain)

Stock Idea: Cranes Software International Ltd.

Cranes Software International Ltd (Rs 42)

(BSE Code- 512093 NSE Code- CRANESSOFT) (P/E- 4, Market Cap- 494 cr.)

Cranes Software (CSI) is a specialised software products company, focussed on providing products and solutions to address the needs of scientists and engineers globally. The company's main focus areas are data visualisation and presentation, statistical and analytical software and engineering. Cranes' core success lies in its unique `Acquire-Enhance-Expand' business model. This model has enabled the company to create a significant intellectual property (IP) driven technology business within the focus area of scientific and engineering software. Acquisitions are an integral part of Cranes' business model and their success the basic reason for the company's strong performance in the past. Its acquisitions include products that have faced problems due to shortage of funds, weak management, and lack of sales and marketing network. These products are usually technologically strong and have brand names. Cranes acquires such products and then uses its R&D capabilities and marketing network to further enhance and sell them.Today, CSI has its presence in 39 countries across the world and has a 350,000 strong global user base. Cranes Software offers a range of proprietary products - SYSTAT, SigmaPlot, SigmaStat, SigmaScan, TableCurve 2D, TableCurve 3D, PeakFit, NISA, XID, XIP, Survey ASYST, iCapella, InventX and world-renowned products from reputed principals such as Engineering Technology Associates, The Mathworks, Texas Instruments and IBM. The company has grown its sales and net profits at compounded rates of 58% and 67% respectively over the period FY02 to FY06. One of Cranes' major strengths is marketing. The company has direct offices in five locations - the US, the UK, Germany, India and Singapore - apart from distributors. The strong distribution network of the company has been one of the key reasons as to why it has been able to ramp up sales of the acquired products over a period of time.Total consolidated revenues for Q1FY10 are up 6% to Rs. 121.8 cr. whereas PAT for Q1 is at Rs 28.1 cr.. EPS for Q1 ended June 2009 is Rs 2.4. Total consolidated revenues for FY09 were up 32.7% to Rs. 528.9 cr.. Overseas revenues increased 41.0% to Rs. 450.9 cr. and constituted 88.6% of total revenues. Operating profit improved by 17.9% to Rs. 240.2 cr.. Operating margins for the year stood at 45.4%. Net profit after tax is up 5.5% to Rs 121.3 cr.. Accordingly, FY09 EPS on a Rs 2 paid up share stood at 10.3 on a equity of 23.55 cr.(Promoter's stake- 36.68%, FII Stake- 41.78%) and the dividend declared is 10%. Proprietary products grew by 31% on a corresponding basis and constituted 87% of total revenues. CSI expects this segment to grow at a healthy pace and constitute majority of total revenues. CSI has, with a longer-term view, invested in proprietary technologies that would deliver returns over a longer period of time. These include wireless technology standards and micro electro-mechanical systems (MEMS).During the year, CSI entered into alliances with several leading Companies and announced new product launches that will serve as a platform for its future growth initiatives. Going forward, it will continue to focus on consolidating operations to sustain long term growth and with increased emphasis on productivity of resources. CSI's premier graphing application, SigmaPlot 11 won the Scientific Computing Magazine's Reader's Choice Award 2008 in the 'Graphing' and 'Statistical Analysis' categories. CSI shifted its Engineering and Technology operations to 35,000 sq ft of own office premises which is expected to result in considerable savings in FY10. The company continues to witness strong traction in its IP-led business model. The continuous launch of newer versions of its proprietary products is a positive factor which is necessary in order to sustain growth in a product-led business model, it is necessary to have a strong R&D set-up in place, as well as a strong marketing network. The company is also in the process of launching its `Solutions' business, which will drive the topline going forward. This initiative will give Cranes an end-to-end solution suite in the niche area of engineering and scientific software products. The stock currently trades at Rs 42, implying a P/E multiple of 4 times FY09 earnings. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-50%over the next 6-8 months.

Source: Internet (By Sanjay Chhabria)

Stock Idea: Geodesic Ltd.

Geodesic Ltd (Rs 136)
(BSE Code- 503699 NSE Code- GEODESIC)
(P/E- 4.4, Mkt. Cap-1253 cr.)
Geodesic Ltd, formerly Geodesic Information Systems Ltd, has been an innovator in software products focused on information, communication, and entertainment for mobile phones and desktop computers. Among its retail products are instant messenger service, software applications (VoIP or Voice over Internet Protocol) and Mundu Radio (allows users to navigate numerous radio stations and news channels on mobile phones). Its institutional products help enterprises manage customer data, reduce advertising and communication costs and enable communication across the enterprise
Geodesic offers applications under the brand name 'Mundu' for retail segment and is also the owner of Chandamama, the library of 15,000 exclusive stories. Geodesic offers communication and collaboration solutions. It provides innovative front-end applications, the Mundu suites of products. Mundu instant messaging (IM), (voice-over-internet protocol) Mundu speak, Mundu Radio, Montage, etc. Mundu Radio technology is used by Idea Cellular's 'Idea Radio' and Geodesic also has technology allowing live TV on mobile handsets. Mundu IM has been recognised as one of top 10 applications of 2007-08 and is used by more than 7% of iPhone users. Mundu suite of products helps reduce 60-65% of communication costs. In 2005, Geodesic acquired three companies including Bangalore based Picopeta Simputers and Hong Kong based Engage solutions and took a stake in Swedish Clangula IT. In 2007, it acquired web development company E Dot solutions and children's magazine Chandamama. Its latest acquisition was South American Interactive Networks (INT), which has given Geodesic access to secure private IM solutions for enterprises, private label IM solutions for internet services and IM solutions for mobile operators.
There are an estimated 360 million smart phones worldwide and what Geodesic offers is mostly related to Internet services on mobile phones-a market that's growing 30% a year. Call and message rates in India are already very low and there is little room for competition on the price front. The next wave will come from value-added services(VAS) such as VoIP and entertainment content. As a niche content provider, Geodesic can tap this opportunity. Instant messaging is a rapidly expanding mode of real-time communication across the world. The global messaging market, which was $65 billion in 2007, is predicted to touch $117 billion by 2012 according to Portio Research. A more recent report also states that Mobile Instant Messaging, which generated $2.5 billion in 2008, is expected to increase to $12.4 billion by 2013.
Geodesic reported a consolidated topline of Rs 642.94 cr. in FY09, a whopping 103.18% jump over Rs 316.44 cr. in FY08 on consolidated basis. Net profit at Rs 282.84 cr. grew a handsome 90%. On a equity of 18.44 cr.(Promoter's stake-23.25%, FII/MF stake- 58.32%) The EPS on a Rs 2 paid up share stood at Rs 30.67 and the dividend declared is 80% (Rs 1.60 per share). Geodesic has a strong balance sheet with Rs 380 cr. of cash, part of which was used to buy back $8.5 million outstanding FCCBs. In the March quarter, Geodesic finalised a deal with Bright Star Corporation, Miami, to launch Mundu IM on mobile phones and also got orders from Atom Technologies, Mumbai, Venture Infotech and Fullerton India Credits Ltd for implementing a biometric enabled mobile terminal. It inked deals with Business India and Ahli United bank BSC, Bahrain, as also with some leading stock broking firms in India and Mirae Asset Global Investment Hong Kong. Besides, Toonz has recently tied up with the company for using Chandamama stories for full-length animated films. For the Q1 ended June 2009, Geodesic posted net profit of Rs 59.04 cr. on net sales of Rs 163.2 cr. on consolidated basis. The stock is trading 4.4 times its FY09 earnings and appears extremely cheap for a products company with a net profit margin of over 44%, much higher compared to most other listed, products-focussed technology companies. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 50%-60% over the next 6-8 months.

Source: Internet (Valuenotes by Sanjay Chhabria)

Friday, September 18, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 18th September

Indian Stock Market may open negative and remains negative because of some profit booking.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

NAGARJUN CONSTRUCT

Buy Above

147.65

151.35

155.00

Sell Below

145.50

142.25

138.00

HCC

Buy Above

113.50

117.65

122.00

Sell Below

110.35

106.20

101.00

REL POWER

Buy Above

164.80

169.20

174.00

Sell Below

162.40

158.35

155.00

OPTO CIRCUIT

Buy Above

205.75

210.45

216.00

Sell Below

203.15

198.25

192.00

PSL LTD

Buy Above

180.65

185.35

192.00

Sell Below

177.55

172.35

166.00

ORCHID CHEMICAL

Buy Above

163.80

168.20

174.00

Sell Below

161.35

156.35

150.00

GMR INFRA

Buy Above

139.20

142.75

146.00

Sell Below

137.20

134.15

131.00

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Stock Idea: Kinetic Motors Ltd.

Kinetic Motors Ltd. CMP: 31
About the Company
: Established in 1984 by the Firodias of Kinetic Engineering – the leading manufacturers of mopeds -- Kinetic Motor Company Ltd, formerly known as Kinetic Honda Motor has a technical and financial collaboration with the world leaders in automobiles, Honda Motor Company, Japan. The Japanese collaborator which was holding 50.92% stake in the company divested its stake in favour of Kinetic Engineering for Rs 34.47 cr in 1998. At present Kinetic Engineering holds 50.92% stake in KMCL. The company got the status of a government-recognised Export House, in 1995-96. The company is planning to upgrade its present product range, develop new vehicle models using latest technology etc Due to intense competition, and entry of multinational giants in Indian market, the Company had been suffering losses in the past few years. In order to protect the interests of the stakeholders, the company entered in a deal with Mahindra & Mahindra Limited. Pursuant to the deal, the two wheeler business related assets have been transferred to Mahindra Two Wheelers Limited, a subsidiary of Mahindra & Mahindra Limited. The overall sales of two wheelers in Indian market have grown during the year under review. This has been mainly caused by the general economic slowdown. After achieving a debt-free status, your Company is now evaluating different avenues for newer businesses.
Technicals: The counter has been witnessing a continuous upside rally since the beginning of this year, after forming a strong bottom at 6-7 level. From that level it started to retrace back to the high of current level of 31.70, along with stable volumes. As per other technical indicators it is trading well above the crossover of 9 & 18 days WMA and 50 days SMA. This indicates the counter is bullish in medium to long term. 14 Days RSI is trading at 92 level, with upward bias. But according to this the counter is already in over bought zone; therefore we may see some correction in prices in the near term. Overall the trend remains positive for the counter. So anydip in price levels from here will be taken as an opportunity to make fresh long position. Immediate resistance is 33 which is acting as a small hurdle in the further up run of the counter.
Above it the counter may see a target of 39 and above that 52.
Source: Internet (Valuenotes)

Stock Idea: Aurobindo Pharma

Aurobindo Pharma manufactures generic pharmaceuticals and active pharmaceutical ingredients. The company’s manufacturing facilities are approved by several leading regulatory agencies like US FDA, UK MHRA, WHO, Health Canada, MCC South Africa, ANVISA Brazil. The company’s robust product portfolio is spread over 6 major therapeutic/product areas encompassing Antibiotics, Anti-Retrovirals, CVS, CNS, Gastroenterologicals, and Anti-Allergics.

For the first quarter ended 30th June 2009, on a consolidated basis, the company registered a total operating income of Rs 852.8 crore, up 25% on a YoY. Formulation sales were up 62% at Rs.469 crore and this comprised 57% of its gross sales. Operating Profit before Forex was at Rs.195.7 crore, up by 71%. PAT after forex was at Rs 166.6 crore as against Rs.16.4 crore in Q1FY09. However, the PAT before Forex was at Rs.109 crore, up 55%.

During the quarter, the company repurchased and cancelled FCCBs of face value of USD 1.8 million. In Q1 FY 2009-10, it had 8 ANDA filings in USA, taking the total cumulative filings to155. It also had 13 Dossier filings in Europe in Q1 FY 2009-10 , taking the total cumulative filings to 677.

In August, the company acquired Hyderabad-based Trident Life Sciences for about Rs.134 crore. It will fund the deal through internal cash flow and will repay the debt on Trident Life Sciences' books in the next six to nine months. This acquisition will give Aurobindo an opportunity to enter the injectables business as Trident is building a liquid injectables facility in Medak, Hyderabad, scheduled to go on stream in April 2011.

Since the last few days, Aurobindo has acquired quite a few approvals for its drugs from USFDA as well as Switzerland. And that is precisely why the stock price has remained up and is expected to remain firm in the coming days too. A strong company, it’s a long term stock for portfolio building.
Source: www.premiuminvestments.in (By S P Tulsian)

Intraday Trading Calls for 17th September

Indian Stock Market may open positive and remains good positive for the today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

NAGARJUN CONSTRUCT

Buy Above

144.75

149.35

154.00

Sell Below

142.70

139.55

136.00

CRANES SOFTWARE

Buy Above

43.25

45.50

48.00

Sell Below

41.75

39.45

37.00

REL POWER

Buy Above

164.80

169.20

174.00

Sell Below

162.40

158.35

155.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

534.65

545.75

560.00

Sell Below

527.15

518.55

505.00

EKC

Buy Above

220.10

226.45

232.00

Sell Below

216.45

211.20

205.00

ORCHID CHEMICAL

Buy Above

160.05

165.30

170.00

Sell Below

155.35

150.60

145.00

SELAN EXPLO

Buy Above

305.75

312.65

320.00

Sell Below

301.20

295.20

288.00

Buy Purvankara Projects Ltd. (532891) CMP Rs. 120/- Short to Medium Term Target Rs. 175/-.

GOOD LUCK

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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