Sunday, August 16, 2009

Stock Idea: Hanung Toys & Textiles Ltd.

Hanung Toys & Textiles Ltd (Rs 72)

(BSE Code- 532770 NSE Code- HANUNG)

(P/E- 3, Market Cap- 181 cr., Promoters' stake-62.28%)

Hanung Toys & Textiles Ltd (HTTL) is engaged in the manufacturing & exporting of stuff toys & home furnishing products. Its business units consist of soft toys manufacturing facility, home furnishing production facility and textile processing facility, all located in Noida. HTTL's current installed capacity for soft toys is 20-mn pcs p.a, while capacity of made ups is 6.6 mn sets p.a. Its textile-processing unit has a capacity of 41 mn meters of fabric p.a. HTTL mainly deals with the overseas markets viz. Europe, USA, Latin America & the Middle East. The exports account for 80% of the total revenues (In FY08). In USA, HTTL's major buyers are Britannica Home Fashions & CHF Industries under Home Furnishings & Spring Industries, Mohawk Home & Kojo Worldwide under both, toys & home furnishings. In Europe, their major clientele under home furnishings include Metro Group & ASDA, while IKEA, Carpenter & Francodim are buyers under both segments. In the domestic market, HTTL has two brands for soft toys viz; "Play-n-Pets" & "Muskan". Its home furnishing products are marketed under the brand name "Splash". HTTL's soft toys are available across the country at more than 4000 retail stores & multi brand outlets including Kids Kemp, Lifestyle, Land Mark, Big Bazaar, Globus & Shoppers Stop.

In April 2008, HTTL signed a MOU to acquire 100% stake in Chinese soft toy manufacturing unit, having an annual installed capacity of 10 mn pieces. This unit is said to have infrastructure to double its toy capacity going forward. This seems to be a strategic move as it brings in strong synergies in the form of capacity, clients and product mix. This acquisition could further strengthen HTTL's international presence, improve its overall market share in the toys segment & help to expand the overall margins going forward. HTTL's new soft toys unit at Noida (SEZ) with an installed capacity of 6.3-mn pieces p.a. has commenced its commercial production from April 2008. This unit is expected to operate at 70%-80% utilization in FY10. HTTL also has plans to increase the total capacity of soft toys from the present 20 mn pieces p.a. to 35 mn pieces p.a over the next one year. This could improve the contribution of HTTL's soft toys segment to the total revenues going forward & improve the overall margins, since toys segment offers more margins than the home furnishing segment. HTTL has also set up a new home furnishings facility at Roorkee (spread over 25 acres) with an installed capacity of 35-mn meters p.a. of fabrics processing. The made up capacity has been increased from 1.3 mn sets p.a. to 6.6 mn sets p.a. HTTL is also going in for backward integration to manufacture fabrics & has set up 6.9 mn meters of weaving capacity. This facility would offer HTTL income tax, excise & sales tax benefits.

HTTL continues to record strong order flows amid an uncertain export environment. Entering into a long-term contract with buyers is not a standard practice in the textile industry, as international retailers tend to alter their sourcing plans based on changing fashions. Hanung has managed to enter into two-three year contracts with its clients. In the backdrop of concerns of a slowdown in US imports, the long-term nature of the contracts provides greater visibility to Hanung's revenue stream. At present, HTTL has a healthy order backlog of Rs. 1350 cr. (50:50 for both toys & textiles) of which Rs. 1060 cr. are long term orders, which are executable over a period of 2.5 years. Geographically, the orders have been directed equally towards US & UK.

For the Q1 ended June 2009, HTTL has posted net profit of Rs 15.11 cr.(down 19%) on net sales of Rs 168.2 cr.(up 15%).. HTTL's turnover & PAT had increased by 30% & 9% to Rs. 637.5 cr. & Rs. 66.2 cr. respectively for FY09. EPS for FY09 stood at Rs. 26.4 on a equity of 25.18 cr.(Promoter's stake- 62.28%, FII/MF stake-12.24%). The new home furnishings facility at Roorkee & the Greenfield & brownfield expansion of soft toys facility at Noida contributed to the turnover & profitability growth in FY09. Improved realisations in toys & home furnishing products, better capacity utilisation of existing as well as expanded capacity & economies of scale contributed largely to the sales & profitability growth in FY09 as compared to FY08

At CMP of Rs 72, the stock is currently trading at 2.7x FY09 EPS of Rs 26.4 and 3x FY10 EPS of Rs.24-25 With the aggressive expansion, better utilisation of the expanded capacity & increasing focus on capturing the retail presence, HTTL is well placed to capitalize on the growing market opportunities. Home furnishing segment is expected to contribute 65-67% to the total revenues in FY10. Exports shall continue to be a major growth driver, which would account for 80% of HTTL's total revenues in FY10. wever, going forward, the company is focusing more to improve on the domestic front with strategic alliances with companies like Percept Pictures, Star India Pvt. Ltd. HTTL is also planning to aggressively ramp up retail outlets (franchisee model) over the next two years. In view of the above, Investors can accumulate the Hanung stock at this level and add more on declines for decent appreciation of 40%-50% in the next 8-12 months. Accumulate.

Source: Internet (By Sanjay Chhabria)


Friday, August 14, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 14th August

Stock Market India may open positive and remains good positive for the day.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

IGL

Buy Above

154.25

159.45

164.00

Sell Below

152.35

148.60

144.00

IDBI

Buy Above

101.75

105.60

109.00

Sell Below

100.15

97.20

94.00

MADRAS CEMENT

Buy Above

108.60

113.75

120.00

Sell Below

105.35

100.50

96.00

SELAN EXPLORATION

Buy Above

226.25

231.65

238.00

Sell Below

222.40

217.35

210.00

PSL LTD.

Buy Above

143.10

148.40

154.00

Sell Below

140.70

136.35

131.00

NAGARJUNA CONSTRUCTION

Buy Above

135.60

140.20

145.00

Sell Below

133.35

129.45

125.00

JP ASSOCIATES

Buy Above

225.70

230.20

236.00

Sell Below

223.10

218.65

212.00

Buy L G Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd. (500250) CMP Rs. 14/- Short Term Target Rs. 20-24/-.

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 13th August

Stock Market India may open positive and remains good positive for the day.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SAIL

Buy Above

164.60

167.55

171.00

Sell Below

163.15

160.45

157.00

IDBI

Buy Above

96.75

99.40

103.00

Sell Below

95.40

92.15

90.00

IDFC

Buy Above

138.25

142.40

147.00

Sell Below

136.35

132.55

129.00

SELAN EXPLORATION

Buy Above

203.75

210.45

218.00

Sell Below

200.40

195.35

190.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

238.15

243.10

248.00

Sell Below

235.45

232.05

228.00

GMR INFRA

Buy Above

132.05

136.55

142.00

Sell Below

130.00

126.70

122.00

JP ASSOCIATES

Buy Above

215.70

221.65

228.00

Sell Below

212.35

207.65

202.00

GOOD LUCK

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 12th August

Stock Market India may open positive but very high volatility expected today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

465.80

475.40

485.00

Sell Below

459.35

450.10

440.00

IDBI

Buy Above

96.20

98.75

102.00

Sell Below

94.70

92.15

89.00

IDFC

Buy Above

132.80

137.25

140.00

Sell Below

131.05

128.10

125.00

BRFL

Buy Above

185.55

190.25

195.00

Sell Below

183.40

178.60

173.00

CORE PROJECTS

Buy Above

157.70

162.55

168.00

Sell Below

155.30

150.45

145.00

VOLTAS LTD.

Buy Above

137.25

140.45

144.00

Sell Below

135.40

132.15

128.00

JP ASSOCIATES

Buy Above

210.55

216.75

224.00

Sell Below

206.45

200.10

194.00

GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 11th August

Stock Market India may open positive and remains good positive for the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

460.20

472.45

485.00

Sell Below

452.40

444.35

435.00

SELAN EXPLO

Buy Above

203.75

210.45

216.00

Sell Below

200.40

195.20

190.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

241.55

246.55

251.00

Sell Below

238.45

233.70

228.00

BRFL

Buy Above

175.80

181.60

188.00

Sell Below

173.10

169.30

165.00

3I INFOTECH

Buy Above

66.50

69.45

72.00

Sell Below

65.00

62.15

60.00

PSL LTD.

Buy Above

130.55

136.15

142.00

Sell Below

128.30

124.10

120.00

SU-RAJ DIAMONDS

Buy Above

39.20

41.75

45.00

Sell Below

37.75

35.35

33.00

Short to Medium Term Delivery Buy:

Buy SunFlag Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. (500404) CMP Rs. 20/- Short Term Target Rs. 32-35/-.

GOOD LUCK

Monday, August 10, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 10th August

Stock Market India may open positive and remains good positive for the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

460.20

472.45

485.00

Sell Below

452.40

444.35

435.00

SELAN EXPLO

Buy Above

196.65

202.75

210.00

Sell Below

193.35

188.25

183.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

240.75

246.55

251.00

Sell Below

238.15

233.70

228.00

BRFL

Buy Above

180.25

186.70

194.00

Sell Below

177.10

172.60

168.00

BANK OF BARODA

Buy Above

428.60

435.55

442.00

Sell Below

421.35

415.30

408.00

INDIABULLS REALEST

Buy Above

230.15

236.45

242.00

Sell Below

226.70

222.15

217.00

NEYVELI LIGNITE

Buy Above

135.50

140.20

144.00

Sell Below

133.45

130.10

126.00

GOOD LUCK

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Stock Idea: Ester Industries

Company produces PET films and Engineering plastic, for which domestic demand is growing at more than 15% p.a. Company’s utilization levels are currently more than 100% for PET film and around 100% for engineering plastic. Thus to meet growing demand, company is planning to expand capacity of PET film from 30,000 Mts to 57,000 Mts by the end of 2010 and also planning to raise Engineering plastic capacity from 3,600Mts to 11,000Mts. Expansion is mostly funded from internal accruals and debt. (No equity dilution is contemplated). Company also has more than matching capacity of PET chips, which is and intermediate product. Last year performance was affected due to volatility and high prices of the raw material like PTA and MEG. But now the raw material prices have stabilized and better realizations are leading to healthy margins for the company. Better performance is expected to continue as the realizations are better and the input costs have come down. Most of the sales are to the domestic markets [75%] catering to FMCG segment where demand is strong at 20-22% [and least affected by any slowdown], rest is exported [25%]. Outlook for the current year and the coming year looks promising with company expected to achieve sales close to 450 crores and profit after tax close to 50 crores for 2010. Current years earnings could be close to Rs 9 and thus discounting present stock price by around 2.4X and offers scope for appreciation looking to growth potential.

Background
The company manufactures and sells PET film [Capacity - 30,000 MTs], its value added variants and Engineering plastics [Cap. 3,600 MTs]. It also manufactures intermediate required for PET films - Polymer chips [Cap. 36,000Mts] which is mostly used for captive consumption and the surplus is sold in market. Utilisation levels for PET films is over 100% thus company is now expanding capacity for PET films from 30,000Mts to 57,000Mts and for Engineering plastic from 3,600Mts to 11,000Mts by the end of 2010. These expansion plans will cost around 200Crores and they would be funded, 50% by internal accruals and the remaining by debt. For ‘09 company has prepaid their term loan significantly leading to lower interest costs. Plus this will enable company to take low cost term loan again for expansion plans. The global demand growth of PET film is growing around 7-8% and in India it has been growing at around 15%p.a.This demand growth in the segment of PET film has been triggered by steep growth in Flexible Packaging of FMCG/Snack food products which continue to shift from loose/ bulk packs to smaller unit packs. A significant shift in use of packaged products and rapidly growing organized retailing, promises a sustained growth in packaging & PET film usage.
The Engineering Plastics compounds and blends business continues to be a high growth segment. The major applications for Engineering Plastics compounds are in the - Electrical, Electronics and Automotive sectors. Of these three sectors, the growth in demand of Engineering Plastics compounds continues to be in excess of 20% per annum in Electrical and Electronics industry. The raw materials for these products are PTA and MEG which ruled quite high in 08-09 with high volatility of the oil prices. But now oil prices have stabilized considerably and settled at lower levels, leading to better margins. Company is the first company to use rice husk for Thermic Fluid Heater which will save emission of 18000Mts of carbon di-oxide and once registered under CDM (Clean development Mechanism), the company will get equivalent CER’s under Kyoto Protocol of United Nations.

Risks and Concerns
The anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties on Indian PET film manufacturers in US, EU & Brazil continue. Turkey has also imposed an anti-subsidy duty on Indian PET Film producers. Any sharp rise in the oil prices leading to price rise in raw material, PTA and MEG could affect the profit margins of the company.
Peer Valuations
The peer group companies are – Polyplex [with smaller capacity and lower sales], is available at 15X of current earnings; another player Garware polyster [with large capacity and much bigger sales] is available at much higher discounting.

Recommendation
Looking to present fundamentals, expansion plans and very attractive valuations, we expect company to give very good returns in medium to long term. We have price target of Rs 30 in next 3-6 months and over Rs 40 in 12 months.

Source: Internet (By DD SHARMA)

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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