Sunday, August 9, 2009

Stock Idea: PSL Ltd. & Blue Star Infotech Ltd.

PSL Ltd (Rs 126)
(BSE Code- 526801 NSE Code-PSL)
(P/E- 5, Mkt. Cap-505 cr. Order Book- 6,000 cr.)
PSL has the largest HSAW (helical submerged arc welded) pipe manufacturing facility in the country. Further, the company also has an integrated pipe coating and an in-house engineering facility that makes pipe manufacturing and coating equipment. PSL enjoys a significant share of the helical pipes market in India. Helical pipes are finding wider acceptance and newer applications, globally, due to their lower cost structure and improved welding technology. Helical pipes are now increasingly being used in non-critical applications in onshore oil and gas transportation and water projects in the west Asian countries and North America. In the domestic market, the expected ramp up in city gas distribution and the increasing number of onshore blocks awarded under NELP may keep the demand buoyant. That the domestic market is, by and large, price-sensitive may also lead to a preference for helical over line pipes
Besides a strong domestic presence, the company has presence in the UAE and has initiated steps to set up shop in the US. This should help it gain wider presence in the overseas market, which offers high growth and margin potential over the next two years. In the domestic market, the company's large production facility will help it meet incremental demand, even as its domestic peers are in the midst of expansion plans. The company's presence spanning over five states in the country is an advantage too. Apart from improving its accessibility to project sites of its end-users, a well-spread network will help PSL bring down its freight costs significantly. Further the demand scenario within India remains buoyant, with the formation of the Gas Grid progressing on schedule and expected to continue at a steady pace
PSL's consolidated order book now stands over Rs 6,000 cr.. About Rs 4000 cr. of orders, out of the total order book, are from domestic buyers. This healthy growth in order flows not only provides PSL with a strong revenue visibility, it also inspires confidence on the company's capability to win big orders. Further, the room for enhancement in PSL's capacity utilisation also bears attention. At a time when most of its peers have limited available capacities, PSL enjoys relatively large unutilised capacities
For the year ended March 2009, PSL posted net sales of Rs 3,549 cr.(up 60%) and net profit of Rs 85.9 cr.(flat) on standalone basis. On a equity of 42.5 cr.(Promoters'stake-49%), the EPS stood at Rs 20 and the total dividend declared is 50%. The company's strengthening order book, expansion in capacities and healthy demand from user industries also suggest strong growth prospects. With an installed capacity of over a million tonnes per annum, PSL appears best placed to benefit from the rising global acceptance of helical pipes. At the current market price of Rs 119, the stock trades at about 6 times its FY09 earnings and about 4.7 times FY10E earnings. This appears low considering PSL's growth potential. PSL sells for roughly Rs 505 cr. in market cap and an EV of Rs 1200 cr. Compare this to revenues of Rs 3589 cr. and FY09 PAT of Rs 85.9 cr., and under-valuation becomes apparent. Investors, however, can consider buying the stock in lots given the broad market volatility for 40-50% returns in the next 6-8 months.
Blue Star Infotech Ltd (Rs 80)
(BSE Code- 532346 NSE Code- BLUESTINFO)
(P/E- 5, Market Cap- 80 cr. Dividend yield-6.25%)
Blue Star Infotech (BSIL) is a global provider of Product Development services, ERP solutions, Travel Technology solutions and Testing services. Part of the US$600M Blue Star Group, Blue Star Infotech provides profit-enhancing solutions to enterprises and product companies. With operations in North America, Europe, UK, Japan and India, Blue Star Infotech delivers high-performance technology-based services by adopting a partnering approach with its clients. Blue Star Infotech is a Microsoft Gold Partner and an Oracle Certified Partner. In December 2008, Blue Star Infotech completed 25 years of operations. Blue Star Infotech enjoys long-term relationships with most of its customers. It has a distinguished list of customers across different industries such as Manufacturing, Financial Services, Travel, Retail, Technology, Life Sciences and Engineering. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, BSIL has seven software development centers in Mumbai and Bangalore and serves its global clientele through offices in Santa Clara (CA) and Jersey City (NJ) in North America, London in UK, Helsinki in Finland and Tokyo in Japan. The Company also has business associates in USA and Europe.
BSIL enjoys a 24-year old relationship with Hewlett-Packard, a Fortune 100 company and has been certified as a Hewlett-Packard's Developer and Solution Partner Program member. Some of the other major clients of the co. include names such as Hitachi Medical Corp., 3M, York Intl. Apart from these, BSIL has worked with organizations such as McDonald's, Expedia.com,, Warner Brothers, NEC, European Parliament, HLL, United Breweries, Cipla, Raymond, amongst others.
For the Q1 ended June 2009, BSIL has posted a 65% rise in net profit to Rs 2.5 cr. on net sales of Rs 33.81 cr. on consolidated basis. For the year ended March 31, 2009, Consolidated Revenue stood at Rs. 155.03 cr., representing an increase of 8% over Rs. 143.56 cr. registered in FY08. Consolidated Net Profit for the year was Rs. 15.55 cr., representing a significant growth of 217% y-o-y. On a equity of 10 cr.(Promoters'stake-55.38%), the EPS stood at Rs 15.55 and the dividend declared is 50% (Rs 5 per share). The Company added 47 new customers during 2008-09 and initiated multi-year engagements with four leading companies from UK; a multi-billion dollar engineering company in US and a leading BPO service provider and one of the largest theatre chains in India. Based on current trends and industry outlook, BSIL hopes to improve its performance in the coming year. With its current focus on strengthening and increasing its sales and marketing efforts, it is well-positioned to capitalize on the expected turnaround.
BSIL's financial position is strong with zero debt and Rs 23 cr. in cash/cash equivalents as on March 31, 2009. The steady flow of revenues from HP coupled with the increasing contribution of business from key clients provides significantly visibility in the company's future revenues. At current level of Rs 80, BSIL trades at 5.1 times its FY09 earnings and looks attractive for the medium-long term. The BSIL share at current levels also offers an attractive dividend yield of 6.25%. Investors can start accumulating the stock at current levels and add more on declines for decent returns of 40%-50% over the next 6-8 months.
Source: Internet (By Sanjay Chhabria)

Friday, August 7, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 07th August

Stock Market India may open flat to negative but recovery expected from lower levels.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

SUN PHARMA ADVANCED

Buy Above

71.60

75.20

79.00

Sell Below

69.70

67.10

64.00

SELAN EXPLO

Buy Above

205.10

212.75

220.00

Sell Below

201.35

195.35

190.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

243.60

248.45

254.00

Sell Below

240.35

236.15

230.00

BRFL

Buy Above

190.25

196.45

202.00

Sell Below

187.15

182.55

176.00

MICRO TECHNOLOGIES

Buy Above

130.60

135.55

141.00

Sell Below

127.35

123.50

118.00

INDOWIND ENERGY

Buy Above

40.60

43.20

47.00

Sell Below

39.45

37.15

35.00

NEYVELI LIGNITE

Buy Above

140.60

145.45

150.00

Sell Below

137.35

134.15

130.00

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 06th August

Stock Market India may open flat to positive and remains flat for the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

KRBL

(530813)

Buy Above

103.80

108.25

114.00

Sell Below

101.50

96.75

92.00

VOLTAS

Buy Above

146.20

150.15

155.00

Sell Below

144.30

141.10

137.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

240.65

245.15

250.00

Sell Below

238.30

234.15

228.00

BRFL

Buy Above

191.70

198.35

205.00

Sell Below

189.15

184.45

178.00

MRPL

Buy Above

92.25

95.45

98.00

Sell Below

91.00

88.55

85.00

VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

206.75

212.65

220.00

Sell Below

203.40

197.60

190.00

NEYVELI LIGNITE

Buy Above

140.75

145.45

150.00

Sell Below

138.60

135.25

131.00

GOOD LUCK

Stock Idea: GMR Infra

There was major hullabaloo after GMR Infra posted a 70% (YoY) drop in net profit at Rs.22.50 crore for the first quarter. The share price dropped like nine pins and many of our subscribers have got a bit confused, post this result.

There is no need to panic. The drop is net profit is on account of the capitalization of the large assets at Delhi airport which led to huge depreciation and interest outgo. This is a normal phenomena with any large, capital intensive infra company, so no need to panic. And this in turn has affected the net profit. Depreciation outgo was up 72% (YoY) and interest outgo was up by a huge 132%. Naturally, with such huge outgo's it thus comes as no surprise to see the net margin getting affected.
But a look at the performance before these charges, indicates that the company actually has had a robust Q1. Net revenue was up 33% and EBIDTA was up 35%. The highest contributor to the revenue this quarter has been the roads whose sales went up 120%, energy contributed 24%, airports at 17%. But in terms of EBIT margins, airport was the highest at 137%, followed by roads at 128%.

GMR's Vemagiri Power Plant is operating at full load at a PLF of 82.2% and this is pursuant to the signing of gas supply agreement. Its Kamalanga Energy1050 MW coal based power project achieved financial closure. It also acquired two key power plants, thereby adding 600 MW in India and 800 MW in Singapore.

In its airports sector, GMR Hyderabad International Airport (GHIAL) was allowed to increase the landing and parking charges at 10%, with effect from July 01, 2009 and the effect of this would now be reflected in the performance of the company in Q2. The construction work in Delhi International Airport Pvt. Ltd. (DIAL) for the integrated Terminal-3 is complete to an extent of 72%. Its airport at Turkey has achieved 78% completion and the project is on track for commercial operation by end October 2009.

In roads, GMR won the bid for Hyderabad - Vijayawada (181 km) road, with an estimated project cost of Rs 2200 crore. It has also won the bid for Chennai Outer Ring Road (30 km) with an estimated project cost of Rs 1100 crore. This is the group's first state highway project. The sixth road project, the toll based GMR Ulundurpet Expressways commenced commercial operation on 24th July 2009 and this too shall start contributing well to the numbers in coming months.
An infra company of GMR's size cannot really be judged based on quarterly results. No need to worry. Stay invested and it holds potential to touch Rs.180 by Jan 2010.
Source: www.premiuminvestments.in (S P Tulsian)

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Stock Idea: Tata Chemicals

Tata Chemicals, the second largest manufacturer of soda ash and the third largest producer of sodium bicarbonate in the world, apart from being the leader in the Indian market, posted a good set of results for the first quarter ended 30th June 2009. Lower input prices and a strict control on operating costs enabled healthy performance for the quarter under review.

Its revenue for Q1FY10 was up at Rs 1,441 crore up 19.4% on a YoY. PAT was up 61% at Rs.94 crore. But on a consolidated basis, net profit was at Rs 42.5 crore as against Rs 107 crore in Q1FY09 and its consolidated net sales were up at Rs 2,248 crore v/s Rs 2,186 crore in Q1FY09. This dip in profit is on account of the closure of its Netherlands unit. This restructuring bill was at Rs 87.36 crore.

Soda ash domestic demand grew 8%, driven largely by the detergents segment. Prices of raw materials declined faster than the price of soda ash and that helped the margins. Urea production was at around 3,500 tons per day. It has a 58% market share in its salt business.

A new Sodium bicarbonate plant with a capacity of 50,000 MT has commenced operations in UK and demand continues to be healthy though increasing imports are pressuring margins.

In fertilizer segment, change in policy resulting in DAP subsidy prices being linked to international prices with a lag of 2 months instead of 1 month enabled better predictability and management operations. Phosphatic prices are expected to remain stable for now but move upwards from September. Its fertiliser subsidy for Q1 FY10 was at Rs 67 crore.

As at 30th June 2009, it has repaid loans worth Rs 440 crore, while the outstanding subsidy, for the fertiliser segment, was at Rs 521crore. The company plans to repay foreign currency loans worth $44 million in January 2010, and will pay $30-40 million every year toward loans worth $300 million taken by its US unit General Chemicals. Its cash balance stood at Rs 1253 crore.

Stay invested.
Source: www.premiuminvestments.in (S P Tulsian)

Monday, August 3, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 03rd August

Stock Market India may open negative and remains negative with high volatility for today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

ROLTA INDIA

Buy Above

157.60

162.30

168.00

Sell Below

155.10

150.35

145.00

VOLTAS

Buy Above

145.20

149.45

154.00

Sell Below

143.35

140.25

136.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

237.20

242.60

248.00

Sell Below

234.15

230.05

225.00

ESSAR OIL

(500134)

Buy Above

151.75

156.20

162.00

Sell Below

149.35

144.70

140.00

ANKUR DRUGS

(531683)

Buy Above

151.20

157.65

164.00

Sell Below

148.15

143.45

138.00

MOSER BAER

Buy Above

89.60

92.45

95.00

Sell Below

88.35

85.40

82.00

REL POWER

Buy Above

170.25

175.45

181.00

Sell Below

167.45

162.60

157.00

Buy at CMP and at decline PRITHVI INFORMATION SOLUTIONS Ltd. (532675) CMP Rs. 63/- for Short Term Target Rs. 120/-.

GOOD LUCK

Stock Idea: Supreme Petrochem Ltd.

INVESTMENT IDEA : JUGANOO – Multibagger Idea

Supreme Petrochem Ltd.

• The company manufactures polystyrene, Speciality Polysterene, Expanded Polysterene [XPS] and Expandable Polysterene [EPS].

• They are common plastic inputs used for making various Packaging products, insulation boards, toughned plastic parts for consumer electronic gadgets and high tech components for automobiles etc.

• Company has entered in to MOU with Nova Chemicals of USA for producing CUP grade EPS beads, with arrangements to sell back to Nova, as also to selected countries. This is a restricted high technology product, and if all goes well, company will setup 20,000 MTs capacity by June 2010.

• Company is also setting up SEZ for Plastic processing in Raigarh, Maharashtra and a minor port nearby.

• Last year's performance of company was poor due to tight availability of key input -styrene monomer, high volatiltity and falling trend in input prices, leading squeezed margins.

• Now, with improved supplies and stable prices of key input, the margins have improved from Q-4, and they are likely to remain so.

• With economic activity picking up, the demand for company's products will grow at a healthy pace. We expect company to report significant improvement in performance in current year.

• The stock is available at 3X of our expected earnings for 2010 and looks attractive for investment. Buy with target of Rs 55 in 12 month's time frame.

Background

The company manufactures polystyrene [2,72,000], Speciality Polysterene [25,000], Expanded Polysterene [XPS] [5,000] and Expandable Polysterene [EPS]. It is the leader in Polystyrene business in the Indian market place with more than 50% market share and is also the largest exporter of Polysterene from India to more than 80 countries. Its exports are also significant. It will expand the capacity of the speciality Polysterene products further to 50,000 Mts [from 25,000 Mts] in next couple of years. These are used in Alloys/ Blends/ Compounds/ Masterbatches of polymers and mainly in auto/autocomponents segment. Company has achieved TS-16949 certification, which is pre-requisite for product uses in automobile segment. XPS board plant is one of its kind with green technology, these boards are used as an important insulation medium for residential or commercial buildings, thus saving on air-conditioning and electricity. Company is developing Insulation as total value added solution to be offered to retail as well as institutional clients. The company has taken over management control of Shin Ho Petrochemical (India) ltd, and existing player in Expanded Polystyrene (EPS) in Chennai, with an installed capacity of 6,000TPA. Capacity expansion for the same is under progress. Company has entered in to MOU with Nova Chemicals of USA for producing CUP grade EPS beads, with arrangements to sell back to Nova, as also to selected countries. This is a restricted high technology product, and if all goes well, company will setup 20,000 MTs capacity by June 2010. The main inputs are Styrene Monomer and PBR. Styrene Monomer prices are directly linked to the crude prices which are steady now and the availability is also comfortable, with the new capacities going on stream in the current year in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iran. Company is also setting up SEZ for plastic processing in Raigarh and a minor port nearby.

Risks and concerns

The key input Styrene monomer is also fully imported and prone to price volatility. As key input is fully imported and exports are also significant, so forex fluctuations/management is another risk.

Source: Internet (By: DD SHARMA)

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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