Monday, May 18, 2009

UPA Clean Sweep: Markets Ready to Celebrate

Get the drums and the trumpets out!! Its party time folks! The election results have once again stumped the nation and the verdict which has come forth is absolutely stunning!

The various permutations and combinations of all the channels and the newspapers seemed to have gone to waste. All were right in stating that the UPA would lead but no one had expected the UPA to literally sweep the polls. The much feared Left is routed out in its own ‘home’ state – West Bengal. This means that the Left will no longer be a part of the ruling Govt and that in itself is the single best news for the stock markets. The Monday opening is expected to be thunderous and just as the UPA smothered the Third Front and the NDA, the bulls are now expected to kick out the bears. With one single party expected to come to the centre, FIIs will also be queuing up to have a slice of the pie of India, which now once again looks juicy.

Three important things have emerged from this verdict – the Left is out of the Govt; UPA is emerging as the majority party which puts to rest the ambitions of the “regional” parties and the routing out of the Third Front means that for the next few years, hopefully the next five years, regional parties will not demean the national interest.

The election verdict shows that people have voted for stability over anything else. They have thrown out the caste and regional agenda’s of the various parties and what people really wanted was a more secular party. Many had voted for the Congress saying that it is the better devil amongst the sea of devils. Whatever be the reasons, the pitching of young and educated candidates has surely gone in favour of UPA.

The success of UPA can be directly attributed to the hugely popular NREGA – National Rural Employment Guarantee Act. And the much controversial farmer debt waivers has also helped immensely. These two have gone hugely in favour of the UPA. When money is put into the pockets of the people through employment, what more could they ask for?

The victory of UPA will prove to be the best news for the stock market. As we have always maintained, it is sentiments which over rules anything. So right now the sentiments are buoyant and with the UPA being elected back, the extremely positive sentiments will boost the moods all over.

Yes, the issues of the burgeoning fiscal deficit, unemployment, the global crisis, rising food grain prices; all these issues remain. But with the UPA coming to power, what we will have is a continuity in the policies, we will now see privatisation taking off in a big way, the financial sector reforms, especially for the banking and insurance sector will be done on a war footing. FIIs, assured now by the political stability at the Centre will be coming back in droves, once again talking about “attractive valuations” in India. FDI inflows would take a leap. The first thing on the agenda after the Govt is sworn in would be the presentation of the Budget, sometime around June or early July. And this would be a Budget to really look forward to!

All in all, this is a fantastic verdict. This is celebration time for India after a really very long time. Enjoy the moment and get set for the stock market ride when the market opens on Monday!
Source: www.premiuminvestments.in (By Ruma Dubey)

Friday, May 15, 2009

Corporate News

NTPC signs a loan agreement with SBI for Rs85bn for funding a basket of projects (BS)

BHEL wins an order worth Rs14.75bn for a 600MW thermal power plant in Chattisgarh (ET)

Cairn India is open to buying ONGC's 30% stake in its oil block in Rajasthan (BS)

ONGC could report a drop in profit for 2008-09 with Government planning to ask the company to shell-out more cash to make-up for the losses of fuel retailers (ET)

HDFC to reduce deposit rates (ET)

HPCL may post a net loss of Rs4-5bn in FY09 (ET)

IOC signs term loan pact for Paradip project (BL)

Tata Power moves to Supreme Court challenging Government's decision that allowed Reliance Power to divert surplus coal from the Sasan power project (BL)

ONGC may cancel Rs10bn order which it had placed with Great Offshore three years ago for a rig (ET)

AB Nuvo to shut down ammonia and urea plant operations at Jagdishpur due to sudden breakdown (FE)

Axis Bank cuts PLR by 50 bps to 14.75% wef May 15th (FE)

PowerGrid to raise up to Rs30bn through issue of bonds by August 2009 (ET)

Eveready to acquire a French company for Rs600mn (ET)

Chettinad Cement to expand capacity at its Tamil Nadu unit (BL)

Shiv-vani Oil may miss deadline for supplying rigs to ONGC (BL)

Source: Indiainfoline.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 15th May

Stock Market India may open flat to positive but remains very volatile throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

IRB INFRA

Buy Above

110.60

114.80

120.00

Sell Below

108.50

104.15

100.00

GMR INFRA

Buy Above

113.20

115.75

120.00

Sell Below

111.40

107.55

102.00

ADLABS

Buy Above

242.60

248.75

255.00

Sell Below

238.20

232.45

225.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

267.55

273.55

280.00

Sell Below

263.20

257.35

250.00

KALINDI RAIL NIRMAN

Buy Above

110.25

114.75

120.00

Sell Below

108.35

104.15

100.00

BLUE STAR

(500067)

Buy Above

190.10

195.20

202.00

Sell Below

187.35

183.45

178.00

VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

113.75

118.20

124.00

Sell Below

111.40

107.65

102.00

Short Term Delivery Buy:

Buy EKC (532684) CMP Rs. 141/- Very Short Term Target Rs. 180/-

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 14th May

Stock Market India may open Negative but remains very volatile throughout the day today and it may recover at the end from lower levels.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

IRB INFRA

Buy Above

103.80

107.65

111.00

Sell Below

102.50

98.35

94.00

GMR INFRA

Buy Above

112.25

115.10

118.00

Sell Below

110.40

106.55

102.00

REL POWER

Buy Above

130.60

133.75

137.00

Sell Below

128.40

125.10

122.00

TATA STEEL

Buy Above

267.55

273.55

280.00

Sell Below

263.20

257.35

250.00

TATA ELXSI

(500408)

Buy Above

126.20

130.10

135.00

Sell Below

124.35

121.45

116.00

SAIL

Buy Above

119.75

123.25

127.00

Sell Below

117.45

114.30

110.00

HPCL

Buy Above

264.75

270.10

275.00

Sell Below

262.10

257.35

251.00

GOOD LUCK

Corporate News

RoC has asked Reliance Industries to clarify certain shareholder complaints received against the company's proposed merger with Reliance Petroleum. (ET)

ONGC will invest Rs90bn over the next 3-4 years to enhance oil and gas output. (ET)

As per the petroleum secretary IOC, HPCL and BPCL may face Rs150bn revenue loss during the current fiscal. (FE)

BPCL's Kochi Refinery is about to receive the mega main reactor for its new vacuum gas oil hydro desulphurisation unit. (BS)

Tata Power is approaching the Supreme Court seeking to overturn a government decision allowing Reliance Power to divert surplus coal from Sasan's captive mines to other projects. (ET)

TCS bags a 5 year contract from Volkswagen to deliver IT transformation and support services. (ET)

SBI cuts deposit rates by 50bps. (ET)

L&T, Siemens VAI, SMS Siemag and Paul Wurth and other 8 companies have evinced interest for 9 turnkey contracts of NMDC's Rs140bn steel plant. (FE)

Suzlon cancels its plan to repurchase bond amounting to US$166mn. (FE)

Suzlon's promoters sell 2% stake in the company to raise Rs2.3bn. (Mint)

DLF plans to raise Rs100bn in the next 2-3 years through sale of its treasury investments, land parcels and real estate projects. (ET)

DLF may sell 66% in Hindoostan Mill for Rs3.1bn. (ET)

DLF promoters sold 9.9% stake for Rs38.6bn to buy out hedge fund DE Shaw's investment in DAL and infuse fresh capital into it. (Mint)

DLF has exited the troubled Rs330bn public-private partnership township project at Dankuni in Hooghly district of West Bengal. (BS)

DLF promoters plan to list DAL in 18-24 months. (BS)

Unitech, Omaxe and Raheja Developers are waiving penalty on late payments so that customers do not quit. (BS)

Auto ancillary suppliers associated with the Nano project want Tata Motors to guarantee their loans for investing in Sanand. (BL)

Maruti is in talks with Reliance Industries and GAIL on the availability of natural gas and possibilities of more fuel stations. (BL)

M&M to offer trucks with 16-44 ton capacity by the end of this year. (BS)

Britannia has taken full control of the Bangalore based bakery foods retailer Daily Bread. (ET)

Godrej Consumer Products may consider a price hike in September following strong demand. (BL)

UltraTech does not intend to rein in expansion plans. (BS)

Max India is raising Rs1.5bn through preferential allotment of shares to IFC. (ET)

Lupin plans to increase its stake in Generic Health Pty Ltd, a major generics drug supplier in Australia, to over 50% in order to gain a major share of the growing Australian market. (BS)

AB Nuvo plans to deploy Rs10bn of surplus cash from its value business into growth businesses. (FE)

Educomp bags Rs838.2mn from the Gujarat government for introducing computer aided learning. (FE)

Usha Martin will achieve increased steel manufacturing capacity of 700,000 tons by June and 900,000 tons by March '10. (BL)

Maharashtra Seamless has deferred its plans to set up two separate steel plants by almost two years. (ET)

PE firm Actis plans to reject Swaraj Mazda's rights issue. (ET)

CC&C Ltd bagged Rs1.8bn order as a part of the runway expansion at the Chennai airport. (BL)

Source: Indiainfoline.com

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 13th May

Stock Market India may open positive but remains very volatile throughout the day today.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

GIPCL

(517300)

Buy Above

67.50

71.40

75.00

Sell Below

65.60

62.35

58.00

PETRONET LNG

(532522)

Buy Above

57.25

60.10

63.00

Sell Below

56.10

54.20

51.00

BGR ENERGY

(532930)

Buy Above

193.25

199.40

205.00

Sell Below

189.70

185.25

180.00

NUCLEUS SOFT

(531209)

Buy Above

72.75

77.15

81.00

Sell Below

70.40

67.35

64.00

TATA ELXSI

(500408)

Buy Above

122.80

127.25

132.00

Sell Below

120.10

116.35

111.00

ADLABS

(532399)

Buy Above

245.60

252.65

260.00

Sell Below

242.35

236.45

230.00

EKC

(532684)

Buy Above

140.60

145.10

150.00

Sell Below

138.40

134.20

129.00

Buy FSL (532809) CMP Rs. 16/- Short Term Target Rs. 25/-.

GOOD LUCK

Corporate News

Combined debt of Reliance Industries and its subsidiary Reliance Petroleum will be brought down to around Rs570bn from Rs720bn at present. (BS)

Reliance Industries, IOC and Essar Oil are amongst the six companies that have expressed interest in taking on lease the LNG terminal at Dabhol. (FE)

Tata Steel will raise Rs30bn through non-convertible debentures to prepay the debt of its UK subsidiary, Tata Steel UK. (BS)

DLF has raised the shareholding it had put up for sale from 100mn shares or 6% to 168mn shares or nearly 10% to raise Rs38.5bn from QIBs, including FIIs. (BS)

DoT has appointed independent auditors to look into the accounts of Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular, Vodafone Essar and Tata Teleservices to check whether they had paid lower licence fees to the Government. (BL)

Cairn India has said that crude oil production from Rajasthan field may be delayed if its partner, ONGC, which has a 30% stake in it, withdraws from the project. (BL)

Bajaj Auto has announced the launch of new 2009 Pulsar 150 DTS-I and 180 DTS-i bikes in Andhra Pradesh. (BL)

Japan's Kawasaki Heavy Industries will introduce a high-powered motorcycle in the Indian market with the help of its Indian partner, Bajaj Auto. (BS)

IOC, HPCL and BPCL are likely to get Rs103bn worth of bonds this week. (FE)

Maruti to set up R&D unit to develop its own cars from scratch, in India. (ET)

The Supreme Court issued notice to Reliance Communications on a petition by MTNL alleging that the private mobile services provider had tampered with the process of deciphering the point of origin of a call. (BS)

Power Grid has tied-up with Netherlands based KEMA to lay the transmission system in Middle East. (FE)

Pantaloon Retail got its shareholders' nod to raise Rs3.7bn from sale of equity and linked warrants to promoters and select investors. (BS)

Nalco has resumed full-fledged operations at its Panchpatmali mines. (BS)

TDSAT has rejected petitions by BSNL challenging abolition of the access deficit charge by the telecom regulator. (BL)

Indiabulls Real Estate plans to build residential projects over 9.8mn sq ft in the current fiscal year. (BS)

KEC International has bagged an order worth Rs1.1bn for power transmission related work. (FE)

TIL Ltd has pruned its investment plan in the proposed greenfield project in West Bengal. (BL)

AB Nuvo has decided to create a holding company for its financial services business. (ET)

Source: Indiainfoline.com

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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