Friday, January 2, 2009

Stock Idea: J. Kumar Infraprojects

J. Kumar Infraprojects went public with an issue of 65 lakh equity shares of Rs.10 each, at Rs.110 per share, on 18-01-08. Share got listed on 12-02-08 and closed at Rs.103 on that day. Its all time high was Rs.131 touched on 22-05-08 and low at Rs.56 made on 29-12-08. Now it is ruling at Rs.61.
The company is a civil engineering contractor and infrastructure development company with strong presence in Mumbai, constructing various flyovers and skywalks in the city. Majority of these works have been given to the company, due to better track record. As of date, its order book is of Rs.1,284 crores, which are likely to get executed in the next 30 – 36 months.
The company has been able to maintain its growth momentum, due to better order book. FY 08, total income of the company was at Rs.217 crores with PAT of Rs.19.50 crores, which has resulted into an EPS of Rs.9.42 on equity of Rs.20.72 crores. For first six months of FY 09, its total income is placed at Rs.170 crores with PAT of Rs.13.79 crores yielding an EPS of Rs.6.66. Second half of these companies are always better so one can expect a topline of Rs.400 crores and bottomline of Rs.31 crores, which should result in an EPS of Rs.15. This results into a PE multiple of about 4 times
In the recent times, all the contracting companies are ruling at a PE of 4 to 6 times, due to fear of slowdown which may impact bottomlines and topline of such companies. Also, due to presence of the company in Mumbai City, it goes to its disadvantage.
The company had mobilized Rs.70 crores from IPO, of which, Rs.60 crores has already been utilized. The good part about the issue was, that Rs.51 crores were earmarked for purchase of capital equipments, which is key for any contracting company. This reduces the lease and hire charges, substantially for them, as life of such equipments are quite long.
One more best thing for the company is its low gearing with debt equity ratio of just 0.25 : 1. Of its net worth of Rs.125 crores over Rs.100 crores has been used for purchasing capital equipments. Even debtor cycle of the company is quite under control, as compared to other similar companies. Overall, financial control and management of the company is quite good.
Those who have acquired the stock in IPO, are advised to remain invested with 12 months view. Those who wants to make fresh entry, can buy at 60 levels with a view to exit at 72 to 75 levels which is likely in the next 30 – 40 days. Downside from hereon is minimal.

Source: sptulsian.com

Stock Idea: Bharti Airtel

During the second quarter period ended 30th September 2008, Bharti Airtel made the highest ever-net addition of 82.11 lakh customers in a single quarter.And this factor alone helped the company end Q2 with a robust performance, showing no stress of any slowdown. This again was despite the average revenue per user (ARPU) coming down from Rs 350 per month to Rs 331 on a QoQ. The minutes of usage per user also dipped from 534 to 526 QoQ. The company also posted a forex loss of Rs.586 crore during the quarter.
Notwithstanding these factors the performance for Q2FY09 has been good. On a YoY, the consolidated total revenues was up 42% at Rs.9,020 crore. The mobile business accounted for 81% of total revenues. EBITDA rose 37% at Rs.3,699 YoY. PAT was up 27% at Rs.2,046 crore. It generated cash profit of Rs.3,125 crore, up 20% YoY.
Bharti had 7.99 crore subscribers, as on September 30, 2008, an increase in the total subscriber base of 57% over the corresponding period last year and maintained its leadership position through an improved market share of all India wireless subscribers at 24.6% as on September 30, 2008, up from 23.4% corresponding to the same period of last year.
The company anticipates to launch its 3G services in the six months of spectrum allocation. The 3G spectrum is due for auction on 30th Jan’09 and allocation will take place within a few after auction. With RCom launching its GSM nationwide, Bharti is sure to feel the heat and once number portability also comes, market share of Bharti could get eaten away by RCom.
Telecom is one sector which remains unaffected to a large extent by the slowdown and Bharti being the number one telecom company of India, is a good long term stock in your portfolio.
Source: sptulsian.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 02nd January

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and a good positive closing expected with high volatility.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

RANBAXY

Buy Above

252.20

258.55

265.00

Sell Below

247.50

242.30

238.00

HIND OIL EXPLORATION

Buy Above

69.30

71.55

74.00

Sell Below

67.40

65.15

62.00

IVRCL INFRA

Buy Above

151.70

156.45

162.00

Sell Below

148.50

145.25

141.00

HDIL

Buy Above

141.80

147.10

152.00

Sell Below

139.40

135.25

131.00

LIC HOUSING FINANCE

Buy Above

234.10

239.40

245.00

Sell Below

229.80

225.45

220.00

RAJ TV

Buy Above

50.60

54.25

58.00

Sell Below

48.50

45.35

43.00

JB CHEMICAL

Buy Above

42.80

45.55

48.00

Sell Below

41.40

39.25

36.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy (Penny Stock):

Buy Saboo Sodium Chloro Ltd (530461) CMP Rs. 5.80/- Target Rs. 10-12/-.

GOOD LUCK

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Intraday Trading Calls for 01st January

WISHING YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR 2009.

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and a good positive closing expected.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

JET AIRWAYS

Buy Above

204.20

210.40

218.00

Sell Below

199.20

193.50

188.00

PTC INDIA

Buy Above

70.10

74.25

78.00

Sell Below

67.40

64.35

60.00

BATA INDIA

Buy Above

108.60

114.35

120.00

Sell Below

105.40

101.15

95.00

CHENNAI PETRO

Buy Above

130.15

135.45

142.00

Sell Below

126.70

122.15

116.00

HIND OIL EXPLORATION

Buy Above

66.50

69.35

74.00

Sell Below

64.40

61.35

58.00

VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

122.80

128.40

134.00

Sell Below

119.60

116.10

112.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

173.60

178.25

184.00

Sell Below

170.35

166.50

162.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy (Multibagger Stock for 2009):

Buy Indowind Energy (532894) CMP Rs. 22/- Target Rs. 50+.

GOOD LUCK

Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Stock Idea: Reliance Communications (RCom)

Reliance Communications (RCom) stock surged more than 8% yesterday on news that it will buyback FCCBs at a discount of 52.5% for $25 million, becoming the first Indian company to do so after RBI relaxed the norms. R-Com had issued zero-coupon FCCBs in February 2007, to raise USD 1 billion. The premature buy back does not just reduce the liability, but this would mean that the Rcom after buying back these FCCBs, would now go for new FCCBs at today’s rates, thus keeping its capex plans intact and at the same time, adjusting liabilities to current rates.
RCom is the number two operator in the market of more than 320 million mobile users. And hence its growth is watched with a lot of interest and the pressure of growth and the slowdown seems to have crept in during Q2FY09. This quarter has reported the slowest profit growth rate ever.
For the second quarter ended 30th September 2008, revenue growth was to the tune of 23.3% at Rs. 5,645 crore from Rs. 4,579 crore in Q2FY08. While the company’s broadband business grew by 37.8 per cent, its wireless grew by 16.5% and global practices by 28.6%.
EBITDA was at Rs. 2,302 crore, up 17.3% on a YoY. EBITDA margin was at 40.8%, with strong contributions across all businesses - Wireless, Global and Enterprise. It ended the quarter with a net profit of Rs. 1,531 crore, up higher by 17.3%.
On the face of it, looks good but when you delve deeper you realise that the company has been quite smart and has presented a 17% growth in PAT due to non provision of MTM forex loss. Had the company followed AS-11, its net profit would have been lower by Rs 284 crore for realised and Rs 1,451 crore for unrealised currency fluctuations during the quarter, said the company’s notes to the accounts.
In November 08’, the company added 1.77 million new mobile phone subscribers, taking its total user base to 59.57 million.
The slowing down of profit growth rate was attributed to falling average revenue per user (ARPU), which fell by 3.9% to Rs.271 crore from Rs.282 crore in Q2FY08. The average minutes of use a customer (on a per month basis) was almost flat at 423 against 424 in Q2FY08.
FY09 is the peak of the company’s capex plans, it has spent Rs.4,773 crore during the quarter and these are being funded through long term borrowings and forex bonds. Interest costs would be an area of concern in the coming months.
Source: sptulsian.com

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 30th December

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but remains very volatile.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

ROLTA INDIA

Buy Above

112.50

118.15

124.00

Sell Below

109.70

106.15

102.00

REL COM

Buy Above

214.80

220.05

228.00

Sell Below

210.60

205.15

200.00

RANBAXY

Buy Above

234.20

240.15

248.00

Sell Below

230.05

225.50

220.00

MAYTAS INFRA

Buy Above

170.20

175.65

182.00

Sell Below

166.40

161.35

156.00

HIND OIL EXPLORATION

Buy Above

65.30

68.45

72.00

Sell Below

63.40

61.15

58.00

VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES

Buy Above

115.70

120.15

125.00

Sell Below

112.50

109.35

105.00

CAIRN INDIA

Buy Above

173.60

178.25

184.00

Sell Below

170.35

166.50

162.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy (Penny Stock):

LG Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd
(500250)
CMP Rs. 9.50/- Target Rs. 15-18/-

ELECTROSTEEL CASTING (500128) CMP Rs. 14/- Target Rs. 28-35/-.

GOOD LUCK

Monday, December 29, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 29th December

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive but remains very volatile.

Today's Intraday Stock Tips / Trading Calls (Keep strict Stop Loss for Each Trade):

SCRIP NAME

TRIGGER

PRICE

TARGET 1

TARGET 2

HDIL

Buy Above

128.65

133.45

138.00

Sell Below

125.40

121.55

118.00

INDIABULLS REALEST

Buy Above

130.80

135.10

140.00

Sell Below

127.55

124.20

120.00

RANBAXY

Buy Above

218.75

223.15

228.00

Sell Below

215.30

211.45

207.00

SATYAM COMPUTER

Buy Above

137.20

142.35

148.00

Sell Below

133.60

130.15

125.00

HPCL

Buy Above

273.50

279.15

285.00

Sell Below

269.20

265.45

260.00

SUN TV

Buy Above

166.50

171.15

176.00

Sell Below

163.40

160.05

156.00

OPTO CIRCUIT

Buy Above

88.60

93.15

98.00

Sell Below

85.70

83.15

80.00

Short to Med Term Delivery Buy (Penny Stock):

LG Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd
(500250)
CMP Rs. 9.40/- Target Rs. 15-18/-

ELECTROSTEEL CASTING (500128) CMP Rs. 15/- Target Rs. 28-35/-.

GOOD LUCK

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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