Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Stock Idea: India Glycols

One glance at the financial performance for first quarter ended 30th June 2008, be it YoY or QoQ, indicates an across the board fall in topline as well as bottomlines. Sequentially, OPM has slipped from 19.05% in Q4FY08 to 17.08% in current Q1, NPM slipped from 6.99% to 4.85%. YoY, the fall is sharper. OPM has come down from 27.43% and NPM from a very healthy 13.14%.
There were two reasons for this fall. The biggest culprit is the fact that the company has shut down the plant for 21 days for debottlenecking of capacities & catalyst change. 21 days is almost like a full month, juts one week short. So of the three months in Q1, the company actually operated for just 2 months and one week. Naturally, the profitability was bound to take a hit.
Secondly, even on the lower net sales, the company’s operating expenses was quite high. YoY, one may feel that the company has managed to keep it at the same levels of Rs.215 crore but when compares it as percentage of sales, it becomes apparent that the outgo was much higher. In Q1FY09, operating expenses ate away 86% of the net sales, which was at 79% in Q1FY08.
The current fiscal is expected to be good. Its carbon-di-oxide plant of 80 ton per day capacity at Kashipur started commercial production in April’08 and this would also start contributing to the bottomlines in the current fiscal.
India Glycols is a very good company, its product is its winner. It manufactures MEG from molasses unlike others who do it from crude, hence it is protected from the vagaries of the rising crude prices and at the same time, gives a more cost effective substitute for its customers. Its located in Uttaranchal, which is close to the main sugar belt of India. And that is the reason why the company did not hit rock bottom despite the performance.
Currently quoted at Rs.210, its best to accumulate this stock at every dip and keep a 15-18 months perspective for gains.

Source: sptulsian.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 09th September

Stock Market India may open flat to nagetive and see some profit booking but recovery also expected from lower levels and a flat to positive closing expected today.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
RPOWER (168)
Buy Above 169.60 Target 172.55, 176.00
Sell Below 166.80 Target 163.25, 160.00
GMDC (191)
Buy Above 193.25 Target 198.75, 208.00
Sell Below 189.20 Target 184.25, 178.00
INDIABULLS SECURITIES (63.5)
Buy Above 64.45 Target 66.75, 69.00
Sell Below 62.60 Target 60.20, 58.00
GSS AMERICA INFO (297)
Buy Above 300.10 Target 306.75, 314.00
Sell Below 294.55 Target 288.05, 282.00
PUNJ LLOYD (309)
Buy Above 311.45 Target 315.75, 322.00
Sell Below 307.55 Target 302.20, 295.00
SEL MANUFACTURING (237)
Buy Above 240.55 Target 248.05, 258.00
Sell Below 234.60 Target 228.35, 220.00

Others for Intraday: INDIAINFOLINE, ORG INFORMATICS, STONE INDIA, HPCL, BPCL.

GOOD LUCK.

Monday, September 8, 2008

Stock Idea: Prime Property

Prime Property Development Corporation Ltd. (Code: 530695) (Rs.61.55) is a small real estate developer based in Mumbai which boasts of constructing landmark residential and commercial buildings for high end customers in Mumbai. Prime Avenue, Prime Centre, Prime Beach & Prime Plaza are few of its prestigious residential & commercial developments in prime areas like Santacruz (West) & Vile Parle (West) in suburban Mumbai. Presently, the company is focusing to complete its two ongoing projects in Mumbai namely ‘Prime Down Town Mall’ - a 270,000 sq. ft. luxurious composite mall with multiplexes and ‘Prime Tech Park’, which is 90,000 sq. ft. commercial building. Besides these, the company has started construction work on two more shopping malls called ‘Prime Square’ - 70,000 sq. ft. mall in Goregaon Mumbai and ‘Prime Pune Mall’ - gigantic 430,000 sq. ft. state-of-the-art mall with an anchor shop, multiplex, food court, entertainment area and a hotel in Pune. For FY08, it clocked an EPS of Rs.16 and declared a dividend of Rs.1.50. It has announced excellent results for Q1FY09 and considering the company’s current projects in hand in prime locations, it may report total revenue of Rs.150 cr. with net profit of Rs.40 cr. for FY09 i.e. an EPS of Rs.20 on its current equity. Only aggressive investors are advised to buy at current levels.

Stock Idea: GMDC

Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation (GMDC) is a Gujarat State government undertaking engaged in the business of lignite, bauxite and fluorspar mining as also power generation units based on lignite.
The fourth quarter of FY08 had been its best and in comparison, all else pales. Especially the performance for the first quarter ended 30th June 2008. Sequentially, the performance has dropped. Net sales is down 15%, and though it managed to reduce its operating expenses, by 25% which itself is a feat given the rising costs in Q1. Despite that EBITDA dropped 3% and then interest outgo rose 215 and depreciation by 4% and this pushed down the PBT growth by 19%. And then it added back the expenses provided for overburden removal and loading of lignite and this was to the tune of Rs.38.88 crore. This boosted the PAT by 14% at Rs.72.35 crore. The company might have managed to show an increase in the last leg but the profit margins indicate the pressure. OPM slipped down from 55.08% to 48.15% and NPM from 26.53% to 19.75%.

A look at the net sales break-up indicates that there had been a fall overall. Its income from mining fell from Rs.292.45 crore to Rs.239.40 crore. The income from power also fell, from Rs.50.91 crore to Rs.40,52 crore.

YoY, the company has done well and that to a large extent is very reassuring. The company continues to remain on a good wicket, it’s just that Q4FY08 was its best and expecting Q1CY09 to match up or exceed would be unfair, especially with many companies showing a slower growth.

The company is presently producing about 80 lakh MT of lignite at its three mines. New mines have been developed at the various locations at Surat to cater to South Gujarat where estimated annual production would be 10 lakh MT. 10 lakh MT of lignite production at Amod near Bharuch would fully contribute in FY09. 30 lakh tonne of lignite production is estimated from Bhavnagar mines to cater to Saurashtra region and Central Gujarat. So, in FY 09, the production of lignite would rise by about 40%. The company also has 250 MW power plant in operation based on lignite.
Lignite referred to as brown gold, is an alternative for coal, which is in great demand, as natural resources are becoming scarce all over the world. The stock went ex-bonus from 1st September and on 5th September it touched a new low at Rs.192. Currently it is quoted at Rs.195. Stay invested as it remains a fundamentally sound stock.
Source: sptulsian.com

Intraday Trading Calls for 8th August

Indian Stock Market may open gap up and expected a super strong rally & good positive closing today.

Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):

RPOWER (163)
Buy Above 164.60 Target 168.55, 173.00
Sell Below 162.10 Target 159.25, 155.00
NTPC (173)
Buy Above 174.25 Target 177.75, 182.00
Sell Below 171.80 Target 169.25, 166.00
HCC (97)
Buy Above 98.25 Target 102.25, 106.00
Sell Below 96.10 Target 93.20, 90.00
TATA MOTORS (420)
Buy Above 423.60 Target 429.75, 435.00
Sell Below 418.55 Target 413.05, 407.00
INDIABULLS REALEST (278)
Buy Above 281.25 Target 288.75, 298.00
Sell Below 275.35 Target 268.20, 260.00
SEL MANUFACTURING (249)
Buy Above 252.55 Target 260.05, 268.00
Sell Below 247.60 Target 241.35, 235.00

Others for Intraday: TATA POWER, RELIANCE INFRA, TORRENT POWER, JAIPRAKASH ASSOCIATES, ROLTA INDIA.

Delivery Buy: ORG INFORMATICS (517195) (30) for Short- Med Term Target Rs. 75+

Good Luck

Friday, September 5, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 05th September

Indian Stock Market may open gap down due to weak global markets, but it may see some bounce back in mid session.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):
GMDC (206)
Buy Above 207.75 Target 215.45, 224.00
Sell Below 204.20 Target 198.25, 190.00
GUJARAT ALKALIES (150)
Buy Above 151.25 Target 154.45, 158.00
Sell Below 148.60 Target 145.65, 142.00
GUJARAT NRE COKE (100)
Buy Above 101.25 Target 104.05, 108.00
Sell Below 98.50 Target 96.00, 93.00
NTPC (175)
Buy Above 176.40 Target 179.35, 182.00
Sell Below 173.55 Target 170.05, 166.00
RENUKA SUGAR (115)
Buy Above 115.95 Target 118.75, 122.00
Sell Below 113.45 Target 110.20, 106.00
SEL MANUFACTURING (267)
Buy Above 270.05 Target 276.65, 282.00
Sell Below 264.60 Target 258.35, 252.00

Others for Intraday: VAKRANGEE SOFTWARE, BLUE STAR .
Good Luck

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Intraday Trading Calls for 04th September

Indian Stock Market may open flat to positive and may see some profit booking and remains in small range today.
Today's Intraday Trading Calls / Stock Tips (Keep Appropriate Stop Loss for each trade):

GMDC (241)
Buy Above 243.25 Target 248.45, 255.00
Sell Below 239.50 Target 234.25, 228.00
GMR INFRA (105)
Buy Above 105.90 Target 108.45, 111.00
Sell Below 103.90 Target 100.65, 97.00
LANCO INFRA (310)
Buy Above 313.25 Target 318.75, 325.00
Sell Below 307.10 Target 301.70, 294.00
ORBIT CORPORATION (304)
Buy Above 306.65 Target 312.35, 320.00
Sell Below 301.45 Target 295.55, 288.00
CORE PROJECTS (300)
Buy Above 302.55 Target 308.45, 315.00
Sell Below 297.25 Target 292.20, 286.00
YES BANK (141)
Buy Above 142.60 Target 145.65, 149.00
Sell Below 140.10 Target 137.35, 134.00

Others for Intraday: HDIL, ANSAL INFRA, UNITECH, Adhunik Metaliks.

Good Luck

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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