Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Buy on every dip, say experts

Dipan Mehta, Member, BSE and NSE, said, "I am not at all alarmed by today’s fall. What we are seeing is a natural correction taking place after the market has rallied for the past few trading sessions. It is more or less like a temporary correction and I think that the overall market remains in extremely positive territory. We are in a bull market and these are just minor corrections, which investors should take as an opportunity to perhaps increase their exposure to equity."
He believes that if the build up in the futures market continues then it may cause a correction. "We are seeing the level of open interest near about what we saw in the first week of February, which was particular high at that point of time. A number of stocks have been added to the futures market and we need to keep that in context. A lot of the open interest this time around is in the hands of experienced traders, hedge funds and it’s not as much with retail investors, which is positive. Even the cost of carry has not completely gone out of whack, it’s not anywhere in the danger zone. There is a build up taking place in the futures market and at some point of time in the future if this particular trend continues then it may cause a correction. At this point of time, I certainly don’t see that as a factor which may cause further decline in stock prices," he added.
Anish Damania of Emkay Stock Brokers says, "I think market looks okay. We were expecting a little bit of a pullback, which has happened; so it is good in a way for the markets to pull back after a decent rally." With the correction that was expected being done away with, Damania sees probably one or two more days of weakness. For the next few months, he predicts that the banking, metals and engineering stocks will perform.

Markets today

Markets close in the red on profit booking in late trade

Sensex ends down 0.6% at 14,363, Nifty down 0.7% at 4246

FMCG, oil, auto shares drag; metal stocks defy broad trend

BSE FMCG, Oil & Gas, & Auto indices end down over 1% each

BSE Metals index closes up 1%; Tata Steel up 4.9%

NSE CNX Midcap index closes down 0.8% at 5581 points

BSE Small Cap index gives up gains to end down 0.7% at 7238

Market breadth negative; NSE Advance Decline ratio around 1:2

Total market turnover was Rs 49,955.04 cr vs Rs 50,069.21 cr

Intraday Calls for 23rd May

NSE : Major support range 4075 to 4089. It will take support 4264, 4247, 4217, upper side it will face resistance 4295 and crossover it can move up to 4312.
Buy Century Textile above Rs. 650/- Target Rs. 666-670-675/- SL Rs. 642/-
Buy Torrent Power @ Rs. 76/- Target Rs. 80-82/- SL Rs. 74/- (Signed MOU with Gujarat Power Corporation Ltd. for setting up a 1000+ MW coal based power project at Pipavav in Amreli District, Gujarat.)
Buy Rama Newsprint @ Rs. 38/- Target Rs. 42-44/- SL Rs. 36/-
Buy KEI Industries @ Rs. 83/- Target Rs. 88/- SL Rs. 80/- (Also rec. as investment)
Buy Wipro @ strong support level 528/- (if sustain above 528) Target Rs. 540-545/-

Others are Dolphin Offshore, Aftek, Mysore Cement, TVS Motor, RNRL (Ultimate target Rs. 40-42/-), Prithvi Info (Ultimate Target Rs. 500+ for med to long term).

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Different Views and Today's Summary

Tuesday, May 22, 2007 (Mumbai):The markets closed flat on Tuesday with the Sensex ending the day at 14,453 levels after a marginal gain of 35 points or 0.24 per cent.In the broader markets, the Nifty closed at a new all time high of 4,278, a gain of 17 points or 0.4 per cent. It touched a day high of 4,281 levels in intra-day deals.Even though analysts are bullish on the markets, some of them are worried about value in equity markets as investors are overbuying the future growth story.
"We are saying 17,000 plus (for Sensex) by December, 9,000 plus for the BSE small cap index. We are extremely bullish on the markets for the second half of the calendar year," said Amitabh Chakraborty, President, Religare Securities.
"As long as liquidity flows continues the markets continue to do well. As investors we tend to chase growth and ignore value, if we continue to chase growth, markets will become more and more expensive and that is what happening right now," said Rajiv Sampat, Investment Analyst.
"As expected market zoomed up after a breather to close at an all time high on the Nifty, still looks up for a target of 14567 and then maybe an assault an the all time high of 14724.
The support for the Sensex is at 14350 and the resistance to the up move at 14479-14567." said Prakash Gaba
HDFC at Rs 1,794 surged 4.4 per cent was the biggest gainer in the BSE 30 pack. Reliance Communications, ACC, BHEL, HDFC Bank and Maruti Udyog were some of the key gainers. However, Bajaj Auto and Ambuja Cements lost over 2.2 per cent each.Amongst the NSE 50 scrips, Zee Entertainment at Rs 312 gained 4.4 per cent ended the day as the biggest gainer in the Nifty. VSNL, Tata Power, Sun Pharmaceuticals, GAIL India and ABB were some of the significant gainers.Capital gainsBSE capital goods index gained 0.56 per cent was the top gainer in the sectoral indices.
FMCG and Healthcare indices were some of the notable gainers.Thermax at Rs 448 gained 6.8 per cent was the biggest gainer in the capital goods space. Gammon India (up 2.1 per cent), Alstom Projects (up 1.6 per cent), ABB (up 1.6 per cent) and BHEL (up 1.5 per cent) were the top gainers.With the news of Coca Cola's bid for Glaceau, buying is visible in the Tata Tea counter surged 4.4 per cent was the top gainer in the FMCG space, Britannia Industries also firmed up by 2.9 per cent.Buying was also visible in healthcare couters with Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (up 2.9 per cent), Divis Laboratories (up 2.5 per cent), Novartis India (up 1.3 per cent), Aventis Pharma (up 1.2 per cent) and Cadila Healthcare (up 1 per cent) leading the positive sentiment.
Ringing gainsTelecommunications stocks gained ground on Tuesday with Shyam Telecom surging 9.9 per cent to end the day at Rs 109. Krone Communications (up 6.1 per cent), Reliance Communications (up 3.3 per cent), VSNL (up 3 per cent) and Bharti Airtel (up 1.1 per cent) were the top gainers in the telecom space.Positive sentiment was visible in the sugar counters with Balrampur Chini Mills, Dhampur Sugar Mills, Dwarikesh Sugar and Ponni Sugars firming up by over 2.4 per cent each.
Media stocks rallied for the second day with the renewed interest in entertainment counters. Saregama India, Mukta Arts, Shringar Cinemas and Zee Entertainment surged over 4.4 per cent each. Tips Industries, Balaji Telefilms and Pentamedia Graphics are some of the key gainers.

Investment Pick

KEI Industries (517569) CMP Rs. 82.95/-
Bullish Breakout today from long consolidation @ Rs. 70-75/-
The company is into the manufacture of electrical cables and has been one of the largest suppliers of cables to Deptt. of Telecommunication (DoT), Government of India. It has established its position in the core sector projects in India and plant locations in New Delhi, Alwara and Rakholi. Its product range includes control cables, LT power cables, instrumentation cables, telecom cables and house wires cables. Its customer base consists of BHEL, Siemens, ABB, Alstom, L&T, BPCL, ONGC, GAIL, IOCL, Tata Chemicals, ACC, Gujarat Ambuja, Tata Steel and SAIL etc. Company is converting the JFTC plant into a facility for production of power,control and instrumentation cables. The company has also decided to expand its product range to high-tension power cables and it has lot of projects in hand.
Company has very strong fundamentals. It's yearly and quarterly profit contineously increasing.
This year 55% growth v/s last year net proft. EPS is around Rs. 7.67/- after stock split. Technically also looks very great for investment Target Rs. 125-155/- in 6 to 8 months time frame. Buy at every decline for smart gain.

Intraday Calls for 22nd May

Buy Bajaj Hind @ Rs. 182/- Target Rs. 188-190-194, Stop Loss Below Rs. 180/-
Buy Avaya Global @ Rs. 307/- Target Rs. 320-325/- Stop Loss Rs. 299/-
Buy Prajay Eng @ Rs. 270/- Target Rs. 278-280/- Stop Loss Rs. 265/-
Buy Sadbhav Eng @ Rs. 555/- Target Rs. 570-575/- Stop Loss Rs. 548/-

Sell Balaji Telefilms @ Rs. 248-250/- Target Rs. 235/- Stop Loss Rs. 252/-
Sell Moser Baer @ Rs. 460/- Target Rs. 445/- Stop loss Rs. 465/-

Intraday Rules

Buy Oversold Stokcs, Sell Overbought Stocks.
If open very high about 5% from previous close, dont buy. (If there is no reason for increasing)
If open low or same as previous close and making new highs with volumes, Then Buy.
If open High and Making new lows with volumes, Then Sell.
If Open & High same, Then sell.
If Open & Low same, Then buy.
Buy only those stocks which are in news.

Above rules works in most of the cases (about 95%).
So keep in mind.

Disclaimer

The information in this publication is provided by http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ is intended for use for Readers & Traders . Every effort is made to provide accurate information, but http://www.moneybazzar.blogspot.com/ cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information or of the market analysis. This is a newsletter and is for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell futures. There is a high risk of loss in trading futures. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this newsletter. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



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